Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $76.4600 (2.34%) ($75.1300 - $76.4800) on Tue. Aug. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $76.4600(2.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(46%)    SPLV(44%)    SPY(42%)    IVW(41%)    IWF(41%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-4%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)    XHB(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.75(2.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.19(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.22(1.65%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $19.247b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.48%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -1.4%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 4.66%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.91%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2017	72.55	75.22	75.19	74.75	74.58	75.14	76.46(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	32	50	43	-0	2.73	48%	0.1	58.2	1.71%	0	1.2	57	0
2	Aug_21_2017	72.48	75.08	75.18	74.19	74.21	74.19	74.71(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-0	-4	-29	1.9	45%	0.08	48.1	1.69%	0	-0.3	47	0
3	Aug_18_2017	72.42	74.96	75.35	74.56	74.37	74.03	73.82(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-40	-23	-23	2.28	45%	0.04	52	1.68%	0	-0.9	46	0
4	Aug_17_2017	72.39	74.9	75.48	74.89	74.99	74.24	74.27(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-70	-24	-14	3.93	45%	0.04	55.8	1.68%	0	-0.4	50	0
5	Aug_16_2017	72.36	74.78	75.52	75.16	75.33	74.7	74.5(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-50	-47	-19	2.8	45%	0.08	58	1.68%	0	-0.2	49	0

6	Aug_15_2017	72.3	74.64	75.57	75.69	75.77	75.75	73.64(-3.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	0	-22	6	4	45%	0.07	65.3	1.69%	0	-0.5	48	0
7	Aug_14_2017	72.25	74.53	75.78	76.3	76.14	75.96	76.57(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-20	4	43	3.12	49%	0.1	76.9	1.61%	0	1.1	68	0
8	Aug_11_2017	72.18	74.29	75.63	76.26	76.22	75.8	75.49(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-40	-15	50	1.75	46%	0.1	81.6	1.61%	0	0.6	71	0
9	Aug_10_2017	72.11	74.08	75.57	76.14	76.25	76.32	75.58(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	10	0	64	2.31	46%	0.07	78.3	1.64%	0	0.7	70	0
10	Aug_9_2017	72.06	73.84	75.53	75.92	75.89	76.64	77.15(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	70	30	89	2.53	48%	0.1	72.9	1.62%	0	1.5	83	0

11	Aug_8_2017	71.99	73.47	75.26	75.43	75.45	76.18	76.69(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	57	70	43	98	2.45	48%	0.08	62.2	1.62%	0	1.4	81	0
12	Aug_7_2017	71.93	73.09	74.95	75.2	75.06	75.14	76.41(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	37	0	17	96	2.06	48%	0.06	54.6	1.62%	0	1.5	82	0
13	Aug_4_2017	71.89	72.74	74.51	74.95	75.08	74.72	74.86(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-30	-9	82	1.38	46%	0.01	48.6	1.6%	0	1	68	0
14	Aug_3_2017	71.88	72.51	74.27	74.93	75.17	74.97	74.49(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10	-16	86	1.7	46%	0.03	47.4	1.6%	0	0.9	70	0
15	Aug_2_2017	71.86	72.29	73.98	75.05	75.15	75.43	74.71(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	30	4	104	3.02	49%	0.03	47.7	1.6%	0	1.2	73	0

16	Aug_1_2017	71.84	72.1	73.66	75.03	75.06	75.37	75.52(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	30	30	123	3.18	49%	0.04	50	1.62%	0	1.7	81	0
17	Jul_31_2017	71.81	71.9	73.19	74.64	74.61	74.88	75.16(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	20	24	120	1.58	49%	0.03	52.9	1.63%	0	1.8	82	0
18	Jul_28_2017	71.79	71.73	72.85	74	74.08	74.75	74.75(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	70	34	120	2.05	49%	0.01	53.8	1.63%	0	1.8	77	0
19	Jul_27_2017	71.78	71.52	72.48	73.49	73.39	74.34	75.12(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	71	90	55	119	2.3	49%	0.04	49.8	1.64%	0	2.3	73	0
20	Jul_26_2017	71.75	71.32	72.01	72.74	72.62	73.41	74.6(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	64	70	52	101	2.16	49%	0.04	42.5	1.64%	0	2.5	72	0

21	Jul_25_2017	71.72	71.11	71.51	72.1	72	72.43	73.57(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	44	40	35	70	1.8	49%	0.03	32.4	1.64%	0	2.3	59	0
22	Jul_24_2017	71.7	70.94	71.06	71.54	71.57	71.84	71.98(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	30	12	33	2.11	46%	-0.03	15.2	1.62%	0	1.2	48	0
23	Jul_21_2017	71.72	70.83	70.81	71.52	71.37	71.57	72.2(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	10	12	20	3.19	46%	-0.01	12.7	1.62%	0	1.5	48	0
24	Jul_20_2017	71.73	70.76	70.6	71.31	71.34	71.31	71.35(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-0	9	10	2.17	49%	-0.04	0	1.61%	0	0.7	52	0
25	Jul_19_2017	71.76	70.77	70.46	71.16	71.22	71.17	71.39(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-0	2	-4	1.59	49%		-25.8	1.63%	0	0.7	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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