Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $53.3900 (0.93%) ($52.7200 - $53.4800) on Wed. Sep. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $53.3900(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(77%)    IWN(77%)    XLF(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.76(1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.47(1.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.97(0.79%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $16.36b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.34%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.89%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.18%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2015	56.92	52.97	52.47	52.76	52.63	52.88	53.39(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	30	19	-8	2.36	43%	-0.11	-51.3	1.52%	0	0.3	52	0
2	Sep_15_2015	56.98	53.06	52.27	52.57	52.46	52.55	52.9(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	10	4	-21	3.62	41%	-0.11	-50.8	1.52%	0	-0.1	59	0
3	Sep_14_2015	57.04	53.18	52.33	52.56	52.55	52.39	52.39(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-20	5	-13	2.26	41%	-0.11	-48.9	1.53%	0	-0.5	51	0
4	Sep_11_2015	57.1	53.35	52.47	52.36	52.56	52.38	52.61(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10	-5	-27	3.07	41%	-0.1	-46.6	1.53%	0	-0.5	44	0
5	Sep_10_2015	57.16	53.47	52.63	52.28	52.36	52.71	52.5(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	50	3	-35	2.75	43%	-0.1	-43.8	1.53%	0	-0.6	39	0

6	Sep_9_2015	57.22	53.62	52.67	52.13	52.31	52.75	52.45(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	15	70	35	-47	2.65	43%	-0.12	-42.8	1.55%	0	-0.7	38	0
7	Sep_8_2015	57.29	53.77	52.57	51.91	52.02	52.02	52.84(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-21	10	4	-97	3.19	43%	-0.14	-44.3	1.55%	0	-0.6	40	0
8	Sep_4_2015	57.37	53.92	52.52	52.09	51.83	51.86	51.4(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-10	-30	-130	2.81	40%	-0.14	-40.3	1.5%	0	-1.5	35	0
9	Sep_3_2015	57.45	54.1	52.8	52.6	52.44	52.02	52.2(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-70	-13	-116	3.45	41%	-0.12	-37.2	1.49%	0	-1.2	35	0
10	Sep_2_2015	57.52	54.18	53.12	53.05	52.88	51.8	51.77(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-68	-150	-53	-113	3.22	41%	-0.12	-38.6	1.49%	0	-1.6	38	0

11	Sep_1_2015	57.59	54.33	53.52	53.29	53.43	52.86	51.35(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-54	-70	-40	-97	4.49	41%	-0.12	-40.2	1.49%	0	-2.1	35	0
12	Aug_31_2015	57.66	54.52	53.95	53.27	53.61	53.96	53.73(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	60	13	-83	3	45%	-0.07	-47.8	1.39%	0	-0.6	42	0
13	Aug_28_2015	57.7	54.59	54.12	53	53.26	54.01	53.95(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	110	34	-90	3.08	43%	-0.05	-54.7	1.4%	0	-0.5	41	0
14	Aug_27_2015	57.73	54.68	54.31	53.05	52.83	53.27	54.44(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	50	17	-89	3.93	45%	-0.05	-52.2	1.39%	0	-0.2	49	0
15	Aug_26_2015	57.76	54.77	54.36	53.26	53.05	52.52	52.98(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-80	-29	-91	4.51	40%	-0.09	-51.3	1.36%	0	-1.4	50	0

16	Aug_25_2015	57.81	54.9	54.62	53.84	53.85	52.4	51.26(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-88	-190	-89	-86	5.41	36%	-0.1	-56.6	1.29%	0	-3	38	0
17	Aug_24_2015	57.87	55.11	55.08	54.72	54.64	53.59	52.35(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-90	-140	-104	-47	7.86	37%	-0.1	-73.4	1.28%	0	-3.2	40	0
18	Aug_21_2015	57.93	55.27	55.46	55.35	55.47	55.31	54.24(-2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-18	-10	-30	20	6.4	41%	-0.07	-105.3	1.21%	0	-1.6	46	0
19	Aug_20_2015	57.97	55.35	55.53	55.7	55.64	55.68	55.49(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	0	6	46	4.21	43%	-0.03	-102.3	1.18%	0	0.2	47	0
20	Aug_19_2015	57.99	55.43	55.36	55.62	55.59	55.63	55.88(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	0	6	20	4.17	43%	-0.02	-75.7	1.18%	0	0.4	46	0

21	Aug_18_2015	58	55.59	55.23	55.54	55.48	55.61	55.62(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	10	7	9	5.89	43%	-0.02	-61.3	1.18%	0	0	51	0
22	Aug_17_2015	58.01	55.76	55.15	55.52	55.33	55.55	55.54(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	20	7	6	2.65	43%	-0.02	-51.9	1.18%	0	-0.1	53	0
23	Aug_14_2015	58.02	55.94	55.1	55.59	55.33	55.36	55.97(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10	18	13	4.92	42%	-0.02	-44.4	1.19%	0	0	54	0
24	Aug_13_2015	58.03	56.09	55.07	55.35	55.3	55.11	55.09(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	7	-30	10	-3	3.32	41%	-0.03	-41.3	1.18%	0	-0.5	45	0
25	Aug_12_2015	58.05	56.29	55.17	55.05	55.04	55.25	55.5(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	30	3	-29	3.78	41%		-39.2	1.19%	0	-0.4	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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