Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $1770.0000 (11.39%) ($1680.0100 - $1776.0000) on Thu. Apr. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.69% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $1770.0000(11.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ declines -9.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(9%)    IGOV(5%)    UUP(5%)    SHY(4%)    TIP(4%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -4.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-14%)    PEJ(-14%)    LIT(-13%)    XLY(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.345% (StdDev 8.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $1605.94(-9.27%)
Resistance Level   $1790.11
5 Day Moving Average   $1558.6(13.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1628.93(8.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1790.11(-1.12%)
To recent high   -44.9%
To recent low   49.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 13.64% (three month std-dev: 8.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2016	1935.45	1790.11	1628.93	1558.6			1770(11.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	8	-62	0.08	56%	-0.11	-52.8	8.69%	0	-0.1	48	0
2	Apr_27_2016	1937.67	1802.9	1638.47	1503.6			1589(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	2	-73	0.06	54%	-0.19	-64.4	8.69%	0	-0.9	46	0
3	Apr_26_2016	1941.34	1822.86	1655.64	1490.4			1557(4.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	1	-91	0.06	54%	-0.22	-70.2	8.68%	0	-1.1	37	0
4	Apr_25_2016	1945.55	1846.08	1682.73	1485.8			1489(7.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10000	-13	-104	0.05	54%	-0.11	-76	8.67%	0	-1.5	39	0
5	Apr_22_2016	1947.72	1880.77	1742.19	1576.6			1388(-7.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-18	-85	0.07	54%	-0.16	-69.9	8.64%	0	-2.1	41	0

6	Apr_21_2016	1950.79	1929.07	1797.55	1710.6			1495(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-11	-64	0.05	54%	-0.12	-53.7	8.58%	0	-1.9	40	0
7	Apr_20_2016	1953.18	1976.99	1834.87	1793.4			1523(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-6	-53	0.06	54%	-0.04	-39.5	8.59%	0	-2	42	0
8	Apr_19_2016	1953.96	2011.62	1906.91	1841.8			1534(-21.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-14	-10000	-7	-36	0.07	54%	-0.04	-38.9	8.61%	0	-2.4	44	0
9	Apr_18_2016	1954.69	2052.62	1964.35	1901.2			1943(-5.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-4	-23	0.04	59%	0.18	-35.6	8.18%	0	-0.6	51	0
10	Apr_15_2016	1951.18	2060.46	1963	1932.4			2058(7.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	4	-22	0.05	59%	0.06	-36.9	8.21%	0	-0	49	0

11	Apr_14_2016	1950.05	2057.17	1964.57	1903.4			1909(8.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	-10000	2	-36	0.04	63%	0.24	-49.8	8.19%	0	-0.8	42	0
12	Apr_13_2016	1945.46	2070.7	1978.42	1888.2			1765(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-12	-56	0.03	63%	0.17	-61.7	8.38%	0	-1.7	35	0
13	Apr_12_2016	1942.11	2093.93	2002.5	1984.2			1831(-12.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-6	-43	0.04	65%	0.22	-66.6	8.38%	0	-1.6	45	0
14	Apr_11_2016	1937.79	2119	2022.18	2033.8			2099(9.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	4	-40	0.04	70%	0.33	-72.3	8.35%	0	-0.1	46	0
15	Apr_8_2016	1931.34	2128.5	2027.16	1998.4			1913(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-4	-47	0.02	65%	0.32	-93	8.4%	0	-1.3	49	0

16	Apr_7_2016	1925.15	2150.77	2068.47	2035.4			1833(-18.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-5	-31	0.06	62%	0.35	-109.7	8.55%	0	-2	51	0
17	Apr_6_2016	1918.42	2186.34	2129.88	2078.4			2245(7.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	6	-11	0.03	67%	0.61	-113.2	8.39%	0	0.4	53	0
18	Apr_5_2016	1906.76	2209.17	2121.78	2025.2			2079(8.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	2	-23	0.02	67%	0.52	-95.7	8.37%	0	-0.6	49	0
19	Apr_4_2016	1896.89	2240.56	2145.49	2010.8			1922(-8.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-6	-29	0.05	67%	0.44	-89.5	8.34%	0	-1.4	41	0
20	Apr_1_2016	1888.51	2292.49	2165.64	2061			2098(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-6	-27	0.02	69%	0.48	-66.6	8.26%	0	-0.7	46	0

21	Mar_31_2016	1879.4	2344.64	2156.78	2110			2048(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-9	-30	0.06	66%	0.45	-44	8.33%	0	-0.9	43	0
22	Mar_30_2016	1870.89	2391.6	2170.48	2191.6			1979(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-4	-25	0.03	66%	0.44	-28.2	8.45%	0	-1.2	36	0
23	Mar_29_2016	1862.61	2427.87	2195.25	2232.2			2007(-7.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-7	-34	0.05	64%	0.44	-22.2	8.46%	0	-1.2	33	0
24	Mar_28_2016	1854.38	2472.23	2228.02	2296.8			2173(-7.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	2	-31	0.05	57%	0.98	-9.1	8.49%	0	-0.9	36	0
25	Mar_24_2016	1836.36	2490.45	2241.08	2280			2343(-4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	7	-46	0.03	57%		-7.1	9.16%	0	-0.5	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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