Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $873.0000 (15.94%) ($808.8000 - $892.0000) on Mon. Jan. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.77% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $873.0000(15.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 10% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(7%)    UUP(7%)    TIP(3%)    SHY(2%)    BNDX(1%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -4.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-16%)    XLE(-13%)    USO(-12%)    VWO(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.385% (StdDev 8.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $795.8(9.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $769.74(13.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $665.67(31.15%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   137.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 20.69% (three month std-dev: 8.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2015	590.29	665.67	769.74	795.8			873(15.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	22	-10000	6	71	0.09	83%	1.74	71.1	8.77%	0	1.5	77	0
2	Jan_9_2015	580.2	644.89	755.34	777			753(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-1	91	0.07	81%	1.12	65.5	8.59%	0	0.8	79	0
3	Jan_8_2015	573.8	629.95	752.65	780.4			768(-5.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-10000	-2	126	0.1	81%	1.32	66.6	8.69%	0	1	80	0
4	Jan_7_2015	566.33	615.13	741.55	787.6			816(6.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	-10000	8	164	0.11	81%	1.8	71.6	8.67%	0	1.4	80	0
5	Jan_6_2015	556.34	597.73	723.09	762.4			769(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	-10000	7	176	0.07	81%	1.62	73.4	8.83%	0	1.2	80	0

6	Jan_5_2015	547.48	580.31	699.58	738.4			779(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	2	176	0.07	81%	1.87	0	8.97%	0	1.5	82	0
7	Jan_2_2015	537.41	564.83	667.65	730.4			770(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	-10000	3	179	0.08	81%	2.01	0	9.15%	0	1.6	75	0
8	Dec_31_2014	526.84	547.34	636.07	721			804(16.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	55	-10000	10	189	0.11	81%	2.57	0	9.19%	0	2.1	78	0
9	Dec_30_2014	513.64	526.62	601.69	690			690(6.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	47	-10000	4	177	0.04	79%	1.75	0	8.99%	0	1.5	70	0
10	Dec_29_2014	504.83	510.34	576.46	678			649(-12.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	49	-10000	9	170	0.1	79%	1.53	0	9.2%	0	1.3	67	0

11	Dec_26_2014	497.24	510.34	554.27	652.2			739(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	20	-10000	23	9	0.07	88%	2.78	0	8.66%	0	7.1	79	0
12	Dec_24_2014	483.81	510.34	525.09	593.4			723(11.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	-10000	23	9	0.05	88%	3	0	8.89%	0	8.1	68	0
13	Dec_23_2014	469.74	510.34	495.84	538			649(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	14	-10000	16	6	0.09	87%	2.44	0	8.99%	0	9.2	70	0
14	Dec_22_2014	458.53	510.34	476.53	501.2			630(21.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	15	-10000	18	7	0.15	87%	2.56	0	9.28%	0	11.3	71	0
15	Dec_19_2014	447.1	510.34	459.5	461.8			520(16.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	9	-10000	11	4	0.14	83%	1.18	0	8.36%	0	14.8	69	0

16	Dec_18_2014	441.89	510.34	449.52	442.2			445(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.1	77%	0.05	0	7.69%	0	14.7	50	0
17	Dec_17_2014	441.65	510.34	453.13	445.6			446(-4.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-0	0	0.06	77%	0.08	0	7.98%	0	14.2	50	0
18	Dec_16_2014	441.29	510.34	451.99	446			465(7.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.13	77%	0.49	0	8.11%	0	14.3	50	0
19	Dec_15_2014	439.14	510.34	446.4	447.6			433(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.07	77%	-0.14	0	8.35%	0	13	50	0
20	Dec_12_2014	439.75	510.34	440.83	456.8			422(-8.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-0	0	0.12	77%	-0.45	0	8.8%	0	12.1	50	0

21	Dec_11_2014	441.72	510.34	440.83	457.2			462(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.13	77%	0.58	0	8.45%	0	12.8	50	0
22	Dec_10_2014	439.19	510.34	440.83	461.6			448(-5.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	-10000	2	1	0.1	77%	0.29	0	9.04%	0	11.9	50	0
23	Dec_9_2014	437.93	510.34	440.83	458.3			473(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	7	3	0.13	77%	1.35	0	9%	0	11.8	50	0
24	Dec_8_2014	432.08	510.34	440.83	444.9			479(12.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	11	4	0.07	77%	2.22	0	9.42%	0	11.9	50	0
25	Dec_5_2014	422.7	510.34	440.83	422.7			424(-12.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-10000	51	20	0.13	70%		0	9.76%	0	11.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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