Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $69.7100 (-2.72%) ($68.8800 - $71.3100) on Mon. Feb. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $69.7100(-2.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)    SPY(39%)    XLY(39%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-3%)    TLT(-3%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $72.09
5 Day Moving Average   $73.13(-4.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.76(-5.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.09(-3.3%)
To recent high   -8.7%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $17.548b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.99%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.17%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2016	69.21	72.09	73.76	73.13	72.97	71.31	69.71(-2.72%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-72	-170	-97	2	3.93	48%	-0.01	10.6	1.7%	0	-1	52	0
2	Feb_5_2016	69.22	72.19	74.07	74.46	74.45	73.01	71.66(-1.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-39	-140	-74	66	2.77	51%	0.01	25.7	1.66%	0	-0.2	65	0
3	Feb_4_2016	69.21	72.2	74.14	75.14	75.23	74.63	72.86(-2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-50	-43	117	3.77	51%	0.03	33.5	1.65%	0	0.3	72	0
4	Feb_3_2016	69.19	72.19	73.99	75.25	75.39	75.89	75.1(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	50	14	162	3.07	55%	0.07	35	1.61%	0	1.2	83	0
5	Feb_2_2016	69.14	72.05	73.52	75.04	74.95	75.83	76.34(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	80	80	49	174	3.28	58%	0.1	35.7	1.59%	0	1.8	71	0

6	Feb_1_2016	69.07	71.83	72.92	74.51	74.38	74.89	76.35(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	80	40	51	165	3.34	58%	0.09	33.3	1.6%	0	2.2	74	0
7	Jan_29_2016	69.01	71.58	72.16	73.67	73.8	74.07	75.06(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	30	28	123	3.11	56%	0.09	24.6	1.59%	0	1.9	61	0
8	Jan_28_2016	68.95	71.41	71.5	73.03	73.26	73.87	73.4(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	70	30	90	2.84	57%	0.01	16.8	1.57%	0	1.2	54	0
9	Jan_27_2016	68.94	71.35	71.01	72.52	72.73	73.53	74.04(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	90	55	64	3.75	57%	0.01	11.6	1.61%	0	1.7	52	0
10	Jan_26_2016	68.93	71.23	70.64	71.75	71.96	72.64	73.69(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	70	49	30	2.98	57%	0.07	0	1.62%	0	1.6	51	0

11	Jan_25_2016	68.88	71.14	70.21	71.08	71.13	71.94	72.18(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	31	80	43	-6	2.4	54%	0	-11.2	1.6%	0	0.7	47	0
12	Jan_22_2016	68.88	71.12	70.1	70.42	70.57	71.29	71.86(1.48%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	39	80	59	-21	2.92	52%	0	-23.5	1.62%	0	0.5	49	0
13	Jan_21_2016	68.88	71.13	70.06	69.73	69.67	70.32	70.81(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	60	33	-54	3.04	52%	-0.03	-33.3	1.61%	0	-0.2	43	0
14	Jan_20_2016	68.9	71.16	70.21	69.26	69.12	69.85	70.23(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	70	24	-72	5.35	52%	-0.03	-40.2	1.61%	0	-0.6	38	0
15	Jan_19_2016	68.92	71.23	70.45	69.36	69.09	69.03	70.34(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-20	20	-68	4.12	52%	-0.14	-35.3	1.61%	0	-0.6	43	0

16	Jan_15_2016	69.02	71.3	70.64	69.22	69.19	68.4	68.88(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-58	-80	-44	-100	4.34	51%	-0.09	-38.5	1.58%	0	-1.7	34	0
17	Jan_14_2016	69.08	71.46	70.95	69.74	69.78	69.15	68.39(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-62	-60	-53	-90	4.38	46%	-0.12	-29	1.6%	0	-2.4	32	0
18	Jan_13_2016	69.16	71.61	71.34	70.43	70.56	69.98	68.48(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-44	-50	-38	-63	3.5	46%	-0.09	-18.1	1.69%	0	-3	33	0
19	Jan_12_2016	69.22	71.61	71.79	71.28	71.2	70.4	70.73(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-80	-39	-36	3.03	52%	-0.06	14.6	1.64%	0	-1.4	46	0
20	Jan_11_2016	69.26	71.75	71.92	71.7	71.71	71.13	69.64(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-40	-60	-45	-25	5.18	52%	-0.1	40	1.65%	0	-2.9	39	0

21	Jan_8_2016	69.33	71.84	72.21	72.25	72.26	71.99	71.46(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-6	-30	-10	7	2.65	55%	-0.13	94.2	1.62%	0	-0.6	52	0
22	Jan_7_2016	69.42	71.82	72.28	72.33	72.2	72.29	71.84(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	0	-7	13	3.61	53%	-0.13	137.5	1.64%	0	0	51	0
23	Jan_6_2016	69.51	71.79	72.31	72.33	72.15	72.53	72.71(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	30	13	27	3.24	49%	-0.11	173.9	1.65%	0	1.4	70	0
24	Jan_5_2016	69.59	71.64	72.2	72.38	72.16	72.1	72.83(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10	13	29	3.43	49%	-0.09	214.8	1.71%	0	1.9	70	0
25	Jan_4_2016	69.65	71.46	72.07	72.21	72.12	71.76	72.41(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-6	-40	-14	20	3.59	49%		207.8	1.71%	0	1.3	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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