Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $1702.0000 (8.89%) ($1685.0000 - $1719.0000) on Mon. May. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.06% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $1702.0000(8.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(10%)    UUP(5%)    IGOV(4%)    SHY(4%)    TIP(4%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -4.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-14%)    PEJ(-14%)    XLY(-12%)    XLE(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.03% (StdDev 8.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $1534.8(10.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1570.4(8.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1570.07(8.4%)
To recent high   -47%
To recent low   22.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 7.91% (three month std-dev: 8.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2016	1836.1	1570.07	1570.4	1534.8			1702(8.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-10000	3	-25	0.05	55%	-0.08	-65.6	8.06%	0	1.1	57	0
2	May_13_2016	1837.5	1579.39	1572.57	1515.6			1563(6.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.06	53%	-0.25	-58.9	8.04%	0	-0.1	56	0
3	May_12_2016	1842.05	1601.74	1572.96	1525.4			1472(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-5	-13	0.04	53%	-0.35	-50.5	8.07%	0	-0.8	58	0
4	May_11_2016	1848.51	1622.77	1602.12	1559			1466(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-2	8	0.05	53%	-0.5	-44.6	8.08%	0	-0.9	52	0
5	May_10_2016	1857.84	1637.94	1616.29	1570			1471(-8.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-6	12	0.05	53%	-0.44	-54.6	8.14%	0	-1	51	0

6	May_9_2016	1866.13	1655.95	1627.3	1607.6			1606(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-10000	-5	24	0.02	55%	-0.67	-49.8	8.08%	0	-0.3	55	0
7	May_6_2016	1878.75	1678.61	1617.23	1638			1612(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	1	16	0.03	52%	-0.68	-41.4	8.15%	0	-0.3	42	0
8	May_5_2016	1891.53	1692.89	1597.13	1628.4			1640(7.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-4	-16	0.05	50%	-0.57	-46.7	8.21%	0	-0.3	40	0
9	May_4_2016	1902.43	1702.19	1583.04	1654.4			1521(-8.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-2	-25	0.04	52%	-0.71	-41.9	8.27%	0	-0.8	42	0
10	May_3_2016	1916.06	1736.68	1584.5	1668			1659(-5.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	-10000	3	-30	0.03	54%	-0.44	-35.3	8.29%	0	-0.3	50	0

11	May_2_2016	1924.5	1756.44	1571.48	1647.6			1758(12.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	8	-45	0.04	57%	-0.26	-36.5	8.26%	0	0	50	0
12	Apr_29_2016	1929.45	1763.88	1583.95	1593.8			1564(-11.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-10000	5	-61	0.06	56%	-0.31	-44.9	8.67%	0	-0.8	38	0
13	Apr_28_2016	1935.45	1790.11	1628.93	1558.6			1770(11.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	8	-62	0.08	56%	-0.11	-52.8	8.69%	0	-0.1	48	0
14	Apr_27_2016	1937.67	1802.9	1638.47	1503.6			1589(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	2	-73	0.06	54%	-0.19	-64.4	8.69%	0	-0.9	46	0
15	Apr_26_2016	1941.34	1822.86	1655.64	1490.4			1557(4.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	1	-91	0.06	54%	-0.22	-70.2	8.68%	0	-1.1	37	0

16	Apr_25_2016	1945.55	1846.08	1682.73	1485.8			1489(7.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10000	-13	-104	0.05	54%	-0.11	-76	8.67%	0	-1.5	39	0
17	Apr_22_2016	1947.72	1880.77	1742.19	1576.6			1388(-7.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-18	-85	0.07	54%	-0.16	-69.9	8.64%	0	-2.1	41	0
18	Apr_21_2016	1950.79	1929.07	1797.55	1710.6			1495(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-11	-64	0.05	54%	-0.12	-53.7	8.58%	0	-1.9	40	0
19	Apr_20_2016	1953.18	1976.99	1834.87	1793.4			1523(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-6	-53	0.06	54%	-0.04	-39.5	8.59%	0	-2	42	0
20	Apr_19_2016	1953.96	2011.62	1906.91	1841.8			1534(-21.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-14	-10000	-7	-36	0.07	54%	-0.04	-38.9	8.61%	0	-2.4	44	0

21	Apr_18_2016	1954.69	2052.62	1964.35	1901.2			1943(-5.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-4	-23	0.04	59%	0.18	-35.6	8.18%	0	-0.6	51	0
22	Apr_15_2016	1951.18	2060.46	1963	1932.4			2058(7.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	4	-22	0.05	59%	0.06	-36.9	8.21%	0	-0	49	0
23	Apr_14_2016	1950.05	2057.17	1964.57	1903.4			1909(8.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	-10000	2	-36	0.04	63%	0.24	-49.8	8.19%	0	-0.8	42	0
24	Apr_13_2016	1945.46	2070.7	1978.42	1888.2			1765(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-12	-56	0.03	63%	0.17	-61.7	8.38%	0	-1.7	35	0
25	Apr_12_2016	1942.11	2093.93	2002.5	1984.2			1831(-12.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-6	-43	0.04	65%		-66.6	8.38%	0	-1.6	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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