Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $69.7200 (-0.07%) ($68.9200 - $70.0800) on Tue. Nov. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.41% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $69.7200(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(44%)    SPLV(42%)    SPY(41%)    IVW(40%)    IWF(40%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -1.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    GDXJ(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.705% (StdDev 3.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.23(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.87(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.83(1.29%)
To recent high   -27.9%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $17.55b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 3.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.63%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.38%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 4.13%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.95%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 6.7%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.39%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2016	84.46	68.83	68.87	69.23	69.21	69.56	69.72(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	30	10	18	1.98	0%	-0.25	-51.9	3.41%	0	0.8	56	0
2	Nov_7_2016	84.67	68.92	68.71	69.1	69.12	69.03	69.77(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10	5	13	2.14	0%	-0.25	-49.2	3.41%	0	0.7	57	0
3	Nov_4_2016	84.88	69	68.55	68.96	69	68.86	68.53(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10	-5	7	2.35	0%	-0.26	-47.7	3.4%	0	-0.3	50	0
4	Nov_3_2016	85.1	69.15	68.49	68.92	69.05	69.21	68.53(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	20	5	8	2.98	0%	-0.26	-46	3.4%	0	-0.4	46	0
5	Nov_2_2016	85.32	69.31	68.44	68.71	68.76	69.14	69.6(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	40	9	3	2.65	0%	-0.26	-47.8	3.39%	0	0.2	49	0

6	Nov_1_2016	85.54	69.41	68.34	68.44	68.44	68.89	69.05(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	50	10	-8	2.74	0%	-0.26	-50.6	3.39%	0	-0.2	28	0
7	Oct_31_2016	85.76	69.53	68.29	68.26	68.28	68.38	69.09(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	10	8	-18	2.88	0%	-0.26	-52.3	3.39%	0	-0.3	28	0
8	Oct_28_2016	85.98	69.66	68.22	68.1	68.13	68	68.34(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10	-3	-33	2.09	0%	-0.28	-53.6	3.39%	0	-0.8	21	0
9	Oct_27_2016	86.22	69.84	68.27	68.02	68.21	68.18	67.45(-1.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-11	10	-1	-41	2.5	0%	-0.27	-54.8	3.38%	0	-1.4	11	0
10	Oct_26_2016	86.45	70.06	68.46	68.12	68.21	68.25	68.27(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	10	-1	-46	1.53	0%	-0.27	-55.6	3.38%	0	-1.1	12	0

11	Oct_25_2016	86.68	70.24	68.79	68.21	68.15	68.24	68.17(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	10	1	-44	1.77	0%	-0.26	-55.9	3.38%	0	-1.2	11	0
12	Oct_24_2016	86.91	70.43	69.13	68.31	68.3	68.04	68.27(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-30	-2	-45	1.89	0%	-0.28	-56.5	3.39%	0	-1.3	11	0
13	Oct_21_2016	87.15	70.61	69.47	68.36	68.41	68.07	67.93(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-21	-30	-12	-49	2.59	0%	-0.26	-58.6	3.39%	0	-1.7	5	0
14	Oct_20_2016	87.38	70.82	69.86	68.57	68.71	68.56	67.98(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-17	-10	-7	-45	2.5	0%	-0.26	-60.9	3.39%	0	-2	5	0
15	Oct_19_2016	87.61	71.02	70.25	68.84	68.9	68.76	68.7(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10	-8	-42	1.55	0%	-0.24	-65.6	3.39%	0	-1.8	6	0

16	Oct_18_2016	87.82	71.19	70.57	69.47	69	68.86	68.69(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-30	-10	-35	1.31	0%	-0.23	-56.1	3.39%	0	-2.1	5	0
17	Oct_17_2016	88.02	71.36	70.89	70.1	69.22	69.04	68.49(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.6	-14	-60	-9	-27	2.49	0%	-0.25	-42	3.4%	0	-2.8	0	0
18	Oct_14_2016	88.24	71.54	71.25	70.76	69.42	69.15	68.98(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-2.3	-13	-80	-11	-19	1.76	0%	-0.21	-30.9	3.4%	0	-3.2	0	0
19	Oct_13_2016	88.43	71.7	71.56	71.33	69.66	69.4	69.35(-3.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-3.5	-10	-100	-10	-11	2.4	0%	-0.17	-5.1	3.4%	0	-4.2	0	0
20	Oct_12_2016	88.58	71.87	71.56	71.33	69.88	69.7	71.83(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-100	-1	-0	2.21	0%	-0.14	-558.3	3.38%	0	-0.2	0	0

21	Oct_11_2016	88.7	71.85	71.56	71.33	69.64	69.92	71.83(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-60	0	0	3.16	0%	-0.1	-572	3.38%	0	-0.1	0	0
22	Oct_10_2016	88.79	71.79	71.56	71.33	69.37	70.06	71.83(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-30	12	5	2.91	0%	-0.11	-884	3.38%	0	0.1	0	0
23	Oct_7_2016	88.89	71.78	71.56	71.33	69.2	69.36	71.83(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-90	10	4	3.84	0%	-0.12	-962.3	3.38%	0	0.1	0	0
24	Oct_6_2016	89	71.73	71.56	71.33	69.16	68.69	71.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-7	-160	-8	-3	4.25	0%	-0.09	-98.9	3.38%	0	0	0	0
25	Oct_5_2016	89.08	72.84	71.83	71.83	69.52	69.04	71.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-12	-140	-13	-7	4.3	0%		-72.7	3.38%	0	-0.1	0	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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