Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $815.0000 (-6.75%) ($792.0000 - $846.9000) on Wed. Apr. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.84% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $815.0000(-6.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    UUP(7%)    TIP(4%)    SHY(3%)    BND(1%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -3.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-16%)    XLE(-13%)    USO(-12%)    VWO(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.42% (StdDev 6.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $848.4(-3.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $814.11(0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $810.38(0.57%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   39.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 6.69% (three month std-dev: 6.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2015	713.25	810.38	814.11	848.4			815(-6.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	3	-10000	3	3	0.08	52%	0.5	46.8	6.84%	0	0.1	49	0
2	Apr_28_2015	709.69	808.75	812.24	840			874(-2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	5	0	0.04	52%	0.58	53.5	6.99%	0	1.2	60	0
3	Apr_27_2015	705.57	803.63	809.92	825.2			896(7.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	5	-10000	5	3	0.07	52%	0.7	55.9	6.99%	0	1.8	64	0
4	Apr_24_2015	700.66	796.69	807.01	812			835(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	6	8	0.06	50%	0.53	64.1	6.97%	0	0.8	60	0
5	Apr_23_2015	697	792.05	810.28	795.4			822(6.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	7	15	0.1	50%	0.59	64.6	7.03%	0	0.6	63	0

6	Apr_22_2015	692.93	785.8	812.49	775			773(-3.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-2	3	0.05	50%	0.55	57.9	7.1%	0	-0.2	49	0
7	Apr_21_2015	689.11	780.6	813.86	779.4			800(-3.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-3	-10000	-5	4	0.04	50%	0.66	56.3	7.16%	0	0.3	54	0
8	Apr_20_2015	684.61	775.17	809.24	792.2			830(10.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	-10000	-4	10	0.08	54%	0.22	59	7.21%	0	0.9	56	0
9	Apr_17_2015	683.08	766.62	801.85	803.2			752(4.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-8	14	0.05	52%	0.11	57.4	7.35%	0	-0.2	52	0
10	Apr_16_2015	682.35	761.47	799.25	828.4			720(-9.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	1	-10000	-8	26	0.12	52%	0.06	60	7.39%	0	-0.6	52	0

11	Apr_15_2015	681.94	756.07	808.71	854.2			795(-7.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	16	-10000	1	59	0.07	55%	0.18	61.1	7.33%	0	0.5	65	0
12	Apr_14_2015	680.71	747.98	807.61	850.8			864(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	8	74	0.05	47%	0.3	52	7.35%	0	1.4	75	0
13	Apr_13_2015	678.7	739.4	798.38	827			885(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	8	62	0.05	44%	0.34	43.5	8.42%	0	1.8	72	0
14	Apr_10_2015	676.41	729.91	785.52	800.6			878(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	10	58	0.04	48%	0.34	41.5	8.79%	0	2	74	0
15	Apr_9_2015	674.14	720.08	771.11	767.2			849(9.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	3	48	0.11	48%	0.3	35.7	8.85%	0	2	74	0

16	Apr_8_2015	672.15	709.45	755.05	758.6			778(4.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	-0	53	0.06	46%	0.18	30.5	8.79%	0	1.2	74	0
17	Apr_7_2015	670.94	706.16	743.36	759			745(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-2	58	0.05	46%	0.13	29.6	8.81%	0	0.7	66	0
18	Apr_6_2015	670.08	705.8	737.8	765.2			753(5.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-1	62	0.05	46%	0.15	32	8.84%	0	0.8	56	0
19	Apr_2_2015	669.1	700.69	728.41	767.4			711(-11.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	14	-10000	-2	60	0.15	46%	0.07	25.5	8.74%	0	0.2	52	0
20	Apr_1_2015	668.6	697.78	721.8	773.4			806(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	7	64	0.1	49%	0.25	19	8.63%	0	1.9	61	0

21	Mar_31_2015	666.95	691.91	700.41	750.2			780(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	8	47	0.05	53%	0.21	12.7	8.69%	0	1.7	65	0
22	Mar_30_2015	665.57	689.76	684.61	725			776(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	6	22	0.07	53%	0.21	9.9	8.93%	0	1.7	54	0
23	Mar_27_2015	664.2	688.04	675.85	706.6			764(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	7	8	0.09	50%	0.19	11	9.03%	0	1.5	51	0
24	Mar_26_2015	662.96	686.63	669	684.4			741(7.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	7	1	0.15	50%	0.15	13.4	9.1%	0	1.1	59	0
25	Mar_25_2015	661.97	687.25	663.35	663			690(5.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	7	-6	0.08	50%		10.6	9.06%	0	0.1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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