Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $77.7100 (3.52%) ($75.2900 - $78.3900) on Thu. Feb. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $77.7100(3.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(45%)    SPLV(43%)    SPY(41%)    IVW(40%)    IWF(40%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.2(4.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.49(5.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.81(6.73%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $19.561b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.51%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 19.93%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.88%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 9.65%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.56%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2017	73.21	72.81	73.49	74.2	73.97	75.34	77.71(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	93	120	88	107	4.86	55%	0.08	10	1.68%	0	2.9	72	INF
2	Feb_8_2017	73.15	72.56	72.85	73.35	73.16	73.35	75.07(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	10	30	66	2.76	51%	0.04	-14.9	1.65%	0	2	67	INF
3	Feb_7_2017	73.12	72.5	72.52	73.02	73.06	72.61	72.8(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-40	-18	37	2.06	47%	0.01	-23.9	1.61%	0	0.3	51	INF
4	Feb_6_2017	73.11	72.54	72.42	73.22	73.27	72.96	72.26(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-30	-17	32	2.11	47%	0.01	-19.8	1.62%	0	-0.2	41	INF
5	Feb_3_2017	73.1	72.59	72.26	73.17	73.28	73.52	73.14(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	30	19	34	2.44	47%	0	-24.4	1.61%	0	0.5	50	INF

6	Feb_2_2017	73.1	72.65	72.05	72.6	72.7	73.58	73.5(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	90	34	12	1.68	47%	0.04	-33.1	1.63%	0	0.7	48	INF
7	Feb_1_2017	73.07	72.75	71.79	72.24	72.09	73.04	73.39(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	37	90	50	-4	2.61	47%	0.04	-32.2	1.63%	0	0.4	49	INF
8	Jan_31_2017	73.04	72.75	71.67	71.96	71.64	71.83	73.82(2.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	16	10	31	-28	4.07	47%	0.03	-36.9	1.63%	0	0.7	47	INF
9	Jan_30_2017	73.02	72.78	71.66	71.54	71.49	71.14	72(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-40	-5	-53	2.31	44%	0.01	-45	1.6%	0	-0.5	42	INF
10	Jan_27_2017	73.01	72.89	71.76	71.23	71.52	71.45	70.31(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	10	-12	-68	2.23	40%	-0.37	-59.7	1.58%	0	-1.7	37	INF

11	Jan_26_2017	73.28	73.08	72.08	71.37	71.37	71.84	71.69(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	50	14	-59	2.24	42%	-0.35	-71.9	1.57%	0	-1	36	INF
12	Jan_25_2017	73.54	73.22	72.25	71.24	71.16	71.59	71.96(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	40	22	-73	3.04	42%	-0.34	-81.7	1.57%	0	-0.9	32	INF
13	Jan_24_2017	73.79	73.34	72.46	71.33	71.08	70.91	71.75(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-30	-12	-85	3.28	42%	-0.03	-90.1	1.57%	0	-1.1	42	INF
14	Jan_23_2017	73.81	73.47	72.66	71.85	71.56	70.72	70.46(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-90	-43	-87	2.13	38%	-0.38	-90.4	1.55%	0	-2.2	37	INF
15	Jan_20_2017	74.09	73.82	72.97	72.37	72.44	71.25	71(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-63	-110	-57	-82	4	38%	-0.36	-89.4	1.55%	0	-2.4	38	INF

16	Jan_19_2017	74.36	74.13	73.33	72.89	72.97	72.4	71.01(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-59	-50	-57	-66	2.7	38%	-0.35	-86.7	1.56%	0	-3.1	39	INF
17	Jan_18_2017	74.62	74.39	73.84	73.37	73.45	73.62	72.44(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	20	-8	-26	2.46	41%	-0.35	-71.8	1.53%	0	-1.8	41	INF
18	Jan_17_2017	74.88	74.62	74.03	73.74	73.66	73.55	74.33(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10	11	-9	2.65	45%	-0.6	-56.6	1.5%	0	-0.2	51	INF
19	Jan_13_2017	75.33	74.74	74	73.62	73.65	73.28	73.09(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-30	-20	-27	2.05	36%	-0.33	-52.8	1.48%	0	-1.2	43	INF
20	Jan_12_2017	75.58	74.89	74.11	73.67	73.76	73.77	73.59(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	0	-13	-37	2.08	36%	-0.3	-54.3	1.54%	0	-0.9	32	INF

21	Jan_11_2017	75.81	75.01	74.16	73.85	73.83	74.02	73.42(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	20	-4	-44	3.76	36%	-0.32	-51.4	1.54%	0	-1.2	32	INF
22	Jan_10_2017	76.05	75.15	74.28	74.38	73.99	73.75	74.25(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-40	-3	-36	2.02	36%	-0.31	-43.2	1.53%	0	-0.7	43	INF
23	Jan_9_2017	76.29	75.3	74.27	74.37	74.32	73.65	73.73(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-70	-23	-59	2.47	36%	-0.3	-34.9	1.53%	0	-1.2	36	INF
24	Jan_6_2017	76.52	75.46	74.34	74.43	74.47	74.23	73.35(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-20	-29	-74	2.52	36%	-0.31	-22.2	1.53%	0	-1.6	34	INF
25	Jan_5_2017	76.76	75.65	74.73	74.59	74.52	74.99	74.52(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	40	13	-47	2.83	38%		-20.8	1.52%	0	-0.9	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.