Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $62.2700 (0.13%) ($62.1800 - $63.0200) on Mon. Jul. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $62.2700(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(78%)    IWN(78%)    IVE(77%)    XLF(77%)    PAVE(76%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    UUP(-20%)    VIXM(-16%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.78(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.14(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.79(2.43%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $19.081b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.38%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.46%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 0.67%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.16%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.06%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.58%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2017	64.8	60.79	61.14	61.78	62.12	62.22	62.27(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	30	26	53	1.63	41%	-0.11	77.8	1.05%	0	1.6	56	INF
2	Jun_30_2017	64.87	60.63	61.01	61.45	61.74	62.12	62.19(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	60	29	41	3.16	44%	-0.11	64.7	1.05%	0	1.7	61	INF
3	Jun_29_2017	64.94	60.46	60.88	61.02	61.36	62.02	61.51(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	90	54	34	5.27	42%	-0.11	54.4	1.05%	0	1.2	58	INF
4	Jun_28_2017	65.01	60.34	60.8	60.77	60.84	61.36	61.88(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	60	52	28	3.11	45%	-0.11	44.7	1.05%	0	1.7	69	INF
5	Jun_27_2017	65.08	60.18	60.66	60.46	60.46	60.7	61.07(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	30	22	11	2.46	43%	-0.12	31.8	1.06%	0	1	67	INF

6	Jun_26_2017	65.16	60.07	60.68	60.41	60.37	60.32	60.61(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10	-1	21	1.83	43%	-0.14	26	1.06%	0	0.6	70	INF
7	Jun_23_2017	65.25	60.03	60.69	60.51	60.47	60.22	60.04(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-30	-23	34	8.46	43%	-0.12	28.3	1.05%	0	0	62	INF
8	Jun_22_2017	65.33	59.99	60.76	60.72	60.71	60.41	60.24(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-40	-22	61	1.86	43%	-0.14	33.8	1.05%	0	0.3	65	INF
9	Jun_21_2017	65.42	59.94	60.72	60.82	60.89	60.71	60.36(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-20	-17	75	1.99	39%	-0.14	38.2	1.05%	0	0.5	64	INF
10	Jun_20_2017	65.51	59.9	60.64	60.87	60.92	61.01	60.78(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	10	-4	87	1.82	39%	-0.14	38.7	1.11%	0	1	71	INF

11	Jun_19_2017	65.6	59.84	60.45	60.99	60.82	61.07	61.14(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	20	13	100	1.64	39%	-0.12	37.9	1.11%	0	1.5	73	INF
12	Jun_16_2017	65.68	59.78	60.24	60.91	60.81	60.84	61.1(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-0	16	93	3.53	38%	-0.12	37.2	1.12%	0	1.6	59	INF
13	Jun_15_2017	65.76	59.69	60.02	60.8	60.76	60.58	60.72(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-20	-1	81	2.16	36%	-0.14	30.2	1.12%	0	1.3	63	INF
14	Jun_14_2017	65.85	59.59	59.86	60.6	60.67	60.78	60.63(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	20	5	74	2.87	36%	-0.14	15.1	1.13%	0	1.4	61	INF
15	Jun_13_2017	65.94	59.56	59.67	60.35	60.49	60.94	61.36(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	51	60	45	70	2.56	37%	-0.14	3.3	1.13%	0	2.5	60	INF

16	Jun_12_2017	66.03	59.51	59.4	59.82	60	60.57	60.73(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	46	80	48	38	3.04	37%	-0.14	-17.1	1.12%	0	1.8	57	INF
17	Jun_9_2017	66.12	59.48	59.29	59.48	59.47	60.04	60.57(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	39	70	46	18	2.81	37%	-0.15	-33.7	1.12%	0	1.8	51	INF
18	Jun_8_2017	66.22	59.45	59.12	59.14	59.14	59.43	59.73(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	23	30	33	-6	2.9	35%	-0.17	-52.5	1.1%	0	0.5	53	INF
19	Jun_7_2017	66.33	59.48	59.06	59.01	58.95	58.9	59.37(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10	7	-21	2.65	35%	-0.15	-63.5	1.1%	0	-0.2	55	INF
20	Jun_6_2017	66.43	59.54	59.09	58.88	58.92	58.85	58.69(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10	-9	-39	3.33	32%	-0.12	-72.6	1.08%	0	-1.3	39	INF

21	Jun_5_2017	66.51	59.63	59.19	58.91	58.93	59.01	59.02(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	10	-5	-45	2.34	32%	-0.2	-83	1.09%	0	-0.9	37	INF
22	Jun_2_2017	66.64	59.69	59.29	59.07	58.99	58.98	58.91(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-7	-10	3	-36	2.83	31%	-0.19	-92.8	1.09%	0	-1.2	41	INF
23	Jun_1_2017	66.77	59.77	59.33	59.09	59.09	58.85	59.07(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-30	-9	-47	2.38	34%	-0.19	-119.1	1.11%	0	-1.1	42	INF
24	May_31_2017	66.9	59.87	59.32	59.12	59.15	58.99	58.7(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-20	-27	-66	3.25	32%	-0.21	-137.6	1.1%	0	-1.7	39	INF
25	May_30_2017	67.04	60.03	59.47	59.33	59.35	59.33	58.86(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-0	-7	-53	2.89	31%		-149.2	1.11%	0	-1.5	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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