Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $49.1800 (1.8%) ($48.7700 - $49.2400) on Fri. Mar. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $49.1800(1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(77%)    IWN(77%)    XLF(77%)    IVE(76%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.48(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.21(2.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.36(3.84%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $15.07b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 2.47% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.77%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.39%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.87%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.55%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2016	51.74	47.36	48.21	48.48	48.43	48.58	49.18(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	20	15	55	2.87	40%	-0.14	70.4	1.95%	0	1.6	62	INF
2	Mar_10_2016	51.81	47.07	48	48.35	48.27	48.21	48.31(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10	-6	48	2.74	40%	-0.12	47.4	1.97%	0	0.9	66	INF
3	Mar_9_2016	51.87	46.94	47.89	48.44	48.39	48.29	48(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-20	-2	59	2.16	39%	-0.13	51.4	1.97%	0	0.8	62	INF
4	Mar_8_2016	51.94	46.83	47.77	48.46	48.42	48.34	48.24(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10	1	64	3.33	38%	-0.15	55.9	1.98%	0	1	63	INF
5	Mar_7_2016	52.02	46.68	47.6	48.33	48.29	48.34	48.68(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	30	14	70	2.5	38%	-0.13	50.2	1.99%	0	1.5	71	INF

6	Mar_4_2016	52.09	46.55	47.46	47.87	47.97	48.5	48.53(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	80	23	75	2.77	40%	-0.13	45.5	1.99%	0	1.5	75	INF
7	Mar_3_2016	52.16	46.42	47.22	47.6	47.52	48.08	48.76(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	41	80	26	85	3.43	40%	-0.11	48.4	2.01%	0	2	81	INF
8	Mar_2_2016	52.22	46.25	46.97	47.28	47.28	47.44	48.09(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	20	22	77	3.67	38%	-0.13	32	2%	0	1.7	60	INF
9	Mar_1_2016	52.29	46.09	46.8	47	47.03	46.96	47.57(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10	4	65	4.07	38%	-0.17	11.4	2.01%	0	1.5	57	INF
10	Feb_29_2016	52.38	46	46.61	46.78	46.82	47.11	46.42(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	50	-3	60	2.9	36%	-0.17	-1.9	1.96%	0	0.4	57	INF

11	Feb_26_2016	52.47	45.97	46.44	46.96	46.79	47.1	47.15(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	21	68	2.37	36%	-0.17	-9.8	1.96%	0	1.3	54	INF
12	Feb_25_2016	52.56	45.85	46.07	46.76	46.66	46.53	47.16(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-30	8	38	2.13	36%	-0.17	-33	1.97%	0	1.4	53	INF
13	Feb_24_2016	52.65	45.91	45.92	46.61	46.48	46.47	46.71(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10	-8	28	2.66	36%	-0.15	-32.5	1.97%	0	0.7	56	INF
14	Feb_23_2016	52.73	45.97	45.83	46.56	46.53	46.79	46.46(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	40	12	40	2.91	36%	-0.15	-33.1	1.97%	0	0.4	57	INF
15	Feb_22_2016	52.81	46.02	45.69	46.4	46.45	46.5	47.34(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	10	24	34	2.8	36%	-0.09	-41.2	1.96%	0	1.1	55	INF

16	Feb_19_2016	52.86	46.06	45.69	45.83	46.08	46.27	46.15(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	50	18	14	1.98	34%	-0.11	-55.3	1.92%	0	0.1	52	INF
17	Feb_18_2016	52.92	46.16	45.56	45.25	45.58	46.4	46.39(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	150	27	4	2.49	36%	-0.11	-66.5	1.93%	0	0.2	57	INF
18	Feb_17_2016	52.98	46.27	45.45	45.13	44.87	45.89	46.44(1.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	20	140	33	-18	3.24	36%	-0.09	-70.9	1.95%	0	0.1	42	INF
19	Feb_16_2016	53.03	46.38	45.3	45.02	44.77	44.76	45.67(2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	-20	27	-46	2.68	36%	-0.08	-73.2	1.94%	0	-0.4	41	INF
20	Feb_12_2016	53.07	46.54	45.33	44.9	44.73	43.85	44.52(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-150	-37	-87	4.06	32%	-0.13	-73.7	1.9%	0	-1.2	40	INF

21	Feb_11_2016	53.14	46.82	45.46	45.25	45	44.78	43.25(-5.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-60	-50	-47	-98	6.55	29%	-0.17	-66.8	1.86%	0	-2	32	INF
22	Feb_10_2016	53.23	47.13	45.65	45.86	45.67	45.6	45.77(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-20	13	-80	4.95	32%	-0.11	-68.5	1.74%	0	-0.8	39	INF
23	Feb_9_2016	53.29	47.38	45.91	45.79	45.63	45.23	45.87(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-70	-9	-93	4.48	32%	-0.15	-68.6	1.74%	0	-0.8	38	INF
24	Feb_8_2016	53.37	47.61	46.14	45.62	45.56	45.74	45.11(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	20	-12	-107	4.86	32%	-0.13	-74.1	1.72%	0	-1.3	34	INF
25	Feb_5_2016	53.44	47.85	46.39	45.81	45.5	46.03	46.25(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	60	24	-97	5.4	33%		-81.8	1.71%	0	-0.9	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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