Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 31, 2017

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $75.1600 (0.55%) ($74.3400 - $75.5300) on Mon. Jul. 31, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $75.1600(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(46%)    SPLV(44%)    SPY(42%)    IVW(41%)    IWF(41%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-4%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.64(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.19(2.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.9(4.53%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $18.919b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.57% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.01%(65%) Average negative next day return: -0.97%(35%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2.7%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -1.37%(53%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 2.52%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.42%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170831

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2017	71.81	71.9	73.19	74.64	74.61	74.88	75.16(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	20	24	120	1.58	49%	0.03	52.9	1.63%	0	1.8	82	INF
2	Jul_28_2017	71.79	71.73	72.85	74	74.08	74.75	74.75(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	70	34	120	2.05	49%	0.01	53.8	1.63%	0	1.8	77	INF
3	Jul_27_2017	71.78	71.52	72.48	73.49	73.39	74.34	75.12(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	71	90	55	119	2.3	49%	0.04	49.8	1.64%	0	2.3	73	INF
4	Jul_26_2017	71.75	71.32	72.01	72.74	72.62	73.41	74.6(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	64	70	52	101	2.16	49%	0.04	42.5	1.64%	0	2.5	72	INF
5	Jul_25_2017	71.72	71.11	71.51	72.1	72	72.43	73.57(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	44	40	35	70	1.8	49%	0.03	32.4	1.64%	0	2.3	59	INF

6	Jul_24_2017	71.7	70.94	71.06	71.54	71.57	71.84	71.98(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	30	12	33	2.11	46%	-0.03	15.2	1.62%	0	1.2	48	INF
7	Jul_21_2017	71.72	70.83	70.81	71.52	71.37	71.57	72.2(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	10	12	20	3.19	46%	-0.01	12.7	1.62%	0	1.5	48	INF
8	Jul_20_2017	71.73	70.76	70.6	71.31	71.34	71.31	71.35(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-0	9	10	2.17	49%	-0.04	0	1.61%	0	0.7	52	INF
9	Jul_19_2017	71.76	70.76	70.46	71.16	71.22	71.17	71.39(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-0	2	-4	1.59	49%	-0.01	-25.8	1.63%	0	0.7	49	INF
10	Jul_18_2017	71.77	70.77	70.43	70.82	71.1	71.38	70.8(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	11	40	17	-6	1.92	49%	-0.08	-60	1.63%	0	0	50	INF

11	Jul_17_2017	71.83	70.81	70.52	70.46	70.7	71.27	71.87(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	24	70	33	-3	2.21	49%	-0.08	-87.8	1.62%	0	1.2	57	INF
12	Jul_14_2017	71.89	70.72	70.51	69.99	70.13	70.81	71.14(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	22	70	31	-7	3.16	49%	-0.07	-132.5	1.61%	0	0.5	58	INF
13	Jul_13_2017	71.94	70.77	70.47	69.81	69.79	70.12	70.58(1.28%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	15	30	25	-16	3.07	49%	-0.1	-135.4	1.62%	0	-0.2	47	INF
14	Jul_12_2017	72.01	71	70.55	69.7	69.66	69.44	69.69(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-20	-11	-36	3.12	49%	-0.11	-87.3	1.62%	0	-0.9	40	INF
15	Jul_11_2017	72.09	71.28	70.67	70.01	69.91	69.47	69.04(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-50	-33	-39	7.78	49%	-0.04	-67.1	1.61%	0	-1.3	39	INF

16	Jul_10_2017	72.12	71.58	70.83	70.58	70.47	69.88	69.49(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-60	-37	-30	3.48	49%	-0.12	-63.2	1.61%	0	-1.2	39	INF
17	Jul_7_2017	72.21	71.86	70.89	71.1	71.15	70.36	70.23(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-80	-32	-15	1.56	49%	-0.08	-61.5	1.61%	0	-0.9	52	INF
18	Jul_6_2017	72.27	72.03	70.98	71.23	71.54	71.07	70.03(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-30	-35	-18	1.81	49%	-0.1	-71.2	1.61%	0	-1.1	41	INF
19	Jul_5_2017	72.34	72.24	71.15	71.52	71.7	71.94	71.24(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	30	0	-15	2.71	51%	-0.14	-67.2	1.6%	0	-0.5	34	INF
20	Jul_3_2017	72.44	72.43	71.16	71.43	71.65	72.01	71.93(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	16	40	30	-26	1.22	51%	-0.07	-52.2	1.59%	0	-0.2	35	INF

21	Jun_30_2017	72.49	72.72	71.12	71.12	71.28	71.46	72.09(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	20	21	-55	2.81	51%	-0.08	-39.1	1.6%	0	-0.2	38	INF
22	Jun_29_2017	72.55	73.04	70.93	70.65	70.9	71.29	70.84(-0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	50	9	-99	2.96	52%	-0.06	-31.3	1.58%	0	-0.8	33	INF
23	Jun_28_2017	72.59	73.39	71.06	70.7	70.69	71.09	71.48(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	40	18	-100	2.54	52%	-0.01	-19	1.62%	0	-0.7	42	INF
24	Jun_27_2017	72.6	73.5	71.43	70.75	70.65	70.51	70.79(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-24	-20	1	-100	2.72	52%	-0.03	-14.4	1.62%	0	-1	39	INF
25	Jun_26_2017	72.62	73.63	71.89	70.87	70.87	70.28	70.41(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-60	-28	-108	3.16	52%		-12.3	1.62%	0	-1.2	33	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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