Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $84.3200 (-0.89%) ($83.8900 - $85.0700) on Tue. May. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $84.3200(-0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPLV(42%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)    SPY(39%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    IPO(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.86(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.08(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.89(1.73%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   22.6%
Market Cap   $21.225b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.33%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.52%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.1%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.62%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.68%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2016	77.65	82.89	83.08	83.86	83.73	84.45	84.32(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	60	34	48	2.42	83%	0.18	21.4	1.85%	0	1.5	57	0
2	May_9_2016	77.51	82.83	82.87	83.58	83.37	83.55	85.08(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	30	10	28	36	2.89	83%	0.18	7.5	1.85%	0	2.6	54	0
3	May_6_2016	77.37	82.68	82.55	83.06	82.95	83.01	83.27(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	0	1	7	2.29	76%	0.16	-35.6	1.86%	0	0.8	47	0
4	May_5_2016	77.25	82.63	82.37	82.79	82.82	83.18	82.62(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	30	21	5	2.41	76%	0.14	-74.4	1.87%	0	-0	49	0
5	May_4_2016	77.14	82.68	82.39	82.46	82.3	82.88	84(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	15	40	20	-2	2.35	71%	0.18	-86.4	1.87%	0	1.6	55	0

6	May_3_2016	77	82.7	82.22	82.2	81.96	82.47	82.93(0.52%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	14	30	22	-9	1.73	68%	0.16	-98.2	1.91%	0	0.3	47	0
7	May_2_2016	76.88	82.77	82.26	82.07	81.96	81.73	82.5(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-20	8	-17	2.32	68%	0.17	-86.3	1.92%	0	-0.2	45	0
8	Apr_29_2016	76.75	82.94	82.37	81.97	81.92	81.46	81.91(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-40	-18	-25	3.53	71%	0.14	-70.1	1.91%	0	-0.7	49	0
9	Apr_28_2016	76.64	83.19	82.46	81.88	82.06	82.12	80.96(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	10	-12	-23	2.3	71%	0.14	-60.7	1.93%	0	-1.5	44	0
10	Apr_27_2016	76.53	83.43	82.65	82.28	82.08	82.37	82.69(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	20	7	-11	1.58	74%	0.14	-50.8	1.91%	0	-0.5	44	0

11	Apr_26_2016	76.42	83.59	82.7	82.25	82.23	82.01	82.3(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-20	0	-19	2.07	75%	0.18	-43	1.91%	0	-0.8	37	0
12	Apr_25_2016	76.28	83.78	82.81	82.49	82.38	81.79	82(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-50	-29	-31	2.2	75%	0.17	-34.2	1.93%	0	-1.1	35	0
13	Apr_22_2016	76.15	83.98	82.85	82.84	82.84	82.46	81.44(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-30	-23	-35	4.61	75%	0.18	-23.8	1.93%	0	-1.6	25	0
14	Apr_21_2016	76.01	84.12	82.96	83.11	83.21	82.98	82.97(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-20	-4	-39	2.07	75%	0.24	-21.1	1.91%	0	-0.8	25	0
15	Apr_20_2016	75.83	84.21	83.03	83.06	83.1	83.23	82.54(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	10	-8	-49	2.52	75%	0.24	-23.3	1.92%	0	-1.1	36	0

16	Apr_19_2016	75.65	84.29	83.22	83.21	83.13	83.45	83.49(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	20	14	-43	1.24	76%	0.25	-24.7	1.91%	0	-0.6	37	0
17	Apr_18_2016	75.46	84.35	83.32	83.18	83.06	82.97	83.74(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10	9	-51	1.52	76%	0.25	-29.8	1.92%	0	-0.4	37	0
18	Apr_15_2016	75.27	84.37	83.53	82.88	83.06	82.82	82.8(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10	-7	-64	2.91	76%	0.11	-38.9	1.93%	0	-1.1	33	0
19	Apr_14_2016	75.19	84.44	83.95	82.79	82.96	83.15	82.71(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	20	-2	-54	2.15	76%	0.25	-39.5	1.93%	0	-1.3	47	0
20	Apr_13_2016	75	84.55	84.24	82.99	82.98	83.1	83.29(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	10	3	-45	2.36	72%	0.24	-5.2	1.93%	0	-1	46	0

21	Apr_12_2016	74.82	84.64	84.52	83.25	83.13	82.77	83.35(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-30	-11	-39	2.16	72%	0.27	38.7	1.98%	0	-1	50	0
22	Apr_11_2016	74.62	84.77	84.81	83.51	83.49	82.86	82.27(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-50	-35	-39	2.54	69%	0.26	85.9	1.98%	0	-2	42	0
23	Apr_8_2016	74.43	84.92	85.21	84.29	84.12	83.5	82.31(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-36	-60	-41	-19	2.53	69%	0.28	159.8	2.01%	0	-2.3	46	0
24	Apr_7_2016	74.22	84.99	85.42	85.29	85.01	84.13	83.72(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-21	-80	-29	5	1.76	69%	0.3	242.1	2%	0	-1.2	50	0
25	Apr_6_2016	74	84.62	85.53	85.67	85.63	84.74	84.6(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-26	-70	-38	9	2.21	69%		112.5	2%	0	-0	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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