Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $72.1800 (0.68%) ($71.3100 - $72.5400) on Mon. Dec. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $72.1800(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWN(78%)    IWD(77%)    XLF(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    UUP(-19%)    VIXM(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.88(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.63(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.74(3.5%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   32.5%
Market Cap   $22.117b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 3.11% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(41%) Average negative next day return: -0.97%(59%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 1%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -1.31%(64%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 1.3%(41%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.31%(59%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2016	60.34	69.74	71.63	71.88		72.02	72.18(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	10	-8	115	2.13	77%	0.27	68.2	1.49%	0	1.1	72	INF
2	Dec_16_2016	60.18	69.44	71.19	71.78	72.01	72.32	71.69(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	40	7	120	4.57	77%	0.25	70.1	1.49%	0	1	70	INF
3	Dec_15_2016	60.03	69.16	70.78	72.01	71.98	71.99	72.47(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-0	13	127	2.75	77%	0.27	77.5	1.49%	0	1.5	68	INF
4	Dec_14_2016	59.87	68.8	70.34	71.92	71.91	71.69	71.23(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-20	-13	117	2.72	76%	0.23	87.8	1.48%	0	1.1	66	INF
5	Dec_13_2016	59.73	68.55	70.01	72	71.99	71.97	71.84(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-0	17	138	2.22	71%	0.27	110.5	1.48%	0	1.5	73	INF

6	Dec_12_2016	59.57	68.29	69.59	71.31	71.55	72.12	71.68(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	62	70	39	129	2.94	72%	0.25	128.2	1.52%	0	1.6	75	INF
7	Dec_9_2016	59.42	67.93	69.18	70.46	70.56	72.01	72.82(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	90	150	77	128	3.06	72%	0.29	138.3	1.51%	0	2.3	83	INF
8	Dec_8_2016	59.25	67.46	68.71	69.35	69.44	70.99	72.05(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	101	160	97	113	3.55	72%	0.27	152.4	1.53%	0	2.4	82	INF
9	Dec_7_2016	59.09	66.88	68.29	68.55	68.4	69.11	71.62(4.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	72	70	65	92	5.77	72%	0.25	135.3	1.53%	0	2.2	83	INF
10	Dec_6_2016	58.94	66.19	67.81	67.78	67.9	67.89	68.38(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	0	11	54	2.26	69%	0.19	102.6	1.42%	0	0.8	64	INF

11	Dec_5_2016	58.83	65.69	67.64	67.63	67.88	67.69	67.45(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10	-10	42	2.64	69%	0.17	89.1	1.42%	0	0.5	56	INF
12	Dec_2_2016	58.73	65.15	67.54	67.69	67.89	67.92	67.26(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	10	-12	53	2.27	69%	0.17	76.8	1.43%	0	0.6	67	INF
13	Dec_1_2016	58.63	64.63	67.43	67.92	67.98	68.08	68.06(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	25	10	5	84	3.47	69%	0.21	70.9	1.42%	0	0.8	76	INF
14	Nov_30_2016	58.51	64.03	67.16	67.97	68.04	67.86	67.77(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	32	-20	3	118	3.87	69%	0.19	65.9	1.41%	0	0.8	83	INF
15	Nov_29_2016	58.4	63.47	67.02	67.84	67.98	67.88	67.62(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	39	-0	-4	167	2.57	69%	0.21	62.9	1.42%	0	0.9	87	INF

16	Nov_28_2016	58.28	62.91	66.92	67.65	67.79	68.21	67.75(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	72	50	19	229	2.14	69%	0.22	61	1.42%	0	1	84	INF
17	Nov_25_2016	58.15	62.35	66.62	67.34	67.42	68.07	68.41(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	108	70	47	291	1.16	69%	0.35	60.8	1.41%	0	1.2	89	INF
18	Nov_23_2016	57.95	61.76	66.14	66.86	66.84	67.37	68.28(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	117	50	46	330	2.35	69%	0.28	61	1.41%	0	1.4	89	INF
19	Nov_22_2016	57.79	61.18	65.38	66.26	66.32	66.76	67.16(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	106	50	27	342	2.89	67%	0.17	61.4	1.4%	0	1.3	88	INF
20	Nov_21_2016	57.69	60.61	64.44	66.09	65.96	66.32	66.63(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	104	30	20	354	2.19	67%	0.23	64.6	1.4%	0	1.4	86	INF

21	Nov_18_2016	57.56	60.09	63.59	66.11	65.73	65.88	66.24(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	108	-0	18	377	2.52	67%	0.21	69.7	1.4%	0	1.4	83	INF
22	Nov_17_2016	57.44	59.53	62.61	65.77	65.69	65.61	66.01(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	110	-10	21	375	2.84	67%	0.24	71.8	1.4%	0	1.6	82	INF
23	Nov_16_2016	57.3	58.99	61.63	65.29	65.24	65.58	65.25(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	117	30	33	370	2.49	67%	0.24	74.2	1.39%	0	1.6	80	INF
24	Nov_15_2016	57.16	58.47	60.69	64.3	64.41	65.77	66.33(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	173	150	109	364	3.45	70%	0.28	71.2	1.37%	0	2.1	83	INF
25	Nov_14_2016	57	57.87	59.63	62.48	62.82	64.91	66.7(3.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	197	250	159	312	5.9	70%		63.5	1.37%	0	2.7	86	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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