Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $1145.0000 (-13.72%) ($1068.0000 - $1302.0000) on Thu. Jan. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.96% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $1145.0000(-13.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ declines -3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ declines -31.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(9%)    IGOV(4%)    SHY(4%)    TIP(4%)    UUP(4%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -3.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-16%)    XLE(-13%)    USO(-12%)    PEJ(-12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.98% (StdDev 7.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -11.8%

Resistance Level   $1929.29
5 Day Moving Average   $1257(-8.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1439.24(-20.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1929.29(-40.65%)
To recent high   -59.7%
To recent low   48.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 31.24% (three month std-dev: 7.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_7_2016	1186.7	1929.29	1439.24	1257			1145(-13.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-67	-10000	-10	-239	0.09	56%	0.48	-25.1	7.96%	0	-1.3	20	0
2	Jan_6_2016	1181.06	1973.95	1555.72	1307			1327(5.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-59	-10000	0	-236	0.07	59%	0.65	-22.3	7.74%	0	-1.1	21	0
3	Jan_5_2016	1173.45	2009.75	1645.82	1306			1256(-3.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-10000	-8	-238	0.07	59%	0.6	-20.9	7.73%	0	-1.4	29	0
4	Jan_4_2016	1166.43	2038.04	1795.69	1346.2			1305(4.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-73	-10000	-24	-218	0.06	59%	1.23	-19.7	7.71%	0	-1.4	36	0
5	Dec_31_2015	1152.22	2063.21	1945.39	1485.2			1252(-10.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-64	-10000	-26	-176	0.13	61%	0.68	-11.9	7.71%	0	-1.7	37	0

6	Dec_30_2015	1144.45	2093.39	2090.61	1653.2			1395(5.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-10000	-27	-131	0.08	64%	0.78	-0.2	7.7%	0	-1.5	44	0
7	Dec_29_2015	1135.62	2110.21	2235.93	1846.6			1322(-9.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-10000	-24	-73	0.15	65%	0.71	14	7.71%	0	-1.8	43	0
8	Dec_28_2015	1127.6	2131.48	2360.06	2035.4			1457(-27.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-31	-10000	-31	-29	0.11	67%	1.33	29.8	7.65%	0	-1.6	45	0
9	Dec_24_2015	1112.78	2145.47	2450.32	2307.6			2000(-4.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10000	-20	50	0.03	75%	1.32	55.9	6.72%	0	-0.3	64	0
10	Dec_23_2015	1098.32	2123.28	2473.03	2475.4			2092(-11.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	18	-10000	-14	112	0.04	75%	1.43	71	6.71%	0	-0.1	67	0

11	Dec_22_2015	1082.82	2094.46	2471.59	2594.2			2362(4.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	33	-10000	-11	166	0.04	78%	1.68	82.3	6.5%	0	0.6	72	0
12	Dec_21_2015	1064.92	2049.11	2435.96	2687.8			2266(-19.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	52	-10000	-5	223	0.08	78%	1.59	92.7	6.5%	0	0.5	73	0
13	Dec_18_2015	1048.21	2011.49	2411.87	2728.4			2818(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	87	-10000	15	301	0.04	86%	2.21	100.9	5.9%	0	1.7	88	0
14	Dec_17_2015	1025.54	1935.44	2301.45	2611.4			2839(5.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	86	-10000	19	288	0.05	86%	2.32	98.2	5.9%	0	1.9	89	0
15	Dec_16_2015	1002.26	1851.53	2184.96	2471.6			2686(-5.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	83	-10000	20	271	0.05	86%	2.19	92.6	5.89%	0	1.9	90	0

16	Dec_15_2015	980.79	1772.7	2086.76	2331			2830(14.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	86	-10000	28	258	0.05	86%	2.38	85	5.83%	0	2.5	95	0
17	Dec_14_2015	958.01	1685.19	1958.96	2153.4			2469(10.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	69	-10000	18	222	0.04	83%	2.03	80.7	5.63%	0	2.2	94	0
18	Dec_11_2015	938.92	1616.14	1869.46	2051.8			2233(4.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	-10000	20	203	0.03	82%	1.84	78	5.63%	0	1.9	85	0
19	Dec_10_2015	921.97	1564.35	1804.68	1944.6			2140(7.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	59	-10000	17	186	0.06	82%	1.81	75	5.65%	0	1.9	87	0
20	Dec_9_2015	905.58	1517.51	1736.97	1853.2			1983(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	-10000	10	176	0.03	81%	1.66	70.2	5.62%	0	1.7	88	0

21	Dec_8_2015	890.8	1476.79	1682.96	1801.4			1942(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	-10000	14	187	0.03	81%	1.6	66.1	5.63%	0	1.8	89	0
22	Dec_7_2015	876.75	1439.39	1630.11	1732.6			1961(15.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	58	-10000	15	185	0.04	81%	1.68	60.4	5.69%	0	2.2	89	0
23	Dec_4_2015	862.24	1397.94	1579.84	1661.2			1697(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	51	-10000	4	193	0.02	81%	1.38	56.8	5.47%	0	1.5	87	0
24	Dec_3_2015	850.52	1369.17	1543.61	1643			1683(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	-10000	10	203	0.04	77%	1.4	50.7	5.5%	0	1.6	74	0
25	Dec_2_2015	838.8	1348.44	1496.33	1601			1724(7.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	56	-10000	13	184	0.04	77%		48.6	5.63%	0	2	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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