Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 31, 2017

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $73.8200 (2.53%) ($71.1700 - $73.9300) on Tue. Jan. 31, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $73.8200(2.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(45%)    SPLV(43%)    SPY(41%)    IVW(40%)    IWF(40%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.96(2.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.67(3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.78(1.43%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $18.582b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.06% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.9%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.34%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 5.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.68%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.47%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.24%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2017	73.04		71.67	71.96	71.64	71.83	73.82(2.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	16	10	31	-28	4.07	47%	0.03	-36.9	1.63%	0	0.7	47	INF
2	Jan_30_2017	73.02	72.78	71.66	71.54	71.49	71.14	72(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-40	-5	-53	2.31	44%	0.01	-45	1.6%	0	-0.5	42	INF
3	Jan_27_2017	73.01	72.89	71.76	71.23	71.52	71.45	70.31(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	10	-12	-68	2.23	40%	-0.37	-59.7	1.58%	0	-1.7	37	INF
4	Jan_26_2017	73.28	73.08	72.08	71.37	71.37	71.84	71.69(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	50	14	-59	2.24	42%	-0.35	-71.9	1.57%	0	-1	36	INF
5	Jan_25_2017	73.54	73.22	72.25	71.24	71.16	71.59	71.96(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	40	22	-73	3.04	42%	-0.34	-81.7	1.57%	0	-0.9	32	INF

6	Jan_24_2017	73.79	73.34	72.46	71.33	71.08	70.91	71.75(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-30	-12	-85	3.28	42%	-0.03	-90.1	1.57%	0	-1.1	42	INF
7	Jan_23_2017	73.81	73.47	72.66	71.85	71.56	70.72	70.46(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-90	-43	-87	2.13	38%	-0.38	-90.4	1.55%	0	-2.2	37	INF
8	Jan_20_2017	74.09	73.82	72.97	72.37	72.44	71.25	71(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-63	-110	-57	-82	4	38%	-0.36	-89.4	1.55%	0	-2.4	38	INF
9	Jan_19_2017	74.36	74.13	73.33	72.89	72.97	72.4	71.01(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-59	-50	-57	-66	2.7	38%	-0.35	-86.7	1.56%	0	-3.1	39	INF
10	Jan_18_2017	74.62	74.39	73.84	73.37	73.45	73.62	72.44(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	20	-8	-26	2.46	41%	-0.35	-71.8	1.53%	0	-1.8	41	INF

11	Jan_17_2017	74.88	74.62	74.03	73.74	73.66	73.55	74.33(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10	11	-9	2.65	45%	-0.6	-56.6	1.5%	0	-0.2	51	INF
12	Jan_13_2017	75.33	74.74	74	73.62	73.65	73.28	73.09(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-30	-20	-27	2.05	36%	-0.33	-52.8	1.48%	0	-1.2	43	INF
13	Jan_12_2017	75.58	74.89	74.11	73.67	73.76	73.77	73.59(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	0	-13	-37	2.08	36%	-0.3	-54.3	1.54%	0	-0.9	32	INF
14	Jan_11_2017	75.81	75.01	74.16	73.85	73.83	74.02	73.42(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	20	-4	-44	3.76	36%	-0.32	-51.4	1.54%	0	-1.2	32	INF
15	Jan_10_2017	76.05	75.15	74.28	74.38	73.99	73.75	74.25(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-40	-3	-36	2.02	36%	-0.31	-43.2	1.53%	0	-0.7	43	INF

16	Jan_9_2017	76.29	75.3	74.27	74.37	74.32	73.65	73.73(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-70	-23	-59	2.47	36%	-0.3	-34.9	1.53%	0	-1.2	36	INF
17	Jan_6_2017	76.52	75.46	74.34	74.43	74.47	74.23	73.35(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-20	-29	-74	2.52	36%	-0.31	-22.2	1.53%	0	-1.6	34	INF
18	Jan_5_2017	76.76	75.65	74.73	74.59	74.52	74.99	74.52(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	40	13	-47	2.83	38%	-0.3	-20.8	1.52%	0	-0.9	45	INF
19	Jan_4_2017	76.99	75.71	74.98	74.49	74.39	74.71	76.04(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	15	30	32	-38	3.02	42%	-0.28	-31.8	1.49%	0	0.3	50	INF
20	Jan_3_2017	77.21	75.73	74.95	74.19	74.15	74.06	74.19(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-10	-3	-64	2	35%	-0.54	-46.7	1.46%	0	-1.2	40	INF

21	Dec_30_2016	77.63	75.76	75.23	74.18	74.28	74.07	74.07(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-20	-9	-69	1.59	35%	-0.3	-68.3	1.46%	0	-1.4	34	INF
22	Dec_29_2016	77.86	75.75	75.53	74.24	74.37	74.24	74.13(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10	-28	-74	1.14	35%	-0.31	-87	1.46%	0	-1.3	37	INF
23	Dec_28_2016	78.1	75.91	75.72	74.9	74.77	74.48	74.02(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-30	-28	-62	1.32	35%	-0.29	-81.4	1.46%	0	-1.5	35	INF
24	Dec_27_2016	78.33	76.13	75.93	75.55	75.49	74.51	74.53(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-90	-36	-46	1.49	35%	-0.52	-62.1	1.46%	0	-1.2	47	INF
25	Dec_23_2016	78.74	76.33	76.12	75.83	76.05	75.07	74.14(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-64	-80	-68	-51	1.26	35%		-42.5	1.45%	0	-1.4	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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