Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $70.8500 (0.9%) ($70.4400 - $71.5000) on Mon. Sep. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $70.8500(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    IWF(39%)    SPY(39%)    XLY(39%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $66.2(-6.56%)
Resistance Level   $72.17
5 Day Moving Average   $70.71(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.77(0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.17(-1.83%)
To recent high   -12.7%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $17.835b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.72% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.77%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.08%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2015	76.36	72.17	70.77	70.71	70.82	70.64	70.85(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10	2	-57	2.01	35%	-0.04	-103.3	1.35%	0	-0.7	35	INF
2	Sep_18_2015	76.39	72.46	70.92	70.36	70.49	70.99	70.22(-1.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	60	5	-81	4.35	35%	-0.04	-102.7	1.35%	0	-1	31	INF
3	Sep_17_2015	76.42	72.93	71.11	70.38	70.25	71	71.39(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	20	70	51	-75	4.52	36%	-0.03	-82.8	1.34%	0	-0.6	37	INF
4	Sep_16_2015	76.44	73.36	71.18	70.09	69.93	69.99	71.01(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-0	14	-126	3.39	36%	-0.07	-71.7	1.34%	0	-0.8	29	INF
5	Sep_15_2015	76.49	73.79	71.26	70.28	69.96	69.5	70.06(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-73	-60	-45	-157	4.07	34%	-0.08	-63.8	1.33%	0	-1.1	40	INF

6	Sep_14_2015	76.55	74.25	71.69	70.88	70.77	69.87	69.1(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-79	-90	-56	-147	3.64	32%	-0.09	-58	1.31%	0	-1.5	34	INF
7	Sep_11_2015	76.62	74.76	72.27	71.57	71.64	70.43	70.36(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-86	-120	-67	-142	3.82	33%	-0.08	-53.3	1.3%	0	-1.3	32	INF
8	Sep_10_2015	76.68	75.21	72.66	71.93	72.14	71.68	69.9(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-90	-40	-65	-163	5.3	36%	-0.09	-51.8	1.3%	0	-1.6	25	INF
9	Sep_9_2015	76.75	75.64	73.34	72.4	72.56	72.86	71.98(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	40	14	-141	1.9	39%	-0.05	-55.2	1.27%	0	-1.2	27	INF
10	Sep_8_2015	76.79	75.99	73.53	72.37	72.46	72.59	73.05(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	20	10	-180	3.47	40%	0	-59.2	1.27%	0	-1	30	INF

11	Sep_4_2015	76.79	76.28	73.68	72.66	72.32	72.27	72.56(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-75	-20	-27	-218	4.47	40%	-0.03	-60.6	1.25%	0	-1.3	31	INF
12	Sep_3_2015	76.81	76.58	74.11	73.11	72.93	72.33	72.16(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-60	-23	-217	3.53	42%	-0.04	-61.7	1.25%	0	-1.6	31	INF
13	Sep_2_2015	76.84	76.95	74.88	73.53	73.46	72.37	72.25(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-112	-110	-77	-218	4.33	46%	-0.04	-61.8	1.27%	0	-1.7	31	INF
14	Sep_1_2015	76.87	77.38	75.68	74.43	73.99	73.52	71.82(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-92	-60	-66	-169	5.47	46%	-0.04	-55	1.32%	0	-2.2	34	INF
15	Aug_31_2015	76.9	77.81	76.51	74.81	74.82	74.55	74.49(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-33	-20	1	-133	4.61	51%	-0.03	-56.1	1.24%	0	-1.5	38	INF

16	Aug_28_2015	76.92	78.09	77	74.84	74.9	74.46	74.84(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-55	-40	-26	-141	4.54	51%	-0.01	-56.3	1.24%	0	-1.5	38	INF
17	Aug_27_2015	76.93	78.37	77.45	75.27	74.58	75.08	74.27(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-80	20	-60	-138	13.79	51%	-0.03	-52.3	1.24%	0	-2	38	INF
18	Aug_26_2015	76.95	78.68	77.97	76.46	75.55	75.35	76.71(4.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-50	10	-76	4.5	55%	0.04	-41.3	1.17%	0	-1.1	41	INF
19	Aug_25_2015	76.92	78.81	78.13	77.21	76.65	74.07	73.73(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-144	-260	-147	-134	2.69	49%	-0.01	-34.7	1.07%	0	-2.9	23	INF
20	Aug_24_2015	76.93	79.09	78.68	78.49	77.99	75.75	74.67(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-209	-220	-235	-129	4.65	51%	-0.04	-24.6	1.06%	0	-3.3	29	INF

21	Aug_21_2015	76.96	79.33	79.14	79.43	79.69	79.24	76.97(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-58	-30	-67	-32	4.65	57%	0.03	-18.9	0.99%	0	-2.7	36	INF
22	Aug_20_2015	76.94	79.46	79.31	79.88	79.88	80.23	80.22(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	30	19	8	3.37	64%	0.07	-13.6	0.85%	0	1.1	47	INF
23	Aug_19_2015	76.89	79.43	79.2	79.68	79.66	80.14	80.48(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	49	40	62	8	3.34	64%	0.07	-24.7	0.87%	0	1.5	51	INF
24	Aug_18_2015	76.84	79.43	79.19	79.23	79.27	79.53	80.09(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	33	20	46	-8	2.38	64%	0.07	-36.4	0.87%	0	1	57	INF
25	Aug_17_2015	76.79	79.42	79.17	78.95	78.74	79.18	79.4(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	30	18	-23	1.19	62%		-39.8	0.87%	0	-0	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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