Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $833.0000 (-1.3%) ($817.0000 - $863.0000) on Tue. Oct. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.85% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $833.0000(-1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 13.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(9%)    UUP(6%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(3%)    SHY(3%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -2.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-16%)    XLE(-13%)    USO(-11%)    PEJ(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.425% (StdDev 4.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $837.2(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $771.35(7.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $706.25(17.95%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   70%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 12.64% (three month std-dev: 4.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2015	613.72	706.25	771.35	837.2			833(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	49	-10000	10	167	0.06	76%	0.59	67.9	4.85%	0	1.4	78	0
2	Oct_5_2015	610.14	694.63	757.83	817.4			844(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	-10000	18	173	0.08	76%	0.61	62.7	4.9%	0	1.7	82	0
3	Oct_2_2015	606.46	683.85	742.51	783.4			853(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	-10000	16	162	0.06	76%	0.62	57.7	4.94%	0	2.1	84	0
4	Oct_1_2015	602.73	670.7	723.25	753.6			874(11.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	54	-10000	23	147	0.09	76%	0.59	50.3	4.97%	0	2.9	77	0
5	Sep_30_2015	599.19	658.79	697.98	713.6			782(6.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	-10000	10	109	0.08	73%	0.4	48.7	4.8%	0	2.4	70	0

6	Sep_29_2015	596.81	650.42	681.72	697.2			734(8.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	4	91	0.05	72%	0.23	48.6	4.75%	0	2	64	0
7	Sep_28_2015	595.47	644.6	667.38	690.2			674(-4.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-3	82	0.09	69%	0.17	47.7	4.65%	0	0.8	63	0
8	Sep_25_2015	594.46	641.12	658.36	694.6			704(4.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	5	80	0.06	67%	0.07	49.6	4.7%	0	1.6	59	0
9	Sep_24_2015	594.06	637.37	649.05	687.2			674(-3.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	-10000	5	75	0.11	67%	0.04	56.9	4.78%	0	1	62	0
10	Sep_23_2015	593.8	634.8	643.9	678.6			700(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	10	61	0.04	67%	0.11	55.8	4.77%	0	1.9	55	0

11	Sep_22_2015	593.12	630.4	636.76	663.1			699(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	15	49	0.03	69%	0.13	52.2	4.77%	0	2.2	59	0
12	Sep_21_2015	592.34	626.99	626.97	640.9			696(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	17	-10000	16	20	0.04	69%	0.08	48.5	4.86%	0	2.6	59	0
13	Sep_18_2015	591.84	622.74	620.47	616.9			667(5.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	5	-10000	7	-3	0.04	71%	-0.02	45.4	4.84%	0	2.1	59	0
14	Sep_17_2015	591.98	617.95	613.59	606			631(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	-10000	1	-23	0.06	69%	-0.32	37.5	4.88%	0	0.6	50	0
15	Sep_16_2015	593.86	616.33	615.73	604.5			622.5(5.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.09	69%	-0.43	59	4.89%	0	0.3	51	0

16	Sep_15_2015	596.42	614.77	615.92	607			588(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-2	-17	0.06	60%	-0.53	73.4	4.84%	0	-1.2	48	0
17	Sep_14_2015	599.57	614.48	619.89	610.6			576(-5.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-8	-18	0.13	60%	-0.44	83.7	5.17%	0	-1.6	42	0
18	Sep_11_2015	602.21	613.29	623.39	623.6			612.5(-1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	1	-3	0.05	67%	-0.35	83.3	5.18%	0	-0	51	0
19	Sep_10_2015	604.35	610	625.75	621.5			623.5(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-4	3	0.12	67%	-0.25	68	5.24%	0	0.4	60	0
20	Sep_9_2015	605.87	603.86	626.02	628.6			635(4.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	1	17	0.05	61%	-0.28	49.6	5.29%	0	0.8	56	0

21	Sep_8_2015	607.56	598.79	624.29	626.8			606(-5.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-2	19	0.08	56%	-0.61	43.3	5.57%	0	0.2	55	0
22	Sep_4_2015	611.28	595.56	627.76	630.6			641(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	4	35	0.04	56%	-0.13	39.2	5.76%	0	1	62	0
23	Sep_3_2015	612.07	591.4	625.39	623.2			602(-8.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-4	38	0.11	56%	-0.32	29.7	5.7%	0	0.2	63	0
24	Sep_2_2015	614.02	589.25	623.11	630			659(5.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	4	55	0.04	59%	-0.34	32.7	5.67%	0	1.6	73	0
25	Sep_1_2015	616.09	584.42	616.81	623.4			626(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	18	-10000	1	67	0.05	59%		34.7	5.67%	0	1	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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