Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 11, 2018

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $98.1900 (3.6%) ($94.6000 - $98.3300) on Thu. Jan. 11, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $98.1900(3.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(46%)    SPLV(45%)    IVW(42%)    IWF(42%)    SPY(42%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)    XHB(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $95.42(2.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.65(3.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.36(5.17%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.7%
Market Cap   $24.717b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(44%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 1.43%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -1.24%(52%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 2.27%(41%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.44%(59%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2018	84.32	93.36	94.65	95.42	95.1	95.49	98.19(3.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	71	20	58	108	3.28	78%	0.26	46	1.2%	0	2.7	80	INF
2	Jan_10_2018	84.1	92.99	94.07	94.8	94.88	94.48	94.78(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-30	-8	71	1.47	77%	0.23	50	1.15%	0	1.3	68	INF
3	Jan_9_2018	83.91	92.91	93.85	94.64	94.93	94.7	94.25(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10	-22	60	2.63	73%	0.24	56.2	1.17%	0	1	61	INF
4	Jan_8_2018	83.71	92.85	93.72	94.6	94.84	95.28	94.15(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	40	17	85	2.09	73%	0.25	76.2	1.19%	0	1	69	INF
5	Jan_5_2018	83.5	92.8	93.48	94.37	94.56	95.15	95.72(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	68	50	57	100	2.46	74%	0.26	92.1	1.19%	0	2.2	81	INF

6	Jan_4_2018	83.28	92.55	93.07	93.75	93.96	94.41	95.09(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	50	40	41	77	2.91	74%	0.26	102.5	1.19%	0	2.3	69	INF
7	Jan_3_2018	83.06	92.31	92.76	93.25	93.42	93.97	93.99(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	50	34	65	1.82	74%	0.25	113	1.18%	0	1.7	68	INF
8	Jan_2_2018	82.85	92.15	92.6	92.95	93.05	93.51	94.06(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	40	39	54	1.99	74%	0.3	122.5	1.19%	0	1.9	51	INF
9	Dec_29_2017	82.6	91.86	92.28	92.72	92.75	92.86	93.01(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	10	21	29	2.32	74%	0.22	99.3	1.19%	0	0.9	46	INF
10	Dec_28_2017	82.42	91.62	92.07	92.45	92.59	92.58	92.58(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	0	4	1	1.02	74%	0.18	84	1.19%	0	0.6	44	INF

11	Dec_27_2017	82.27	91.44	91.97	92.28	92.44	92.65	92.62(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	20	4	-0	1.92	74%	0.21	82.3	1.19%	0	0.7	59	INF
12	Dec_26_2017	82.1	91.21	91.83	92.17	92.43	92.6	92.48(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	20	17	6	1.26	74%	0.28	76	1.19%	0	0.7	61	INF
13	Dec_22_2017	81.87	90.92	91.89	92.19	92.35	92.23	92.91(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-0	8	15	2.67	75%	0.23	63.5	1.2%	0	0.9	60	INF
14	Dec_21_2017	81.68	90.6	91.91	91.79	92.26	92.26	91.64(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	20	-1	27	2.36	75%	0.21	62.2	1.2%	0	0.5	67	INF
15	Dec_20_2017	81.51	90.39	92.07	91.62	92.11	92.46	91.73(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	40	16	54	4.05	75%	0.2	68.5	1.21%	0	0.6	67	INF

16	Dec_19_2017	81.35	90.14	92	91.6	91.8	92.27	92.1(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	40	29	71	1.79	75%	0.21	72.6	1.21%	0	0.8	65	INF
17	Dec_18_2017	81.18	89.89	91.85	91.43	91.59	91.76	92.55(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	20	14	75	1.91	75%	0.22	76.9	1.21%	0	1.1	70	INF
18	Dec_15_2017	81	89.54	91.67	91.59	91.61	91.33	90.93(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-20	-22	90	4.25	73%	0.2	79.9	1.2%	0	0.6	71	INF
19	Dec_14_2017	80.84	89.26	91.42	92.08	92	91.42	90.79(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-50	-40	110	2.49	73%	0.21	86.5	1.2%	0	0.6	71	INF
20	Dec_13_2017	80.67	88.86	91.19	92.59	92.44	91.89	91.64(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-50	-45	133	2.37	73%	0.22	84.9	1.2%	0	0.9	68	INF

21	Dec_12_2017	80.49	88.45	90.91	92.44	93.21	92.57	91.23(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	36	-20	-5	158	3.69	73%	0.24	84.5	1.2%	0	0.9	69	INF
22	Dec_11_2017	80.3	88.07	90.59	92.26	92.84	92.99	93.35(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	29	30	-15	162	2.85	78%	0.27	85.8	1.16%	0	1.6	77	INF
23	Dec_8_2017	80.08	87.6	89.89	91.75	92.35	93.85	93.38(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	116	130	89	196	2.53	78%	0.28	90	1.16%	0	1.9	81	INF
24	Dec_7_2017	79.86	87.02	89.17	90.67	91.62	92.69	93.37(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	153	110	141	190	6.48	78%	0.28	82.4	1.18%	0	2.1	82	INF
25	Dec_6_2017	79.64	86.38	88.52	89.61	89.95	90.84	90.85(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	80	35	147	3.74	76%		74.8	1.14%	0	1.6	83	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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