Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $68.5200 (1.92%) ($67.2300 - $68.5800) on Mon. Oct. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $68.5200(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(42%)    SPY(39%)    XLY(39%)    IWF(38%)    VUG(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    XLRE(-3%)    UUP(-3%)    TLT(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $63.82(-6.86%)
Resistance Level   $70.23
5 Day Moving Average   $67.62(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.38(-1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.23(-2.43%)
To recent high   -15.6%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $17.248b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.36%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.57%(100%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.87%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.92%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2015	75.78	70.23	69.38	67.62	67.33	67.33	68.52(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10	0	-115	3.53	34%	-0.07	-51.7	1.49%	0	-1	41	0
2	Oct_9_2015	75.83	70.27	69.57	68.15	67.78	66.74	67.23(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-76	-120	-59	-126	4.4	34%	-0.08	-54	1.49%	0	-1.8	38	0
3	Oct_8_2015	75.89	70.45	70.04	68.97	68.94	67.33	66.2(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-96	-160	-92	-109	10.29	31%	-0.09	-50.5	1.47%	0	-2.8	37	0
4	Oct_7_2015	75.96	70.66	70.68	70.02	69.97	68.81	67.45(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-92	-120	-98	-75	9.16	32%	-0.09	-48.8	1.46%	0	-2.7	36	0
5	Oct_6_2015	76.03	70.9	71.14	71.01	70.92	70.55	68.72(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-31	-40	-37	-14	5.89	33%	-0.08	-28.7	1.45%	0	-2.1	42	0

6	Oct_5_2015	76.09	71.12	71.42	71.34	71.45	71.13	71.15(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-30	3	18	2.53	36%	-0.04	-29.9	1.4%	0	0	57	0
7	Oct_2_2015	76.12	71.18	71.39	71.2	71.17	71.29	71.32(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-11	10	-20	15	2.3	36%	-0.04	-42.9	1.41%	0	0.1	62	0
8	Oct_1_2015	76.15	71.22	71.3	71.29	71.22	71.78	71.44(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	50	19	33	2.85	37%	-0.03	-49	1.41%	0	0.2	55	0
9	Sep_30_2015	76.17	71.25	71.29	71.47	71.39	71.05	72.44(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-40	17	47	4.21	37%	-0.03	-62.6	1.41%	0	1.1	61	0
10	Sep_29_2015	76.19	71.21	71.29	71.34	71.37	70.66	70.33(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-34	-70	-49	13	3.59	32%	-0.07	-76.9	1.35%	0	-0.9	43	0

11	Sep_28_2015	76.24	71.4	71.13	71.51	71.67	71.72	70.46(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	10	-13	17	3.1	32%	-0.05	-62	1.37%	0	-0.8	39	0
12	Sep_25_2015	76.28	71.61	71.02	71.59	71.58	72.08	71.8(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	50	32	19	3.09	35%	-0.04	-59.7	1.37%	0	0.1	46	0
13	Sep_24_2015	76.31	71.72	70.87	71.27	71.19	71.61	72.34(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	22	40	30	-3	4.62	35%	-0.01	-78.3	1.37%	0	0.4	50	0
14	Sep_23_2015	76.32	71.91	70.62	71.08	71.19	71.09	71.75(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	10	15	-29	2.75	35%	-0.03	-76.1	1.36%	0	-0.1	47	0
15	Sep_22_2015	76.34	72	70.61	70.93	70.87	70.76	71.19(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10	10	-36	2.95	35%	-0.03	-92	1.36%	0	-0.4	47	0

16	Sep_21_2015	76.36	72.17	70.77	70.71	70.82	70.64	70.85(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10	2	-57	2.01	35%	-0.04	-103.3	1.35%	0	-0.7	35	0
17	Sep_18_2015	76.39	72.46	70.92	70.36	70.49	70.99	70.22(-1.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	60	5	-81	4.35	35%	-0.04	-102.7	1.35%	0	-1	31	0
18	Sep_17_2015	76.42	72.93	71.11	70.38	70.25	71	71.39(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	20	70	51	-75	4.52	36%	-0.03	-82.8	1.34%	0	-0.6	37	0
19	Sep_16_2015	76.44	73.36	71.18	70.09	69.93	69.99	71.01(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-0	14	-126	3.39	36%	-0.07	-71.7	1.34%	0	-0.8	29	0
20	Sep_15_2015	76.49	73.79	71.26	70.28	69.96	69.5	70.06(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-73	-60	-45	-157	4.07	34%	-0.08	-63.8	1.33%	0	-1.1	40	0

21	Sep_14_2015	76.55	74.25	71.69	70.88	70.77	69.87	69.1(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-79	-90	-56	-147	3.64	32%	-0.09	-58	1.31%	0	-1.5	34	0
22	Sep_11_2015	76.62	74.76	72.27	71.57	71.64	70.43	70.36(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-86	-120	-67	-142	3.82	33%	-0.08	-53.3	1.3%	0	-1.3	32	0
23	Sep_10_2015	76.68	75.21	72.66	71.93	72.14	71.68	69.9(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-90	-40	-65	-163	5.3	36%	-0.09	-51.8	1.3%	0	-1.6	25	0
24	Sep_9_2015	76.75	75.64	73.34	72.4	72.56	72.86	71.98(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	40	14	-141	1.9	39%	-0.05	-55.2	1.27%	0	-1.2	27	0
25	Sep_8_2015	76.79	75.99	73.53	72.37	72.46	72.59	73.05(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	20	10	-180	3.47	40%		-59.2	1.27%	0	-1	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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