Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $618.0000 (-3.44%) ($616.9900 - $650.0000) on Tue. Aug. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.95% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $618.0000(-3.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    VCIT(6%)    UUP(5%)    TIP(4%)    VCSH(4%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -2.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-15%)    XLE(-13%)    VWO(-11%)    USO(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.975% (StdDev 5.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $609(1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $580.27(6.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $570.73(8.28%)
To recent high   -20.6%
To recent low   26.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 6.13% (three month std-dev: 5.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150925

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2015	626.38	570.73	580.27	609			618(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	59	0.04	65%	-0.22	40.9	5.95%	0	1.4	58	0
2	Aug_24_2015	627.74	567.6	571.45	603.2			640(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	7	52	0.08	65%	0.02	44.1	5.98%	0	2.2	62	0
3	Aug_21_2015	627.62	563.89	560.52	590.2			618(8.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	9	31	0.06	66%	-0.15	41.8	6.05%	0	1.8	53	0
4	Aug_20_2015	628.57	561.54	553.99	574.6			571(-4.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	4	5	0.08	65%	-0.38	38.7	5.98%	0	0.4	43	0
5	Aug_19_2015	630.96	560.72	552.33	568.2			598(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	-10000	13	-1	0.03	65%	-0.29	33.5	5.97%	0	1.3	54	0

6	Aug_18_2015	632.82	556.73	548.69	546.6			589(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	0	-10000	7	-20	0.06	65%	-0.3	11.4	5.99%	0	1.2	59	0
7	Aug_17_2015	634.73	553.25	544.92	534.8			575(6.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-5	-10000	5	-33	0.15	65%	-0.3	-6.8	5.99%	0	0.8	53	0
8	Aug_14_2015	636.66	551.93	545.62	527			540(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	-3	-42	0.09	61%	-0.32	-13.6	5.94%	0	-0.4	46	0
9	Aug_13_2015	638.71	551.4	552.25	531			539(10%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-2	-33	0.26	61%	-0.24	-21.7	6.02%	0	-0.5	45	0
10	Aug_12_2015	640.25	551.45	555.74	534.6			490(-7.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15	-10000	-10	-31	0.3	56%	-0.26	-32	5.91%	0	-2.2	42	0

11	Aug_11_2015	641.92	553.56	561.19	550.4			530(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5	-10000	-3	-10	0.08	59%	-0.24	-43	5.94%	0	-1	56	0
12	Aug_10_2015	643.49	555.07	564.59	555.8			536(-4.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-6	1	0.1	59%	-0.19	-51.2	5.97%	0	-0.8	56	0
13	Aug_7_2015	644.69	555.67	568.74	566.6			560(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-6	15	0.07	54%	-0.12	-47.6	6.19%	0	0.2	53	0
14	Aug_6_2015	645.44	557.36	570.65	577			557(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-2	36	0.13	54%	-0.05	-27.5	6.19%	0	-0	57	0
15	Aug_5_2015	645.78	560.49	570.77	580.4			569(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	4	46	0.09	54%	-0.09	-16.6	6.19%	0	0.2	57	0

16	Aug_4_2015	646.35	564.2	566.2	573.4			557(-5.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	-0	38	0.07	54%	-0.23	-10.9	6.19%	0	-0.2	58	0
17	Aug_3_2015	647.83	567.55	562.96	574			590(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	2	34	0.06	54%	-0.19	-5.2	6.17%	0	0.6	55	0
18	Jul_31_2015	649.06	568.02	558.83	571			612(6.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	4	33	0.08	54%	-0.13	-6.5	6.2%	0	1.1	60	0
19	Jul_30_2015	649.91	565.53	549.79	564.4			574(7.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	2	14	0.1	49%	-0.11	-10.2	6.18%	0	0.2	46	0
20	Jul_29_2015	650.63	566.44	545.91	560.6			534(-4.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	1	-10000	2	-3	0.06	47%	-0.29	-13.7	6.43%	0	-0.8	36	0

21	Jul_28_2015	652.54	568.42	545.08	557.4			560(-2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	5	-25	0.06	47%	-0.29	-22.5	6.46%	0	-0.2	36	0
22	Jul_27_2015	654.45	569.6	544.55	549.2			575(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	3	-44	0.06	49%	-0.12	-32.4	6.46%	0	0.1	42	0
23	Jul_24_2015	655.23	570.59	541.16	544.4			579(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	6	-56	0.1	49%	-0.11	-33.1	6.53%	0	0.2	46	0
24	Jul_23_2015	655.94	569.48	542.13	533.6			555(7.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	2	-63	0.27	49%	-0.23	-44.1	6.51%	0	-0.4	50	0
25	Jul_22_2015	657.44	571.8	548.35	530			518(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-0	-64	0.13	47%		-40.4	6.5%	0	-1.4	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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