Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $83.6100 (0.84%) ($83.0900 - $83.7900) on Fri. Oct. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $83.6100(0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(46%)    SPLV(44%)    IVW(42%)    SPY(42%)    IWF(41%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)    XHB(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.71(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.15(1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.42(2.69%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $21.046b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.15%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.24%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.6%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2017	75.59	81.42	82.15	82.71	82.77	83.18	83.61(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	40	27	52	2.17	56%	0.08	91.7	1.36%	0	1.5	58	0
2	Oct_19_2017	75.53	81.13	81.83	82.5	82.45	82.75	82.91(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	20	40	1.66	56%	0.12	79.3	1.36%	0	1.1	59	0
3	Oct_18_2017	75.44	80.83	81.67	82.35	82.35	82.35	82.8(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	0	10	40	3.51	56%	0.13	73.2	1.36%	0	1.1	64	0
4	Oct_17_2017	75.34	80.57	81.51	82.3	82.25	82.16	82.1(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10	-1	40	1.37	56%	0.09	68.9	1.38%	0	0.8	62	0
5	Oct_16_2017	75.27	80.33	81.43	82.07	82.16	82.35	82.12(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	20	20	53	1.49	56%	0.13	63.9	1.38%	0	1	65	0

6	Oct_13_2017	75.17	80.09	81.4	81.48	81.74	82.33	82.57(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	60	35	54	2.02	56%	0.15	58.1	1.38%	0	1.3	67	0
7	Oct_12_2017	75.06	79.84	81.23	81.03	81.07	81.98	82.18(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	80	41	60	1.89	56%	0.16	57.9	1.39%	0	1.3	72	0
8	Oct_11_2017	74.94	79.59	81.02	80.89	80.68	81.15	82.54(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	50	30	42	74	2.99	56%	0.16	60.4	1.39%	0	1.6	77	0
9	Oct_10_2017	74.82	79.35	80.75	80.64	80.61	80.15	80.94(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-40	-10	60	1.91	53%	0.12	66.2	1.37%	0	0.9	67	0
10	Oct_9_2017	74.73	79.15	80.6	80.74	80.88	80.21	79.18(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-23	-50	-51	60	2.39	50%	0.09	72.1	1.36%	0	0	65	0

11	Oct_6_2017	74.66	79	80.65	81.28	81.33	81.06	80.33(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-20	-25	101	1.97	49%	0.12	83.8	1.35%	0	0.7	69	0
12	Oct_5_2017	74.57	78.77	80.41	81.42	81.52	81.55	81.48(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	37	10	8	122	1.48	52%	0.15	92.8	1.35%	0	1.4	74	0
13	Oct_4_2017	74.46	78.52	79.96	81.13	81.3	81.6	81.29(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	30	19	117	1.56	52%	0.15	88.9	1.36%	0	1.4	75	0
14	Oct_3_2017	74.35	78.21	79.59	80.86	80.84	81.49	81.4(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	60	36	116	2.06	52%	0.13	80.6	1.37%	0	1.6	69	0
15	Oct_2_2017	74.25	77.86	79.15	80.45	80.32	81.01	81.9(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	66	60	51	111	1.92	52%	0.13	72.7	1.37%	0	2.1	76	0

16	Sep_29_2017	74.15	77.4	78.68	79.93	79.79	80.2	81.05(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	30	46	102	2.49	55%	0.12	51.2	1.38%	0	1.8	77	0
17	Sep_28_2017	74.06	76.98	78.31	79.26	79.19	79.64	80.02(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	40	35	88	2.31	55%	0.09	33.6	1.38%	0	1.5	76	0
18	Sep_27_2017	73.99	76.79	78.02	78.61	78.55	79.38	79.93(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	70	45	78	2.54	55%	0.08	27.7	1.38%	0	1.6	68	0
19	Sep_26_2017	73.93	76.62	77.79	78.13	77.96	78.74	79.33(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	60	57	81	2.51	55%	0.08	23.9	1.38%	0	1.5	71	0
20	Sep_25_2017	73.87	76.5	77.54	77.66	77.44	77.72	79.34(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	20	34	72	2.97	55%	0.08	25	1.38%	0	1.7	74	0

21	Sep_22_2017	73.81	76.4	77.2	77.25	77.12	77.18	77.66(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	0	-2	64	3.51	48%	0.05	30.7	1.38%	0	0.8	76	0
22	Sep_21_2017	73.77	76.3	77	77.24	77.26	77.15	76.77(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10	1	83	1.71	48%	0.04	35.7	1.38%	0	0.3	74	0
23	Sep_20_2017	73.74	76.27	76.97	77.33	77.28	77.07	77.55(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-20	-13	80	1.77	48%	0.05	43.4	1.38%	0	0.8	52	0
24	Sep_19_2017	73.7	76.21	76.75	77.39	77.32	77.38	76.99(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	0	-7	78	2.1	51%	0.07	54.6	1.38%	0	0.5	50	0
25	Sep_18_2017	73.65	76.1	76.51	77.38	77.46	77.5	77.28(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	10	19	74	3.52	51%		48.5	1.4%	0	0.8	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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