Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $72.4100 (0.75%) ($70.4400 - $72.4400) on Mon. Jan. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $72.4100(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)    SPY(39%)    XLY(39%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-3%)    TLT(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.21(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.07(0.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.46(1.33%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $18.227b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2016	69.65	71.46	72.07	72.21	72.12	71.76	72.41(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-6	-40	-14	20	3.59	49%	-0.24	207.8	1.71%	0	1.3	73	0
2	Dec_31_2015	69.82	71.26	72.07	72.17	72.21	72.22	71.87(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	0	-9	23	1.22	49%	-0.1	149.4	1.71%	0	0.5	58	0
3	Dec_30_2015	69.89	70.96	71.98	72.17	72.26	72.48	72.1(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	20	9	36	1.21	52%	-0.09	100	1.71%	0	0.7	61	0
4	Dec_29_2015	69.95	70.66	71.88	72.22	72.22	72.2	72.69(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-0	11	36	1.65	52%	-0.1	88.7	1.75%	0	1	65	0
5	Dec_28_2015	70.02	70.31	71.71	71.99	72.05	72.04	71.99(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	0	-2	31	1.12	50%	-0.21	80.4	1.75%	0	0.8	73	0

6	Dec_24_2015	70.17	69.98	71.55	71.9	71.91	72.25	72.22(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	19	30	12	40	0.72	50%	-0.13	77.1	1.75%	0	0.9	77	0
7	Dec_23_2015	70.26	69.64	71.44	71.76	71.67	72.05	72.12(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	30	17	53	2.04	50%	-0.11	76.5	1.76%	0	1	81	0
8	Dec_22_2015	70.34	69.32	71.32	71.71	71.49	71.58	72.06(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-0	14	76	1.76	50%	-0.11	79.8	1.76%	0	1	87	0
9	Dec_21_2015	70.42	68.94	71.23	71.49	71.35	71.29	71.56(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-10	-2	90	2.28	50%	-0.13	80.8	1.76%	0	0.9	83	0
10	Dec_18_2015	70.51	68.57	71.04	71.38	71.36	71.41	71.54(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	32	0	5	111	4.77	48%	-0.11	84.4	1.76%	0	1	83	0

11	Dec_17_2015	70.59	68.14	70.81	71.14	71.25	71.42	71.54(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	20	10	128	3.1	48%	-0.11	76.9	1.77%	0	1.1	84	0
12	Dec_16_2015	70.67	67.72	70.49	71.06	70.93	71.31	71.83(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	30	9	143	3.84	50%	-0.1	76.7	1.77%	0	1.3	85	0
13	Dec_15_2015	70.74	67.27	69.88	70.89	70.92	71.08	70.96(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	47	20	15	144	3.34	51%	-0.11	70.7	1.77%	0	1.2	79	0
14	Dec_14_2015	70.82	66.78	69.38	70.94	70.84	70.56	71.01(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	38	-30	1	149	3.31	49%	-0.11	60.2	1.78%	0	1.3	82	0
15	Dec_11_2015	70.9	66.24	68.83	70.66	70.72	70.77	70.35(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	10	-1	150	2.36	49%	-0.14	45.1	1.79%	0	1.2	82	0

16	Dec_10_2015	71	65.88	68.32	70.41	70.42	71.13	71.14(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	69	70	34	173	3.33	47%	-0.13	37.8	1.79%	0	1.6	89	0
17	Dec_9_2015	71.09	65.44	67.71	69.81	69.71	70.68	71(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	89	90	60	177	4.69	46%	-0.14	27.3	1.83%	0	1.8	84	0
18	Dec_8_2015	71.19	65.16	67.15	68.68	68.79	69.7	71.21(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	89	100	64	163	5.32	46%	-0.14	14.4	1.83%	0	2.2	86	0
19	Dec_7_2015	71.29	64.9	66.44	67.58	67.61	68.73	69.6(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	76	120	52	147	4.83	44%	-0.15	0.5	1.81%	0	1.9	87	0
20	Dec_4_2015	71.4	64.77	65.87	66.74	66.74	67.88	69.12(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	87	120	66	151	6.28	44%	-0.15	-9.7	1.82%	0	1.9	88	0

21	Dec_3_2015	71.51	64.68	65.21	65.92	65.9	66.49	68.12(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	60	44	117	9.59	44%	-0.15	-18.6	1.82%	0	1.6	64	0
22	Dec_2_2015	71.62	64.63	64.69	65.33	65.31	65.61	65.35(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	30	8	95	3.85	39%	-0.21	-25.9	1.73%	0	0.3	61	0
23	Dec_1_2015	71.77	64.76	64.45	65.38	65.25	65.32	65.72(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	0	18	87	4.1	37%	-0.19	-17.8	1.73%	0	0.4	48	0
24	Nov_30_2015	71.91	64.89	63.99	65.1	65.04	65.01	65.41(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10	4	44	4.72	37%	-0.21	-15.2	1.77%	0	0.2	44	0
25	Nov_27_2015	72.06	64.99	63.48	64.83	64.8	65.18	65.01(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	40	16	3	2.04	35%		-14.3	1.77%	0	0	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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