Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $90.9300 (0.15%) ($90.8800 - $92.2400) on Fri. Dec. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $90.9300(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(46%)    SPLV(45%)    IVW(42%)    IWF(42%)    SPY(42%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)    XHB(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.59(-0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.67(-0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.54(1.55%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $22.889b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.78% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.35%(17%) Average negative next day return: -1.35%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.88%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.46%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.27%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.82%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2017	81	89.54	91.67	91.59	91.61	91.33	90.93(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-20	-22	90	4.25	73%	0.2	79.9	1.2%	0	0.6	71	0
2	Dec_14_2017	80.84	89.26	91.42	92.08	92	91.42	90.79(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-50	-40	110	2.49	73%	0.21	86.5	1.2%	0	0.6	71	0
3	Dec_13_2017	80.67	88.86	91.19	92.59	92.44	91.89	91.64(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-50	-45	133	2.37	73%	0.22	84.9	1.2%	0	0.9	68	0
4	Dec_12_2017	80.49	88.45	90.91	92.44	93.21	92.57	91.23(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	36	-20	-5	158	3.69	73%	0.24	84.5	1.2%	0	0.9	69	0
5	Dec_11_2017	80.3	88.07	90.59	92.26	92.84	92.99	93.35(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	29	30	-15	162	2.85	78%	0.27	85.8	1.16%	0	1.6	77	0

6	Dec_8_2017	80.08	87.6	89.89	91.75	92.35	93.85	93.38(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	116	130	89	196	2.53	78%	0.28	90	1.16%	0	1.9	81	0
7	Dec_7_2017	79.86	87.02	89.17	90.67	91.62	92.69	93.37(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	153	110	141	190	6.48	78%	0.28	82.4	1.18%	0	2.1	82	0
8	Dec_6_2017	79.64	86.38	88.52	89.61	89.95	90.84	90.85(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	80	35	147	3.74	76%	0.26	74.8	1.14%	0	1.6	83	0
9	Dec_5_2017	79.43	85.87	88.09	89.18	89.43	90.55	90.37(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	112	100	91	176	2.65	78%	0.23	69.7	1.15%	0	1.6	76	0
10	Dec_4_2017	79.25	85.39	87.73	88.65	88.79	89.07	90.77(3.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	94	30	69	167	3.61	78%	0.25	64.7	1.18%	0	1.9	76	0

11	Dec_1_2017	79.05	84.93	87.19	87.76	88.03	88.31	87.98(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	30	8	130	3.15	76%	0.23	58.8	1.13%	0	1.1	67	0
12	Nov_30_2017	78.87	84.65	86.89	87.42	87.64	88.52	88.08(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	80	42	131	3.59	63%	0.23	53.7	1.33%	0	1.3	73	0
13	Nov_29_2017	78.69	84.3	86.34	87.25	87.22	87.74	88.68(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	75	40	52	142	4.22	63%	0.25	48	1.33%	0	1.7	78	0
14	Nov_28_2017	78.49	83.9	85.8	86.85	86.85	86.77	87.73(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10	6	128	2.47	63%	0.23	40.3	1.32%	0	1.6	77	0
15	Nov_27_2017	78.31	83.57	85.38	86.69	86.82	86.7	86.35(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-10	-6	136	2.93	62%	0.22	35.5	1.32%	0	1.2	75	0

16	Nov_24_2017	78.14	83.4	85.16	86.52	86.84	86.93	86.28(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	20	15	151	1.18	65%	0.3	34.7	1.35%	0	1.3	67	0
17	Nov_22_2017	77.91	83.28	84.74	86.25	86.37	86.94	87.23(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	68	50	39	154	1.51	67%	0.12	36.4	1.34%	0	1.9	67	0
18	Nov_21_2017	77.82	83.09	84.09	85.26	85.75	86.74	86.65(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	89	100	73	136	2.91	67%	0.19	28.6	1.36%	0	1.9	69	0
19	Nov_20_2017	77.67	82.93	83.5	84.58	84.52	85.8	86.94(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	80	100	68	116	3.27	67%	0.19	26.1	1.36%	0	2.3	72	0
20	Nov_17_2017	77.52	82.75	82.85	83.9	83.69	84.76	85.5(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	75	80	68	95	2.49	65%	0.19	22.9	1.36%	0	1.9	66	0

21	Nov_16_2017	77.37	82.64	82.47	83.63	83.36	83.24	84.91(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	-20	41	71	3.51	65%	0.18	23.3	1.36%	0	1.7	54	0
22	Nov_15_2017	77.23	82.52	82.2	83.03	83.01	82.62	82.3(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-30	-21	20	2.24	55%	0.14	14.4	1.31%	0	-0.2	41	0
23	Nov_14_2017	77.12	82.55	82.1	82.71	82.76	83.47	83.25(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	60	26	16	2.76	55%	0.17	8.5	1.39%	0	0.6	45	0
24	Nov_13_2017	76.99	82.49	81.85	82.19	82.13	83.39	83.55(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	58	110	76	5	2.79	55%	0.18	1.3	1.4%	0	0.8	46	0
25	Nov_10_2017	76.85	82.42	81.6	81.62	81.32	82.04	84.15(2.73%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2.1	38	50	61	-31	3.67	52%		-1.3	1.4%	0	1.4	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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