Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $781.0000 (23.38%) ($734.0000 - $782.0000) on Tue. Jul. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.16% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $781.0000(23.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ declines -12.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(10%)    IGOV(5%)    IBUY(4%)    SHY(4%)    TIP(4%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -4.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-14%)    PEJ(-14%)    XLY(-13%)    XLE(-12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.08% (StdDev 8.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.3%

Resistance Level   $865.08
5 Day Moving Average   $706.6(10.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $774.1(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $865.08(-9.72%)
To recent high   -65.2%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 14.41% (three month std-dev: 8.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2016	1732.07	865.08	774.1	706.6			781(23.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-25	-10000	-3	-92	0.13	32%	-0.57	-92.3	8.16%	0	-0.7	42	0
2	Jul_1_2016	1741.98	881.26	778.62	715			633(-7.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-10000	-17	-109	0.09	23%	-0.62	-90.7	7.63%	0	-1.7	26	0
3	Jun_30_2016	1752.8	910.27	807.24	766			681(-6.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-11	-88	0.14	23%	-0.52	-95.9	7.58%	0	-1.5	27	0
4	Jun_29_2016	1761.89	936.84	836.23	800.6			729(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-9	-68	0.09	23%	-0.44	-101.1	7.55%	0	-1.4	34	0
5	Jun_28_2016	1769.72	962.32	858.94	829.4			709(-13.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-21	-10000	-6	-66	0.16	23%	-0.41	-95.1	7.57%	0	-1.5	23	0

6	Jun_27_2016	1777.04	997.84	883.13	849			823(-7.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-1	-67	0.05	25%	-0.44	-102.7	7.45%	0	-1.1	30	0
7	Jun_24_2016	1784.86	1039.71	895.32	850.8			888(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-2	-79	0.05	25%	-0.51	-77.4	7.47%	0	-0.7	32	0
8	Jun_23_2016	1793.94	1080.14	902.11	856			854(-2.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-29	-10000	-7	-96	0.11	29%	-0.43	-64.3	7.45%	0	-0.9	24	0
9	Jun_22_2016	1801.77	1121.06	910.25	879.4			873(8.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	-10000	-5	-102	0.11	29%	-0.44	-58.9	7.65%	0	-0.9	25	0
10	Jun_21_2016	1809.74	1162.79	933.47	895.6			807(-3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-33	-10000	-8	-106	0.07	30%	-0.36	-53.9	7.58%	0	-1.1	15	0

11	Jun_20_2016	1816.28	1204.16	962.65	922.2			832(-8.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-32	-10000	-6	-111	0.08	30%	-0.2	-53.1	7.75%	0	-1.2	12	0
12	Jun_17_2016	1819.89	1244.68	991.57	944.4			914(-5.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-36	-10000	-3	-133	0.05	32%	-0.25	-51.7	7.73%	0	-1.1	10	0
13	Jun_16_2016	1824.38	1282.28	1020.75	953.8			971(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	-10000	2	-151	0.07	32%	-0.3	-49.4	7.76%	0	-1	11	0
14	Jun_15_2016	1829.85	1322.8	1044.04	946			954(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-51	-10000	-9	-178	0.04	32%	-0.3	-45.8	7.76%	0	-1.1	12	0
15	Jun_14_2016	1835.35	1358.91	1072.38	979.4			940(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-53	-10000	-8	-188	0.05	32%	-0.33	-42.6	7.77%	0	-1.3	10	0

16	Jun_13_2016	1841.36	1397.85	1120.32	1011.2			943(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-53	-10000	-9	-185	0.04	32%	-0.3	-40.9	7.77%	0	-1.5	19	0
17	Jun_10_2016	1846.92	1430.82	1193.8	1046.6			961(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-10000	-12	-171	0.06	32%	-0.29	-41.8	7.77%	0	-1.6	19	0
18	Jun_9_2016	1852.28	1459.05	1270.37	1098			932(-16.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-48	-10000	-13	-151	0.19	32%	-0.33	-43.6	7.79%	0	-2	16	0
19	Jun_8_2016	1858.42	1488.92	1348.15	1154.8			1121(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-6	-138	0.05	34%	-0.27	-45	7.59%	0	-1.6	17	0
20	Jun_7_2016	1863.36	1508.76	1409.25	1179.6			1099(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-14	-131	0.07	34%	-0.42	-49.3	7.58%	0	-1.9	26	0

21	Jun_6_2016	1871.24	1536.06	1465.07	1247.4			1120(-8.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-10000	-23	-119	0.07	34%	-0.23	-50	7.64%	0	-2.1	25	0
22	Jun_3_2016	1875.62	1562.74	1519.91	1366			1218(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10000	-19	-86	0.08	36%	-0.13	-39.6	7.62%	0	-2	38	0
23	Jun_2_2016	1878.08	1585.48	1567.34	1472.6			1216(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-10000	-16	-51	0.08	40%	-0.02	-30.6	7.67%	0	-2.4	44	0
24	Jun_1_2016	1878.41	1603.23	1627.42	1571.2			1245(-13.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-14	-10000	-15	-12	0.09	40%	-0.03	-18.7	7.86%	0	-2.7	46	0
25	May_31_2016	1878.91	1625.72	1673.82	1670.2			1438(-16.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.3	2	-10000	-6	27	0.09	43%		7.2	7.63%	0	-1.8	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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