Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $45.8700 (1.68%) ($44.3600 - $46.2000) on Tue. Feb. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $45.8700(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(77%)    IWN(77%)    XLF(77%)    IVE(76%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.79(-15.43%)
Resistance Level   $47.38
5 Day Moving Average   $45.79(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.91(-0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.38(-3.19%)
To recent high   -20.4%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $14.055b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 3.88% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(17%) Average negative next day return: -1.98%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 4.04%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.51%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 7.18%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.65%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2016	53.29	47.38	45.91	45.79	45.63	45.23	45.87(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-70	-9	-93	4.48	32%	-0.15	-68.6	1.74%	0	-0.8	38	0
2	Feb_8_2016	53.37	47.61	46.14	45.62	45.56	45.74	45.11(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	20	-12	-107	4.86	32%	-0.13	-74.1	1.72%	0	-1.3	34	0
3	Feb_5_2016	53.44	47.85	46.39	45.81	45.5	46.03	46.25(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	60	24	-97	5.4	33%	-0.13	-81.8	1.71%	0	-0.9	36	0
4	Feb_4_2016	53.51	48.07	46.6	45.72	45.36	45.37	46.31(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-20	21	-113	6.56	33%	-0.15	-90.4	1.72%	0	-0.9	33	0
5	Feb_3_2016	53.59	48.32	46.8	45.42	45.25	44.98	45.4(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-62	-50	-31	-155	6.17	31%	-0.13	-97.6	1.7%	0	-1.5	33	0

6	Feb_2_2016	53.66	48.68	47.14	46.08	45.43	45.35	45.03(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-67	-50	-39	-149	5.16	31%	-0.15	-91.3	1.69%	0	-1.8	27	0
7	Feb_1_2016	53.74	49.06	47.53	46.76	46.37	45.53	46.05(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-150	-19	-128	5.96	32%	-0.13	-88.7	1.67%	0	-1.5	32	0
8	Jan_29_2016	53.81	49.44	47.85	47.06	47	45.52	45.79(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-94	-220	-77	-146	10.8	32%	-0.13	-91.9	1.67%	0	-1.9	34	0
9	Jan_28_2016	53.88	49.86	48.29	47.62	47.66	47.22	44.83(-7.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-84	-60	-70	-127	12.59	32%	-0.13	-83.5	1.65%	0	-2.5	27	0
10	Jan_27_2016	53.95	50.36	48.78	48.34	47.66	48.48	48.72(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	10	14	-98	6.15	38%	-0.09	-76.5	1.36%	0	-0.9	34	0

11	Jan_26_2016	54	50.63	48.99	48.35	48.43	48.1	48.39(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-41	-40	-14	-123	4.38	38%	-0.09	-65.7	1.36%	0	-1.1	28	0
12	Jan_25_2016	54.05	50.94	49.19	48.45	48.46	48.39	47.59(-2.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-10	-31	-146	4.95	36%	-0.07	-60.3	1.34%	0	-1.5	22	0
13	Jan_22_2016	54.09	51.3	49.44	48.77	48.78	48.77	48.59(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-0	-1	-147	4.09	41%	-0.07	-60	1.36%	0	-1.3	22	0
14	Jan_21_2016	54.13	51.58	49.64	49.08	48.81	48.53	48.42(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-56	-60	-19	-168	4.58	41%	-0.07	-54.4	1.37%	0	-1.5	19	0
15	Jan_20_2016	54.17	51.83	49.95	49.28	48.99	48.78	48.75(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-75	-50	-36	-192	3.93	41%	-0.04	-50.8	1.37%	0	-1.4	18	0

16	Jan_19_2016	54.19	52.03	50.33	49.73	49.52	49.09	48.91(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-62	-70	-22	-181	2.96	41%	-0.09	-48	1.37%	0	-1.5	22	0
17	Jan_15_2016	54.24	52.29	50.7	50.04	49.93	49.19	49.16(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-78	-110	-40	-192	4.04	41%	-0.11	-49.6	1.37%	0	-1.6	22	0
18	Jan_14_2016	54.3	52.59	51.14	50.2	50.31	49.94	50.16(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-75	-40	-35	-193	5.63	43%	-0.04	-49.4	1.37%	0	-1.4	24	0
19	Jan_13_2016	54.32	52.78	51.53	50.29	50.57	50.67	49.4(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-58	30	-16	-185	4.37	40%	-0.04	-52	1.35%	0	-1.9	26	0
20	Jan_12_2016	54.34	52.96	52.06	50.72	50.7	50.68	51(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-0	-6	-159	3.42	44%	-0.04	-61.1	1.3%	0	-1.2	37	0

21	Jan_11_2016	54.36	53.06	52.39	51.04	50.91	50.47	50.49(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-70	-35	-144	3.91	44%	-0.07	-69.1	1.3%	0	-1.7	42	0
22	Jan_8_2016	54.4	53.26	52.82	51.49	51.45	50.71	49.97(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-76	-100	-58	-128	3.6	44%	-0.09	-71.4	1.29%	0	-2.4	32	0
23	Jan_7_2016	54.45	53.48	53.32	52.22	51.96	51.34	50.6(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-80	-100	-72	-102	4.82	44%	-0.11	-76	1.29%	0	-2.5	30	0
24	Jan_6_2016	54.51	53.71	53.69	52.95	52.72	52.2	51.56(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-52	-80	-50	-58	3.21	46%	-0.07	-83.1	1.28%	0	-2.3	41	0
25	Jan_5_2016	54.55	53.94	53.9	53.59	53.41	52.58	52.59(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-42	-120	-49	-22	3.06	55%		-75.3	1.26%	0	-1.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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