Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $82.5000 (0.72%) ($81.7900 - $82.7700) on Mon. May. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $82.5000(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPLV(42%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)    SPY(39%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    IPO(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $79.83(-3.24%)
Resistance Level   $82.77
5 Day Moving Average   $82.07(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.26(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.77(-0.33%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   20%
Market Cap   $20.767b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.65%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 11.97%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 11.24%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2016	76.88	82.77	82.26	82.07		81.73	82.5(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-20	8	-17	2.32	68%	0.17	-86.3	1.92%	0	-0.2	45	INF
2	Apr_29_2016	76.75	82.94	82.37	81.97	81.92	81.46	81.91(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-40	-18	-25	3.53	71%	0.14	-70.1	1.91%	0	-0.7	49	INF
3	Apr_28_2016	76.64	83.19	82.46	81.88	82.06	82.12	80.96(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	10	-12	-23	2.3	71%	0.14	-60.7	1.93%	0	-1.5	44	INF
4	Apr_27_2016	76.53	83.43	82.65	82.28	82.08	82.37	82.69(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	20	7	-11	1.58	74%	0.14	-50.8	1.91%	0	-0.5	44	INF
5	Apr_26_2016	76.42	83.59	82.7	82.25	82.23	82.01	82.3(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-20	0	-19	2.07	75%	0.18	-43	1.91%	0	-0.8	37	INF

6	Apr_25_2016	76.28	83.78	82.81	82.49	82.38	81.79	82(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-50	-29	-31	2.2	75%	0.17	-34.2	1.93%	0	-1.1	35	INF
7	Apr_22_2016	76.15	83.98	82.85	82.84	82.84	82.46	81.44(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-30	-23	-35	4.61	75%	0.18	-23.8	1.93%	0	-1.6	25	INF
8	Apr_21_2016	76.01	84.12	82.96	83.11	83.21	82.98	82.97(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-20	-4	-39	2.07	75%	0.24	-21.1	1.91%	0	-0.8	25	INF
9	Apr_20_2016	75.83	84.21	83.03	83.06	83.1	83.23	82.54(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	10	-8	-49	2.52	75%	0.24	-23.3	1.92%	0	-1.1	36	INF
10	Apr_19_2016	75.65	84.29	83.22	83.21	83.13	83.45	83.49(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	20	14	-43	1.24	76%	0.25	-24.7	1.91%	0	-0.6	37	INF

11	Apr_18_2016	75.46	84.35	83.32	83.18	83.06	82.97	83.74(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10	9	-51	1.52	76%	0.25	-29.8	1.92%	0	-0.4	37	INF
12	Apr_15_2016	75.27	84.37	83.53	82.88	83.06	82.82	82.8(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10	-7	-64	2.91	76%	0.11	-38.9	1.93%	0	-1.1	33	INF
13	Apr_14_2016	75.19	84.44	83.95	82.79	82.96	83.15	82.71(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	20	-2	-54	2.15	76%	0.25	-39.5	1.93%	0	-1.3	47	INF
14	Apr_13_2016	75	84.55	84.24	82.99	82.98	83.1	83.29(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	10	3	-45	2.36	72%	0.24	-5.2	1.93%	0	-1	46	INF
15	Apr_12_2016	74.82	84.64	84.52	83.25	83.13	82.77	83.35(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-30	-11	-39	2.16	72%	0.27	38.7	1.98%	0	-1	50	INF

16	Apr_11_2016	74.62	84.77	84.81	83.51	83.49	82.86	82.27(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-50	-35	-39	2.54	69%	0.26	85.9	1.98%	0	-2	42	INF
17	Apr_8_2016	74.43	84.92	85.21	84.29	84.12	83.5	82.31(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-36	-60	-41	-19	2.53	69%	0.28	159.8	2.01%	0	-2.3	46	INF
18	Apr_7_2016	74.22	84.99	85.42	85.29	85.01	84.13	83.72(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-21	-80	-29	5	1.76	69%	0.3	242.1	2%	0	-1.2	50	INF
19	Apr_6_2016	74	84.62	85.53	85.67	85.63	84.74	84.6(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-26	-70	-38	9	2.21	69%	0.31	112.5	2%	0	-0	51	INF
20	Apr_5_2016	73.77	84.16	85.49	85.98	86.02	85.89	84.66(-1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-10	-23	18	3.43	69%	0.34	83.5	2%	0	0.2	49	INF

21	Apr_4_2016	73.52	83.7	85.5	86.28	86.25	86.52	86.17(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	20	12	34	2.31	69%	0.37	74.3	1.99%	0	0.6	51	INF
22	Apr_1_2016	73.25	83.16	85.29	86.26	86.09	86.15	87.31(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-0	17	34	2.95	69%	0.34	67.1	1.98%	0	1	60	INF
23	Mar_31_2016	73	82.57	84.96	85.59	85.79	85.98	85.6(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	20	8	20	2.59	67%	0.34	58.6	1.98%	0	0.7	63	INF
24	Mar_30_2016	72.75	82.05	84.86	85.37	85.34	86.04	86.14(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	60	23	53	2.65	67%	0.29	54.9	1.98%	0	0.9	84	INF
25	Mar_29_2016	72.54	81.52	84.73	84.92	84.89	85.6	86.18(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	60	34	85	3.14	67%		53.2	1.98%	0	1	85	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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