Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $72.5300 (1.64%) ($71.4400 - $72.6100) on Wed. Mar. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.59% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $72.5300(1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(45%)    SPLV(43%)    SPY(41%)    IVW(40%)    IWF(40%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    TLT(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.795% (StdDev 1.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

Resistance Level   $75.35
5 Day Moving Average   $72.7(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.89(-1.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.35(-3.74%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $18.257b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 1.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.3%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.23%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.16%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.3%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.88%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.14%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2017	74.01	75.35	73.89	72.7	72.51	71.99	72.53(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-60	-22	-123	2.31	53%	0.05	-10.9	1.59%	0	-1.4	35	INF
2	Mar_7_2017	73.97	75.39	74.36	72.86	72.97	72.33	71.36(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-60	-38	-127	2.48	51%	0.04	-11	1.58%	0	-2	32	INF
3	Mar_6_2017	73.94	75.48	75.01	73.2	73.49	73.02	72.42(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-30	-39	-111	1.89	51%	0.05	-6.1	1.59%	0	-1.5	40	INF
4	Mar_3_2017	73.9	75.55	75.55	74.07	73.8	73.61	73.12(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-30	-41	-85	3.04	51%	0.05	12.9	1.6%	0	-1.3	39	INF
5	Mar_2_2017	73.86	75.59	75.86	74.92	74.65	73.96	74.07(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-80	-21	-63	2.43	51%	0.03	30	1.61%	0	-0.8	39	INF

6	Mar_1_2017	73.84	75.58	76.2	75.29	75.42	73.99	73.35(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-67	-130	-68	-62	5.04	46%	0.03	38.5	1.62%	0	-1.1	48	INF
7	Feb_28_2017	73.82	75.62	76.61	76.09	76.11	75.35	73.02(-4.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-62	-70	-74	-25	6.95	46%	0.01	56.5	1.71%	0	-1.4	55	INF
8	Feb_27_2017	73.81	75.6	76.61	77.06	77.02	76.84	76.79(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-20	-11	44	2.58	51%	0.07	73	1.62%	0	0.6	67	INF
9	Feb_24_2017	73.76	75.3	76.96	77.24	77.39	76.87	77.35(1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-40	-5	69	3.87	51%	0.08	65.4	1.61%	0	0.9	65	INF
10	Feb_23_2017	73.7	75.02	76.99	76.97	77.36	77.2	75.92(-1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	0	-26	74	1.98	49%	0.05	62.4	1.61%	0	0.4	60	INF

11	Feb_22_2017	73.66	74.83	76.93	77.26	77.34	77.91	77.38(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	50	15	109	1.32	51%	0.08	63.9	1.59%	0	1.1	66	INF
12	Feb_21_2017	73.6	74.55	76.51	77.21	77.21	77.52	77.86(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	30	36	111	2.22	51%	0.11	59	1.65%	0	1.4	65	INF
13	Feb_17_2017	73.52	74.18	75.97	76.85	76.82	76.76	77.67(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	22	-10	-1	91	2.52	51%	0.08	49.2	1.63%	0	1.4	70	INF
14	Feb_16_2017	73.46	73.84	75.53	76.67	76.79	76.91	76.02(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	20	-7	101	1.7	49%	0.05	44.4	1.61%	0	0.9	71	INF
15	Feb_15_2017	73.42	73.59	75.29	77.01	76.91	76.88	77.38(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10	16	132	1.65	51%	0.08	45.2	1.6%	0	1.6	69	INF

16	Feb_14_2017	73.36	73.33	74.88	76.55	76.8	76.67	77.14(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-0	18	129	4.46	51%	0.08	39	1.6%	0	1.8	67	INF
17	Feb_13_2017	73.3	73.16	74.53	75.68	76.14	76.95	76.02(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	90	31	120	1.83	51%	0.05	31.3	1.62%	0	1.4	65	INF
18	Feb_10_2017	73.26	73	74.13	74.93	75.15	76.94	76.79(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	96	180	84	130	2.6	55%	0.07	21.6	1.61%	0	2	72	INF
19	Feb_9_2017	73.21	72.81	73.49	74.2	73.97	75.34	77.71(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	93	120	88	107	4.86	55%	0.08	10	1.68%	0	2.9	72	INF
20	Feb_8_2017	73.15	72.56	72.85	73.35	73.16	73.35	75.07(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	10	30	66	2.76	51%	0.04	-14.9	1.65%	0	2	67	INF

21	Feb_7_2017	73.12	72.5	72.52	73.02	73.06	72.61	72.8(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-40	-18	37	2.06	47%	0.01	-23.9	1.61%	0	0.3	51	INF
22	Feb_6_2017	73.11	72.54	72.42	73.22	73.27	72.96	72.26(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-30	-17	32	2.11	47%	0.01	-19.8	1.62%	0	-0.2	41	INF
23	Feb_3_2017	73.1	72.59	72.26	73.17	73.28	73.52	73.14(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	30	19	34	2.44	47%	0	-24.4	1.61%	0	0.5	50	INF
24	Feb_2_2017	73.1	72.65	72.05	72.6	72.7	73.58	73.5(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	90	34	12	1.68	47%	0.04	-33.1	1.63%	0	0.7	48	INF
25	Feb_1_2017	73.07	72.75	71.79	72.24	72.09	73.04	73.39(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	37	90	50	-4	2.61	47%		-32.2	1.63%	0	0.4	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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