Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $887.0000 (7.52%) ($831.9900 - $905.0000) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.07% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $887.0000(7.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 12.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(7%)    UUP(7%)    TIP(3%)    SHY(2%)    BND(1%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -5.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-16%)    XLE(-13%)    VWO(-11%)    USO(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.035% (StdDev 10.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $820.4(8.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $762.78(16.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $726.59(22.08%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   141%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 13.22% (three month std-dev: 10.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2015	635	726.59	762.78	820.4			887(7.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	5	79	0.08	68%	0.89	13.7	10.07%	0	1.7	73	0
2	Feb_4_2015	629.4	721.62	744.27	800.2			825(9.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	7	90	0.05	68%	0.71	14.5	10.15%	0	1.1	74	0
3	Feb_3_2015	624.95	717.96	727.02	773.3			753(-8.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	5	69	0.09	68%	0.48	12.5	10.21%	0	0.4	53	0
4	Feb_2_2015	621.98	718.73	721.96	755.3			822(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	7	47	0.07	68%	0.77	8.8	10.2%	0	1.2	50	0
5	Jan_30_2015	617.21	715.27	700.6	730.1			815(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	9	25	0.07	68%	0.79	3.4	10.32%	0	1.1	55	0

6	Jan_29_2015	612.39	713.69	675.68	696.5			786(13.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	4	-8	0.15	68%	0.71	0.7	10.44%	0	0.8	54	0
7	Jan_28_2015	608.05	708.62	648.5	681.9			690.5(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	2	-39	0.07	66%	0.35	-0.9	10.42%	0	-0.2	48	0
8	Jan_27_2015	605.94	706.99	652.61	674.6			663(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-2	-45	0.1	66%	0.25	3.4	10.55%	0	-0.5	49	0
9	Jan_26_2015	604.43	710.91	671.27	682.8			696(7.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	5	-32	0.07	66%	0.41	21.6	10.63%	0	-0.2	50	0
10	Jan_23_2015	601.96	712.3	675.89	665.6			647(-9.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	5	-40	0.08	66%	0.21	31.1	10.74%	0	-0.7	48	0

11	Jan_22_2015	600.71	713.14	687.47	649.6			713(9.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	12	-46	0.1	66%	0.54	35.7	10.71%	0	-0	49	0
12	Jan_21_2015	597.5	709.44	696.25	609.4			654(-7.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-10000	-5	-60	0.09	66%	0.28	33.3	10.81%	0	-0.6	53	0
13	Jan_20_2015	595.84	704.06	707.64	628			704(15.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-19	-10000	-9	-48	0.12	66%	0.55	45.6	10.84%	0	-0	58	0
14	Jan_16_2015	592.56	692.47	714.57	661.8			610(7.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-8	-33	0.12	64%	0.09	51.8	10.77%	0	-0.8	48	0
15	Jan_15_2015	592.02	686.02	731.39	690.4			567(10.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-10	-20	0.17	64%	-0.13	54.1	10.9%	0	-1.1	46	0

16	Jan_14_2015	592.82	682.73	756.45	730.6			512(-31.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-9	-10000	-14	5	0.18	64%	-0.45	61.1	10.96%	0	-1.4	48	0
17	Jan_13_2015	595.52	681.02	777.92	791.4			747(-14.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-1	49	0.09	76%	0.89	74.8	9.21%	0	0.5	63	0
18	Jan_12_2015	590.29	665.67	769.74	795.8			873(15.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	22	-10000	6	71	0.09	83%	1.74	71.1	8.77%	0	1.5	77	0
19	Jan_9_2015	580.2	644.89	755.34	777			753(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-1	91	0.07	81%	1.12	65.5	8.59%	0	0.8	79	0
20	Jan_8_2015	573.8	629.95	752.65	780.4			768(-5.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-10000	-2	126	0.1	81%	1.32	66.6	8.69%	0	1	80	0

21	Jan_7_2015	566.33	615.13	741.55	787.6			816(6.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	-10000	8	164	0.11	81%	1.8	71.6	8.67%	0	1.4	80	0
22	Jan_6_2015	556.34	597.73	723.09	762.4			769(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	-10000	7	176	0.07	81%	1.62	73.4	8.83%	0	1.2	80	0
23	Jan_5_2015	547.48	580.31	699.58	738.4			779(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	2	176	0.07	81%	1.87	0	8.97%	0	1.5	82	0
24	Jan_2_2015	537.41	564.83	667.65	730.4			770(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	-10000	3	179	0.08	81%	2.01	0	9.15%	0	1.6	75	0
25	Dec_31_2014	526.84	547.34	636.07	721			804(16.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	55	-10000	10	189	0.11	81%		0	9.19%	0	2.1	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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