Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $96.7100 (0.76%) ($96.0400 - $96.7500) on Tue. Jul. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $96.7100(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPLV(42%)    SPY(40%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    IPO(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $95.14(1.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.94(2.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.83(3.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $24.344b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(84%) Average negative next day return: -0.33%(16%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 0.76%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.26%(37%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 0.75%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.63%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160826

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2016	87.1	93.83	93.94	95.14	95.11	96.02	96.71(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	66	70	66	64	3.26	67%	0.25	66.7	1.23%	0	2.5	59	0
2	Jul_25_2016	86.88	93.66	93.54	94.43	94.41	95.12	95.98(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	57	50	63	40	2.51	67%	0.25	74	1.23%	0	2.5	61	0
3	Jul_22_2016	86.66	93.46	93.33	93.8	93.82	94.19	95.15(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	30	43	17	1.5	67%	0.24	74.2	1.23%	0	2	58	0
4	Jul_21_2016	86.45	93.29	93.21	93.11	93.34	93.71	94.04(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	40	25	-9	2.32	67%	0.22	56.8	1.25%	0	0.9	49	0
5	Jul_20_2016	86.26	93.18	93.17	92.83	92.96	93.44	93.82(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	17	40	28	-16	1.68	67%	0.22	53.8	1.25%	0	0.8	50	0

6	Jul_19_2016	86.07	93.07	93.22	92.55	92.79	92.96	93.15(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	20	22	-19	2.1	67%	0.22	46.5	1.26%	0	0.1	53	0
7	Jul_18_2016	85.88	92.97	93.26	92.53	92.67	92.48	92.82(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10	-16	-35	2.37	67%	0.2	42.7	1.26%	0	-0.1	47	0
8	Jul_15_2016	85.71	92.85	93.34	92.81	92.91	92.61	91.71(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-20	-32	-28	1.91	67%	0.19	38	1.26%	0	-1	51	0
9	Jul_14_2016	85.55	92.82	93.58	93.33	93.47	92.86	92.63(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-19	-40	-25	0	1.57	67%	0.21	45.6	1.25%	0	-0.2	58	0
10	Jul_13_2016	85.37	92.73	93.7	93.56	93.77	93.21	92.43(-0.66%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-34	-40	-48	7	2.17	67%	0.22	45.9	1.26%	0	-0.2	56	0

11	Jul_12_2016	85.18	92.65	93.78	93.98	94.06	94.07	93.04(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	0	-15	39	3.14	67%	0.24	52.6	1.26%	0	0.3	62	0
12	Jul_11_2016	84.98	92.54	93.83	94.09	94.19	94.33	94.24(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	10	20	69	2.1	70%	0.27	53.5	1.25%	0	1.2	73	0
13	Jul_8_2016	84.75	92.39	93.63	93.94	93.94	94.05	94.32(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	10	4	70	1.66	70%	0.26	51	1.25%	0	1.3	77	0
14	Jul_7_2016	84.53	92.25	93.38	93.87	93.83	94.04	93.78(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	10	9	75	1.5	70%	0.24	55.8	1.27%	0	1.1	68	0
15	Jul_6_2016	84.33	92.11	93.21	93.88	93.81	93.82	94.51(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-0	17	87	1.94	70%	0.26	58.3	1.27%	0	1.8	74	0

16	Jul_5_2016	84.11	91.9	92.9	93.56	93.67	93.62	93.6(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-0	-5	75	1.8	70%	0.29	58.5	1.27%	0	1.4	70	0
17	Jul_1_2016	83.87	91.76	92.65	93.54	93.61	93.8	93.48(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	20	14	83	2.19	73%	0.3	66.7	1.3%	0	1.5	68	0
18	Jun_30_2016	83.62	91.67	92.32	93.27	93.33	93.72	94(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	30	33	78	3.18	73%	0.3	79.2	1.31%	0	2.1	64	0
19	Jun_29_2016	83.37	91.5	91.99	92.8	92.73	93.42	93.8(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	50	34	63	1.9	73%	0.29	109.4	1.31%	0	2.4	61	0
20	Jun_28_2016	83.13	91.34	91.65	92.43	92.33	92.94	92.9(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	40	47	57	2.66	75%	0.29	150.5	1.3%	0	1.8	62	0

21	Jun_27_2016	82.89	91.19	91.42	92.14	91.99	92.05	93.51(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	31	-0	27	41	4.08	75%	0.27	203.4	1.33%	0	2.9	68	0
22	Jun_24_2016	82.67	91	91.12	91.64	91.7	91.72	92.13(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	0	2	17	3.01	74%	0.24	293	1.33%	0	1.7	59	0
23	Jun_23_2016	82.47	90.8	91.03	91.22	91.58	91.93	91.68(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	40	22	12	1.79	74%	0.21	238.5	1.34%	0	1	47	0
24	Jun_22_2016	82.3	90.45	91.02	91.05	91.16	91.68	91.94(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	40	29	13	1.62	74%	0.19	135.9	1.34%	0	0.9	56	0
25	Jun_21_2016	82.14	90.05	90.9	90.76	90.84	91.23	91.46(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	30	30	6	2.51	74%		104.5	1.34%	0	0.6	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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