Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $79.7100 (0.52%) ($79.2200 - $80.3300) on Wed. Nov. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.52% (three month average)
RSI   97
Latest Price   $79.7100(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(45%)    SPLV(43%)    SPY(41%)    IVW(40%)    IWF(40%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -1.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.76% (StdDev 3.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.91(2.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.96(3.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.27(8.79%)
To recent high   -17.6%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $20.065b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 5.61% (three month std-dev: 3.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 2.57%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.61%(67%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 3.75%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.47%(67%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 5%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.52%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2016	82.73	73.27	76.96	77.91	77.88	79.13	79.71(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	110	33	107	2.45	12%	-0.17	63.5	3.52%	0	1.6	97	0
2	Nov_22_2016	82.87	72.68	76.16	77.29	77.11	77.56	79.3(3.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	30	20	101	4.84	12%	-0.05	62.2	3.52%	0	1.7	87	0
3	Nov_21_2016	82.91	72.11	75.23	76.8	76.75	76.64	76.74(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10	-0	92	3.17	12%	-0.2	62.3	3.49%	0	1.3	85	0
4	Nov_18_2016	83.08	71.67	74.56	76.79	76.76	76.66	76.87(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10	2	97	3	12%	-0.2	64.5	3.49%	0	1.5	86	0
5	Nov_17_2016	83.25	71.21	73.76	76.35	76.55	76.66	76.91(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	40	8	97	3.2	12%	-0.2	62.8	3.49%	0	1.7	87	0

6	Nov_16_2016	83.42	70.75	72.93	75.85	76.05	76.86	76.64(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	80	26	103	2.85	12%	-0.19	62	3.49%	0	1.9	88	0
7	Nov_15_2016	83.58	70.33	72.21	74.82	75.05	76.23	76.85(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	54	120	39	99	4.34	12%	-0.2	53.3	3.49%	0	2.3	82	0
8	Nov_14_2016	83.75	69.89	71.4	73.39	73.4	75.25	76.66(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	54	180	44	85	4.56	12%	-0.19	40.4	3.49%	0	2.8	82	0
9	Nov_11_2016	83.91	69.45	70.6	72.01	71.84	73.86	74.7(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	59	190	54	73	4.01	12%	-0.2	24	3.47%	0	2.8	78	0
10	Nov_10_2016	84.08	69.13	69.93	70.78	70.56	71.56	74.38(4.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	47	90	45	54	6.96	12%	-0.21	-1.4	3.47%	0	3.6	79	0

11	Nov_9_2016	84.26	68.85	69.21	69.61	69.42	69.82	71.5(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	13	30	9	23	3.27	0%	-0.24	-43.5	3.43%	0	2.5	72	0
12	Nov_8_2016	84.46	68.83	68.87	69.23	69.21	69.56	69.72(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	30	10	18	1.98	0%	-0.25	-51.9	3.41%	0	0.8	56	0
13	Nov_7_2016	84.67	68.92	68.71	69.1	69.12	69.03	69.77(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10	5	13	2.14	0%	-0.25	-49.2	3.41%	0	0.7	57	0
14	Nov_4_2016	84.88	69	68.55	68.96	69	68.86	68.53(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10	-5	7	2.35	0%	-0.26	-47.7	3.4%	0	-0.3	50	0
15	Nov_3_2016	85.1	69.15	68.49	68.92	69.05	69.21	68.53(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	20	5	8	2.98	0%	-0.26	-46	3.4%	0	-0.4	46	0

16	Nov_2_2016	85.32	69.31	68.44	68.71	68.76	69.14	69.6(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	40	9	3	2.65	0%	-0.26	-47.8	3.39%	0	0.2	49	0
17	Nov_1_2016	85.54	69.41	68.34	68.44	68.44	68.89	69.05(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	50	10	-8	2.74	0%	-0.26	-50.6	3.39%	0	-0.2	28	0
18	Oct_31_2016	85.76	69.53	68.29	68.26	68.28	68.38	69.09(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	10	8	-18	2.88	0%	-0.26	-52.3	3.39%	0	-0.3	28	0
19	Oct_28_2016	85.98	69.66	68.22	68.1	68.13	68	68.34(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10	-3	-33	2.09	0%	-0.28	-53.6	3.39%	0	-0.8	21	0
20	Oct_27_2016	86.22	69.84	68.27	68.02	68.21	68.18	67.45(-1.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-11	10	-1	-41	2.5	0%	-0.27	-54.8	3.38%	0	-1.4	11	0

21	Oct_26_2016	86.45	70.06	68.46	68.12	68.21	68.25	68.27(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	10	-1	-46	1.53	0%	-0.27	-55.6	3.38%	0	-1.1	12	0
22	Oct_25_2016	86.68	70.24	68.79	68.21	68.15	68.24	68.17(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	10	1	-44	1.77	0%	-0.26	-55.9	3.38%	0	-1.2	11	0
23	Oct_24_2016	86.91	70.43	69.13	68.31	68.3	68.04	68.27(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-30	-2	-45	1.89	0%	-0.28	-56.5	3.39%	0	-1.3	11	0
24	Oct_21_2016	87.15	70.61	69.47	68.36	68.41	68.07	67.93(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-21	-30	-12	-49	2.59	0%	-0.26	-58.6	3.39%	0	-1.7	5	0
25	Oct_20_2016	87.38	70.82	69.86	68.57	68.71	68.56	67.98(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-17	-10	-7	-45	2.5	0%		-60.9	3.39%	0	-2	5	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.