Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $76.0200 (-1.76%) ($75.4600 - $77.7000) on Thu. Feb. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $76.0200(-1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(45%)    SPLV(43%)    SPY(41%)    IVW(40%)    IWF(40%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.67(-0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.53(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.84(2.95%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $19.136b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 3.2% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.25%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.54%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2017	73.46	73.84	75.53	76.67	76.79	76.91	76.02(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	20	-7	101	1.7	49%	0.05	44.4	1.61%	0	0.9	71	0
2	Feb_15_2017	73.42	73.59	75.29	77.01	76.91	76.88	77.38(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10	16	132	1.65	51%	0.08	45.2	1.6%	0	1.6	69	0
3	Feb_14_2017	73.36	73.33	74.88	76.55	76.8	76.67	77.14(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-0	18	129	4.46	51%	0.08	39	1.6%	0	1.8	67	0
4	Feb_13_2017	73.3	73.16	74.53	75.68	76.14	76.95	76.02(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	90	31	120	1.83	51%	0.05	31.3	1.62%	0	1.4	65	0
5	Feb_10_2017	73.26	73	74.13	74.93	75.15	76.94	76.79(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	96	180	84	130	2.6	55%	0.07	21.6	1.61%	0	2	72	0

6	Feb_9_2017	73.21	72.81	73.49	74.2	73.97	75.34	77.71(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	93	120	88	107	4.86	55%	0.08	10	1.68%	0	2.9	72	0
7	Feb_8_2017	73.15	72.56	72.85	73.35	73.16	73.35	75.07(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	10	30	66	2.76	51%	0.04	-14.9	1.65%	0	2	67	0
8	Feb_7_2017	73.12	72.5	72.52	73.02	73.06	72.61	72.8(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-40	-18	37	2.06	47%	0.01	-23.9	1.61%	0	0.3	51	0
9	Feb_6_2017	73.11	72.54	72.42	73.22	73.27	72.96	72.26(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-30	-17	32	2.11	47%	0.01	-19.8	1.62%	0	-0.2	41	0
10	Feb_3_2017	73.1	72.59	72.26	73.17	73.28	73.52	73.14(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	30	19	34	2.44	47%	0	-24.4	1.61%	0	0.5	50	0

11	Feb_2_2017	73.1	72.65	72.05	72.6	72.7	73.58	73.5(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	90	34	12	1.68	47%	0.04	-33.1	1.63%	0	0.7	48	0
12	Feb_1_2017	73.07	72.75	71.79	72.24	72.09	73.04	73.39(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	37	90	50	-4	2.61	47%	0.04	-32.2	1.63%	0	0.4	49	0
13	Jan_31_2017	73.04	72.75	71.67	71.96	71.64	71.83	73.82(2.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	16	10	31	-28	4.07	47%	0.03	-36.9	1.63%	0	0.7	47	0
14	Jan_30_2017	73.02	72.78	71.66	71.54	71.49	71.14	72(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-40	-5	-53	2.31	44%	0.01	-45	1.6%	0	-0.5	42	0
15	Jan_27_2017	73.01	72.89	71.76	71.23	71.52	71.45	70.31(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	10	-12	-68	2.23	40%	-0.37	-59.7	1.58%	0	-1.7	37	0

16	Jan_26_2017	73.28	73.08	72.08	71.37	71.37	71.84	71.69(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	50	14	-59	2.24	42%	-0.35	-71.9	1.57%	0	-1	36	0
17	Jan_25_2017	73.54	73.22	72.25	71.24	71.16	71.59	71.96(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	40	22	-73	3.04	42%	-0.34	-81.7	1.57%	0	-0.9	32	0
18	Jan_24_2017	73.79	73.34	72.46	71.33	71.08	70.91	71.75(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-30	-12	-85	3.28	42%	-0.03	-90.1	1.57%	0	-1.1	42	0
19	Jan_23_2017	73.81	73.47	72.66	71.85	71.56	70.72	70.46(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-90	-43	-87	2.13	38%	-0.38	-90.4	1.55%	0	-2.2	37	0
20	Jan_20_2017	74.09	73.82	72.97	72.37	72.44	71.25	71(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-63	-110	-57	-82	4	38%	-0.36	-89.4	1.55%	0	-2.4	38	0

21	Jan_19_2017	74.36	74.13	73.33	72.89	72.97	72.4	71.01(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-59	-50	-57	-66	2.7	38%	-0.35	-86.7	1.56%	0	-3.1	39	0
22	Jan_18_2017	74.62	74.39	73.84	73.37	73.45	73.62	72.44(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	20	-8	-26	2.46	41%	-0.35	-71.8	1.53%	0	-1.8	41	0
23	Jan_17_2017	74.88	74.62	74.03	73.74	73.66	73.55	74.33(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10	11	-9	2.65	45%	-0.6	-56.6	1.5%	0	-0.2	51	0
24	Jan_13_2017	75.33	74.74	74	73.62	73.65	73.28	73.09(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-30	-20	-27	2.05	36%	-0.33	-52.8	1.48%	0	-1.2	43	0
25	Jan_12_2017	75.58	74.89	74.11	73.67	73.76	73.77	73.59(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	0	-13	-37	2.08	36%		-54.3	1.54%	0	-0.9	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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