Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 26, 2018

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $105.3000 (1.49%) ($103.4200 - $105.3300) on Fri. Jan. 26, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $105.3000(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(46%)    SPLV(45%)    IVW(42%)    IWF(42%)    SPY(42%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)    XHB(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $103.44(1.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.94(3.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.45(6.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30.5%
Market Cap   $26.506b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 3.97% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.8%(34%) Average negative next day return: -1.64%(66%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.27%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -3.01%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.47%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.54%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2018	87.03	98.45	101.94	103.44	103.7	104.38	105.3(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	103	50	64	220	2.13	79%	0.35	75.1	1.25%	0	1.8	80	136.8
2	Jan_25_2018	86.73	97.81	101.23	102.77	103.03	103.45	103.75(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	84	40	41	214	1.72	78%	0.34	74.1	1.24%	0	1.6	80	137.4
3	Jan_24_2018	86.44	97.23	100.36	102.23	102.39	103.02	102.69(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	78	50	35	205	1.55	78%	0.34	72.7	1.24%	0	1.5	80	-1.4
4	Jan_23_2018	86.15	96.73	99.55	101.79	101.92	102.61	103.17(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	107	50	71	215	1.59	78%	0.21	74.3	1.23%	0	1.8	82	0.1
5	Jan_22_2018	85.97	96.14	98.65	100.84	101.07	101.76	102.27(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	85	50	50	190	1.26	78%	0.36	73.7	1.23%	0	1.8	83	0.9

6	Jan_19_2018	85.66	95.6	97.98	100.21	100.33	101.23	101.98(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	97	70	64	197	1.87	78%	0.36	74.3	1.23%	0	2.1	83	1
7	Jan_18_2018	85.35	95.09	97.26	99.45	99.63	100.37	101.03(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	115	60	86	200	1.5	78%	0.29	75.3	1.23%	0	2.1	82	-INF
8	Jan_17_2018	85.1	94.64	96.54	98.2	98.53	99.42	100.5(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	99	70	75	170	2.55	78%	0.28	68.1	1.23%	0	2.3	82	INF
9	Jan_16_2018	84.86	94.14	95.87	96.95	97.19	98.89	98.44(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	109	130	94	152	2.42	76%	0.35	58.6	1.21%	0	1.9	75	INF
10	Jan_12_2018	84.56	93.75	95.33	96.09	96.06	97.65	99.1(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	132	110	126	149	2.33	76%	0.28	46.2	1.2%	0	2.6	82	INF

11	Jan_11_2018	84.32	93.36	94.65	95.42	95.1	95.49	98.19(3.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	71	20	58	108	3.28	78%	0.26	46	1.2%	0	2.7	80	INF
12	Jan_10_2018	84.1	92.99	94.07	94.8	94.88	94.48	94.78(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-30	-8	71	1.47	77%	0.23	50	1.15%	0	1.3	68	INF
13	Jan_9_2018	83.91	92.91	93.85	94.64	94.93	94.7	94.25(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10	-22	60	2.63	73%	0.24	56.2	1.17%	0	1	61	INF
14	Jan_8_2018	83.71	92.85	93.72	94.6	94.84	95.28	94.15(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	40	17	85	2.09	73%	0.25	76.2	1.19%	0	1	69	INF
15	Jan_5_2018	83.5	92.8	93.48	94.37	94.56	95.15	95.72(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	68	50	57	100	2.46	74%	0.26	92.1	1.19%	0	2.2	81	INF

16	Jan_4_2018	83.28	92.55	93.07	93.75	93.96	94.41	95.09(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	50	40	41	77	2.91	74%	0.26	102.5	1.19%	0	2.3	69	INF
17	Jan_3_2018	83.06	92.31	92.76	93.25	93.42	93.97	93.99(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	50	34	65	1.82	74%	0.25	113	1.18%	0	1.7	68	INF
18	Jan_2_2018	82.85	92.15	92.6	92.95	93.05	93.51	94.06(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	40	39	54	1.99	74%	0.3	122.5	1.19%	0	1.9	51	INF
19	Dec_29_2017	82.6	91.86	92.28	92.72	92.75	92.86	93.01(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	10	21	29	2.32	74%	0.22	99.3	1.19%	0	0.9	46	INF
20	Dec_28_2017	82.42	91.62	92.07	92.45	92.59	92.58	92.58(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	0	4	1	1.02	74%	0.18	84	1.19%	0	0.6	44	INF

21	Dec_27_2017	82.27	91.44	91.97	92.28	92.44	92.65	92.62(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	20	4	-0	1.92	74%	0.21	82.3	1.19%	0	0.7	59	INF
22	Dec_26_2017	82.1	91.21	91.83	92.17	92.43	92.6	92.48(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	20	17	6	1.26	74%	0.28	76	1.19%	0	0.7	61	INF
23	Dec_22_2017	81.87	90.92	91.89	92.19	92.35	92.23	92.91(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-0	8	15	2.67	75%	0.23	63.5	1.2%	0	0.9	60	INF
24	Dec_21_2017	81.68	90.6	91.91	91.79	92.26	92.26	91.64(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	20	-1	27	2.36	75%	0.21	62.2	1.2%	0	0.5	67	INF
25	Dec_20_2017	81.51	90.39	92.07	91.62	92.11	92.46	91.73(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	40	16	54	4.05	75%		68.5	1.21%	0	0.6	67	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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