Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $55.8800 (1.62%) ($54.9700 - $56.1400) on Thu. Oct. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $55.8800(1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(77%)    IWN(77%)    XLF(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.26(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.27(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.21(3.08%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $17.123b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 3.27% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(83%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.35%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.72%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 6.08%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.32%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2015	55.54	54.21	55.27	55.26	55.18	55.41	55.88(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	18	20	14	30	4.45	44%	-0.05	45.3	1.64%	0	0.9	76	0
2	Oct_21_2015	55.57	53.99	55.24	55.15	55.19	55.02	54.99(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-20	5	48	7.91	44%	-0.05	39.6	1.62%	0	0.6	75	0
3	Oct_20_2015	55.6	53.84	55.27	55.08	55.13	54.95	54.72(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-20	-15	58	5.29	44%	-0.07	34.6	1.62%	0	0.5	71	0
4	Oct_19_2015	55.64	53.71	55.26	55.16	55.16	55.35	54.99(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	20	-3	90	3.27	44%	-0.05	33.8	1.62%	0	0.7	77	0
5	Oct_16_2015	55.67	53.6	55.23	55.27	55.22	55.32	55.7(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	10	10	127	3.05	44%	-0.05	37.6	1.62%	0	1.2	84	0

6	Oct_15_2015	55.7	53.42	54.9	55.28	55.26	54.97	55.36(1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	23	-40	-10	123	3.22	44%	-0.07	39	1.62%	0	1.1	68	0
7	Oct_14_2015	55.74	53.3	54.57	55.35	55.45	55.12	54.62(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-40	-19	129	2.24	44%	-0.09	43.8	1.61%	0	0.8	68	0
8	Oct_13_2015	55.79	53.23	54.33	55.48	55.6	55.56	55.13(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	34	0	-3	146	2.54	45%	0	50.3	1.61%	0	1.2	68	0
9	Oct_12_2015	55.79	53.11	53.94	55.37	55.51	55.79	55.54(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	40	15	146	2.18	45%	-0.07	50.3	1.62%	0	1.6	70	0
10	Oct_9_2015	55.83	52.94	53.46	55.17	55.2	55.64	55.76(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	62	60	38	135	2.63	47%	-0.07	54	1.63%	0	1.9	62	0

11	Oct_8_2015	55.87	52.77	53.08	54.45	54.7	55.24	55.72(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	67	80	52	113	2.83	44%	-0.09	46.3	1.63%	0	2.3	65	0
12	Oct_7_2015	55.92	52.59	52.63	53.66	53.65	54.76	55.25(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	53	140	48	69	4.05	44%	-0.09	37.1	1.67%	0	2.4	57	0
13	Oct_6_2015	55.97	52.44	52.27	53	52.83	54.16	54.56(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	70	170	77	47	2.18	44%	-0.09	30.7	1.66%	0	2.3	53	0
14	Oct_5_2015	56.02	52.34	51.98	52.31	52.15	52.55	54.55(4.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	50	40	63	9	4.9	44%	-0.09	6.9	1.66%	0	2.6	56	0
15	Oct_2_2015	56.07	52.34	51.98	51.52	51.42	51.5	52.17(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-18	10	-7	-49	3.94	39%	-0.14	-40.2	1.57%	0	0	49	0

16	Oct_1_2015	56.15	52.17	51.78	51.51	51.38	51.74	51.75(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	40	13	-46	3.53	41%	-0.14	-55.3	1.56%	0	-0.6	45	0
17	Sep_30_2015	56.23	52.18	51.91	51.45	51.47	51.34	51.99(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-20	13	-44	3.42	41%	-0.12	-66.7	1.58%	0	-0.3	47	0
18	Sep_29_2015	56.3	52.15	52.03	51.42	51.36	51.01	51.1(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-50	-28	-57	4.06	37%	-0.16	-64.5	1.56%	0	-1.5	42	0
19	Sep_28_2015	56.39	52.28	52.22	51.59	51.6	51.6	50.6(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	0	-19	-46	4.41	37%	-0.16	-49	1.59%	0	-2.2	36	0
20	Sep_25_2015	56.48	52.45	52.41	52.05	51.81	51.72	52.1(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-30	-1	-15	2.31	39%	-0.09	-34.5	1.56%	0	-0.5	57	0

21	Sep_24_2015	56.53	52.56	52.47	52.09	51.99	51.6	51.45(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-60	-24	-20	2.55	39%	-0.14	-35	1.55%	0	-1.3	47	0
22	Sep_23_2015	56.61	52.64	52.59	52.43	52.26	51.91	51.84(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-60	-31	-4	2.03	39%	-0.11	-40.8	1.55%	0	-1	52	0
23	Sep_22_2015	56.67	52.62	52.66	52.74	52.65	52.39	51.95(-1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-40	-17	22	3.14	39%	-0.14	-51.9	1.55%	0	-0.8	56	0
24	Sep_21_2015	56.75	52.65	52.75	52.93	52.95	52.6	52.93(1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-50	-6	29	1.95	40%	-0.11	-63.9	1.54%	0	0.3	45	0
25	Sep_18_2015	56.81	52.7	52.61	52.83	52.89	52.9	52.26(-1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	0	-16	5	5.36	42%		-71.3	1.53%	0	-0.5	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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