Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $70.8100 (0.83%) ($70.3000 - $71.9500) on Thu. Jan. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $70.8100(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)    SPY(39%)    XLY(39%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-3%)    TLT(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $66.24(-6.45%)
Resistance Level   $71.13
5 Day Moving Average   $69.73(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.06(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.13(-0.45%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $17.824b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.01% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 8.59%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 11.68%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2016	68.88	71.13	70.06	69.73	69.67	70.32	70.81(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	60	33	-54	3.04	52%	-0.03	-33.3	1.61%	0	-0.2	43	0
2	Jan_20_2016	68.9	71.16	70.21	69.26	69.12	69.85	70.23(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	70	24	-72	5.35	52%	-0.03	-40.2	1.61%	0	-0.6	38	0
3	Jan_19_2016	68.92	71.23	70.45	69.36	69.09	69.03	70.34(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-20	20	-68	4.12	52%	-0.14	-35.3	1.61%	0	-0.6	43	0
4	Jan_15_2016	69.02	71.3	70.64	69.22	69.19	68.4	68.88(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-58	-80	-44	-100	4.34	51%	-0.09	-38.5	1.58%	0	-1.7	34	0
5	Jan_14_2016	69.08	71.46	70.95	69.74	69.78	69.15	68.39(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-62	-60	-53	-90	4.38	46%	-0.12	-29	1.6%	0	-2.4	32	0

6	Jan_13_2016	69.16	71.61	71.34	70.43	70.56	69.98	68.48(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-44	-50	-38	-63	3.5	46%	-0.09	-18.1	1.69%	0	-3	33	0
7	Jan_12_2016	69.22	71.61	71.79	71.28	71.2	70.4	70.73(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-80	-39	-36	3.03	52%	-0.06	14.6	1.64%	0	-1.4	46	0
8	Jan_11_2016	69.26	71.75	71.92	71.7	71.71	71.13	69.64(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-40	-60	-45	-25	5.18	52%	-0.1	40	1.65%	0	-2.9	39	0
9	Jan_8_2016	69.33	71.84	72.21	72.25	72.26	71.99	71.46(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-6	-30	-10	7	2.65	55%	-0.13	94.2	1.62%	0	-0.6	52	0
10	Jan_7_2016	69.42	71.82	72.28	72.33	72.2	72.29	71.84(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	0	-7	13	3.61	53%	-0.13	137.5	1.64%	0	0	51	0

11	Jan_6_2016	69.51	71.79	72.31	72.33	72.15	72.53	72.71(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	30	13	27	3.24	49%	-0.11	173.9	1.65%	0	1.4	70	0
12	Jan_5_2016	69.59	71.64	72.2	72.38	72.16	72.1	72.83(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10	13	29	3.43	49%	-0.09	214.8	1.71%	0	1.9	70	0
13	Jan_4_2016	69.65	71.46	72.07	72.21	72.12	71.76	72.41(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-6	-40	-14	20	3.59	49%	-0.24	207.8	1.71%	0	1.3	73	0
14	Dec_31_2015	69.82	71.26	72.07	72.17	72.21	72.22	71.87(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	0	-9	23	1.22	49%	-0.1	149.4	1.71%	0	0.5	58	0
15	Dec_30_2015	69.89	70.96	71.98	72.17	72.26	72.48	72.1(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	20	9	36	1.21	52%	-0.09	100	1.71%	0	0.7	61	0

16	Dec_29_2015	69.95	70.66	71.88	72.22	72.22	72.2	72.69(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-0	11	36	1.65	52%	-0.1	88.7	1.75%	0	1	65	0
17	Dec_28_2015	70.02	70.31	71.71	71.99	72.05	72.04	71.99(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	0	-2	31	1.12	50%	-0.21	80.4	1.75%	0	0.8	73	0
18	Dec_24_2015	70.17	69.98	71.55	71.9	71.91	72.25	72.22(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	19	30	12	40	0.72	50%	-0.13	77.1	1.75%	0	0.9	77	0
19	Dec_23_2015	70.26	69.64	71.44	71.76	71.67	72.05	72.12(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	30	17	53	2.04	50%	-0.11	76.5	1.76%	0	1	81	0
20	Dec_22_2015	70.34	69.32	71.32	71.71	71.49	71.58	72.06(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-0	14	76	1.76	50%	-0.11	79.8	1.76%	0	1	87	0

21	Dec_21_2015	70.42	68.94	71.23	71.49	71.35	71.29	71.56(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-10	-2	90	2.28	50%	-0.13	80.8	1.76%	0	0.9	83	0
22	Dec_18_2015	70.51	68.57	71.04	71.38	71.36	71.41	71.54(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	32	0	5	111	4.77	48%	-0.11	84.4	1.76%	0	1	83	0
23	Dec_17_2015	70.59	68.14	70.81	71.14	71.25	71.42	71.54(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	20	10	128	3.1	48%	-0.11	76.9	1.77%	0	1.1	84	0
24	Dec_16_2015	70.67	67.72	70.49	71.06	70.93	71.31	71.83(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	30	9	143	3.84	50%	-0.1	76.7	1.77%	0	1.3	85	0
25	Dec_15_2015	70.74	67.27	69.88	70.89	70.92	71.08	70.96(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	47	20	15	144	3.34	51%		70.7	1.77%	0	1.2	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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