Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DFS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $71.6300 (0.58%) ($71.0700 - $71.7000) on Mon. Feb. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $71.6300(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(78%)    IWN(78%)    IVE(77%)    XLF(77%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    UUP(-20%)    VIXM(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.35(0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.05(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.02(2.3%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $21.949b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 0.98%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.45%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.57%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.26%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2017	66.64	70.02	71.05	71.35	71.19	71.22	71.63(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-0	4	102	2.06	75%	0.24	45.3	1.09%	0	1.4	69	0
2	Feb_24_2017	66.48	69.88	70.79	71.29	71.21	71.15	71.22(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10	3	98	2.13	75%	0.23	41.7	1.09%	0	1.2	66	0
3	Feb_23_2017	66.33	69.78	70.57	71.21	71.14	71.16	71.46(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-0	2	102	1.73	77%	0.23	39.2	1.1%	0	1.5	76	0
4	Feb_22_2017	66.18	69.67	70.25	71.1	71	71.27	71.17(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	20	8	95	1.72	77%	0.23	33.8	1.12%	0	1.5	66	0
5	Feb_21_2017	66.03	69.59	69.99	71.04	70.99	71.12	71.29(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	10	36	101	2.2	77%	0.38	34.5	1.12%	0	1.8	62	0

6	Feb_17_2017	65.78	69.48	69.78	70.7	70.63	70.72	71.3(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	10	15	77	2.08	77%	0.24	15	1.11%	0	2.1	59	0
7	Feb_16_2017	65.62	69.41	69.57	70.2	70.3	70.86	70.84(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	60	35	67	1.64	71%	0.21	-7	1.12%	0	1.8	60	0
8	Feb_15_2017	65.48	69.36	69.29	69.82	69.88	70.54	70.92(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	61	70	64	53	1.87	71%	0.21	-30.6	1.14%	0	2.1	58	0
9	Feb_14_2017	65.34	69.32	69.06	69.27	69.29	69.74	70.85(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	40	50	47	20	2.34	75%	0.23	-68.4	1.14%	0	2.3	59	0
10	Feb_13_2017	65.19	69.26	68.88	68.8	68.81	69.22	69.58(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	13	40	21	-13	1.4	73%	0.18	-110.2	1.19%	0	0.5	47	0

11	Feb_10_2017	65.07	69.35	68.87	68.75	68.68	68.83	68.82(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	10	15	-16	1.35	80%	0.18	-89.6	1.2%	0	-0.7	47	0
12	Feb_9_2017	64.95	69.46	68.89	68.85	68.71	68.4	68.95(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-40	-3	-23	1.44	83%	0.17	-85.9	1.38%	0	-0.6	42	0
13	Feb_8_2017	64.84	69.59	68.93	68.68	68.83	68.52	68.16(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-20	-20	-38	2.2	83%	0.19	-93	1.51%	0	-1.4	38	0
14	Feb_7_2017	64.72	69.78	69.04	68.8	68.87	69.03	68.51(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	20	-8	-35	2.3	84%	0.19	-86.9	1.52%	0	-1.2	38	0
15	Feb_6_2017	64.6	69.94	69.18	68.95	68.97	69.13	69.29(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	20	12	-23	2.05	84%	0.19	-84	1.54%	0	-0.6	46	0

16	Feb_3_2017	64.48	70.07	69.17	69.02	68.97	68.71	69.36(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-30	-2	-39	2.02	84%	0.19	-77.1	1.54%	0	-0.6	36	0
17	Feb_2_2017	64.36	70.24	69.24	68.96	68.99	68.81	68.06(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-20	-25	-56	2.95	83%	0.17	-67.9	1.53%	0	-1.7	30	0
18	Feb_1_2017	64.25	70.52	69.45	69.22	69.23	69.27	68.77(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-10	0	3	-47	2.76	83%	0.17	-54.5	1.52%	0	-1.2	31	0
19	Jan_31_2017	64.14	70.72	69.6	69.31	69.18	69.16	69.28(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-10	-7	-58	2.69	83%	0.16	-52.7	1.52%	0	-1	31	0
20	Jan_30_2017	64.04	70.86	69.67	69.43	69.35	69.16	69.63(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-20	-1	-61	2.17	83%	0.17	-52.8	1.52%	0	-0.9	37	0

21	Jan_27_2017	63.93	70.98	69.85	69.36	69.49	69.19	69.06(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-20	-17	-73	1.77	83%	0.16	-58.4	1.52%	0	-1.4	30	0
22	Jan_26_2017	63.83	71.13	70.07	69.58	69.59	69.52	69.35(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10	-17	-75	3.25	84%	0.16	-61.5	1.52%	0	-1.3	28	0
23	Jan_25_2017	63.73	71.3	70.3	69.71	69.88	69.79	69.21(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-21	-0	-2	-77	5.48	84%	0.16	-60.1	1.52%	0	-1.6	23	0
24	Jan_24_2017	63.63	71.48	70.58	69.94	69.95	69.67	69.88(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	-30	-12	-79	3.51	85%	0.11	-55	1.52%	0	-1.3	35	0
25	Jan_23_2017	63.56	71.61	70.76	69.95	70.05	69.98	69.28(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-0	-21	-86	2.58	85%		-57	1.53%	0	-2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.