Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $74.0400 (0.47%) ($73.4800 - $74.7700) on Wed. Jan. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $74.0400(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)    SPY(39%)    XLY(39%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-3%)    TLT(-3%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.52(2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.01(4.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.35(3.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $18.637b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.52%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.82%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.11%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -3.58%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.94%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.39%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2016	68.94	71.35	71.01	72.52	72.73	73.53	74.04(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	90	55	64	3.75	57%	0.01	11.6	1.61%	0	1.7	52	INF
2	Jan_26_2016	68.93	71.23	70.64	71.75	71.96	72.64	73.69(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	70	49	30	2.98	57%	0.07	0	1.62%	0	1.6	51	INF
3	Jan_25_2016	68.88	71.14	70.21	71.08	71.13	71.94	72.18(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	31	80	43	-6	2.4	54%	0	-11.2	1.6%	0	0.7	47	INF
4	Jan_22_2016	68.88	71.12	70.1	70.42	70.57	71.29	71.86(1.48%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	39	80	59	-21	2.92	52%	0	-23.5	1.62%	0	0.5	49	INF
5	Jan_21_2016	68.88	71.13	70.06	69.73	69.67	70.32	70.81(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	60	33	-54	3.04	52%	-0.03	-33.3	1.61%	0	-0.2	43	INF

6	Jan_20_2016	68.9	71.16	70.21	69.26	69.12	69.85	70.23(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	70	24	-72	5.35	52%	-0.03	-40.2	1.61%	0	-0.6	38	INF
7	Jan_19_2016	68.92	71.23	70.45	69.36	69.09	69.03	70.34(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-20	20	-68	4.12	52%	-0.14	-35.3	1.61%	0	-0.6	43	INF
8	Jan_15_2016	69.02	71.3	70.64	69.22	69.19	68.4	68.88(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-58	-80	-44	-100	4.34	51%	-0.09	-38.5	1.58%	0	-1.7	34	INF
9	Jan_14_2016	69.08	71.46	70.95	69.74	69.78	69.15	68.39(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-62	-60	-53	-90	4.38	46%	-0.12	-29	1.6%	0	-2.4	32	INF
10	Jan_13_2016	69.16	71.61	71.34	70.43	70.56	69.98	68.48(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-44	-50	-38	-63	3.5	46%	-0.09	-18.1	1.69%	0	-3	33	INF

11	Jan_12_2016	69.22	71.61	71.79	71.28	71.2	70.4	70.73(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-80	-39	-36	3.03	52%	-0.06	14.6	1.64%	0	-1.4	46	INF
12	Jan_11_2016	69.26	71.75	71.92	71.7	71.71	71.13	69.64(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-40	-60	-45	-25	5.18	52%	-0.1	40	1.65%	0	-2.9	39	INF
13	Jan_8_2016	69.33	71.84	72.21	72.25	72.26	71.99	71.46(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-6	-30	-10	7	2.65	55%	-0.13	94.2	1.62%	0	-0.6	52	INF
14	Jan_7_2016	69.42	71.82	72.28	72.33	72.2	72.29	71.84(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	0	-7	13	3.61	53%	-0.13	137.5	1.64%	0	0	51	INF
15	Jan_6_2016	69.51	71.79	72.31	72.33	72.15	72.53	72.71(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	30	13	27	3.24	49%	-0.11	173.9	1.65%	0	1.4	70	INF

16	Jan_5_2016	69.59	71.64	72.2	72.38	72.16	72.1	72.83(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10	13	29	3.43	49%	-0.09	214.8	1.71%	0	1.9	70	INF
17	Jan_4_2016	69.65	71.46	72.07	72.21	72.12	71.76	72.41(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-6	-40	-14	20	3.59	49%	-0.24	207.8	1.71%	0	1.3	73	INF
18	Dec_31_2015	69.82	71.26	72.07	72.17	72.21	72.22	71.87(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	0	-9	23	1.22	49%	-0.1	149.4	1.71%	0	0.5	58	INF
19	Dec_30_2015	69.89	70.96	71.98	72.17	72.26	72.48	72.1(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	20	9	36	1.21	52%	-0.09	100	1.71%	0	0.7	61	INF
20	Dec_29_2015	69.95	70.66	71.88	72.22	72.22	72.2	72.69(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-0	11	36	1.65	52%	-0.1	88.7	1.75%	0	1	65	INF

21	Dec_28_2015	70.02	70.31	71.71	71.99	72.05	72.04	71.99(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	0	-2	31	1.12	50%	-0.21	80.4	1.75%	0	0.8	73	INF
22	Dec_24_2015	70.17	69.98	71.55	71.9	71.91	72.25	72.22(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	19	30	12	40	0.72	50%	-0.13	77.1	1.75%	0	0.9	77	INF
23	Dec_23_2015	70.26	69.64	71.44	71.76	71.67	72.05	72.12(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	30	17	53	2.04	50%	-0.11	76.5	1.76%	0	1	81	INF
24	Dec_22_2015	70.34	69.32	71.32	71.71	71.49	71.58	72.06(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-0	14	76	1.76	50%	-0.11	79.8	1.76%	0	1	87	INF
25	Dec_21_2015	70.42	68.94	71.23	71.49	71.35	71.29	71.56(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-10	-2	90	2.28	50%		80.8	1.76%	0	0.9	83	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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