Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 6, 2017

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $75.3400 (-3.79%) ($75.0500 - $77.2300) on Tue. Jun. 6, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.51% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $75.3400(-3.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(46%)    SPLV(44%)    IVW(41%)    IWF(41%)    SPY(41%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    TLT(-4%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.755% (StdDev 1.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.83(-1.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.45(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.24(2.87%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $18.965b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 3.47% (three month std-dev: 1.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.46%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.41%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -9.46%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.94%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2017	72.54	73.24	74.45	76.83	77.54	77.28	75.34(-3.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	25	0	-17	150	5.02	58%	0.03	36.9	1.51%	0	0.8	65	0
2	Jun_5_2017	72.52	73.15	74.17	76.36	76.73	78.52	78.31(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	106	180	78	189	2.65	66%	0.08	35.7	1.43%	0	2.1	71	0
3	Jun_2_2017	72.46	72.88	73.5	75.17	75.28	77.8	78.91(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	164	240	156	186	3.9	66%	0.07	27.2	1.44%	0	2.7	73	0
4	Jun_1_2017	72.41	72.56	72.68	73.88	73.71	74.94	78.19(6.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	135	110	135	133	7.59	66%	0.07	14.4	1.44%	0	3.3	69	0
5	May_31_2017	72.36	72.31	71.88	72.28	72.32	72.76	73.39(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	40	42	30	4.12	56%	-0.01	-11.7	1.2%	0	0.9	45	0

6	May_30_2017	72.37	72.32	71.62	71.75	71.62	72.48	73.02(0.97%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	23	80	34	-11	2.35	56%	-0.01	-15.7	1.21%	0	0.6	45	0
7	May_26_2017	72.38	72.27	71.47	71.63	71.37	71.88	72.32(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	29	40	45	-20	1.62	46%	-0.04	-16.8	1.33%	0	0	42	0
8	May_25_2017	72.41	72.28	71.39	71.56	71.31	70.77	72.47(3.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-60	2	-52	4.53	46%	-0.04	-10.4	1.34%	0	0.2	43	0
9	May_24_2017	72.44	72.32	71.32	71.29	71.32	70.86	70.21(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-57	-40	-45	-91	3.85	43%	-0.06	-7.4	1.28%	0	-1.8	31	0
10	May_23_2017	72.48	72.45	71.68	71.38	71.52	71.84	70.71(-2.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-13	40	5	-68	4.09	40%	-0.03	8	1.31%	0	-1.6	30	0

11	May_22_2017	72.5	72.5	71.97	71.43	71.36	71.78	72.45(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	40	31	-59	1.41	44%	-0.03	20	1.29%	0	-0	39	0
12	May_19_2017	72.52	72.46	72.08	71.28	71.13	71.2	71.95(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	0	9	-66	2.97	44%	-0.03	24.8	1.28%	0	-0.5	51	0
13	May_18_2017	72.54	72.41	72.23	71.21	71.24	70.94	71.13(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-30	-12	-73	2.47	44%	-0.04	29.6	1.28%	0	-1.1	42	0
14	May_17_2017	72.57	72.4	72.46	71.39	71.37	71.06	70.67(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-30	-44	-79	2.68	48%	-0.06	36.8	1.29%	0	-1.3	36	0
15	May_16_2017	72.61	72.36	72.8	72.04	71.83	71.55	70.94(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-40	-31	-43	2.27	45%	-0.03	47.2	1.32%	0	-1	43	0

16	May_15_2017	72.63	72.29	73.09	72.59	72.47	71.68	71.72(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-80	-34	-14	1.9	45%	-0.03	52.5	1.33%	0	-0.4	54	0
17	May_12_2017	72.65	72.18	73.16	72.99	72.88	72.11	71.58(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-49	-80	-63	-8	1.9	45%	-0.04	58.6	1.33%	0	-0.4	54	0
18	May_11_2017	72.68	72.06	73.29	73.39	73.41	73.25	72.06(-2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-10	-25	33	2.8	45%	-0.08	58.6	1.34%	0	0	61	0
19	May_10_2017	72.74	71.92	73.42	73.66	73.63	73.64	73.91(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-0	2	69	2.21	50%	-0.04	60.5	1.32%	0	1.1	75	0
20	May_9_2017	72.77	71.69	73.3	73.67	73.64	73.57	73.69(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-10	-4	88	2.23	56%	-0.04	62.6	1.32%	0	1.1	79	0

21	May_8_2017	72.8	71.48	73.09	73.69	73.73	73.62	73.69(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-10	7	104	1.35	60%	-0.04	66.2	1.4%	0	1.2	80	0
22	May_5_2017	72.83	71.26	72.87	73.36	73.55	73.72	73.62(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	20	5	105	2.07	60%	-0.05	61.9	1.44%	0	1.3	79	0
23	May_4_2017	72.87	71.05	72.6	73.18	73.29	73.84	73.37(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	60	21	117	1.83	60%	-0.03	58.3	1.45%	0	1.3	80	0
24	May_3_2017	72.89	70.8	72.33	73.15	73.07	73.38	73.99(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	30	32	132	2.25	60%	-0.04	53.6	1.46%	0	1.8	82	0
25	May_2_2017	72.92	70.51	71.87	72.87	72.85	72.74	73.77(2.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10	11	119	2.8	60%		51.7	1.46%	0	1.9	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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