Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DFS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $59.5000 (0.63%) ($59.0500 - $59.5100) on Tue. Jun. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $59.5000(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWM(73%)    PEJ(73%)    JETS(70%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-10%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.86(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.79(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.6(1.54%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $18.232b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 0.9% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.29%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.37%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2015	58.77	58.6	58.79	58.86	58.94	59.26	59.5(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	40	36	53	2.15	52%	0.07	-27.8	1%	0	1.7	55	INF
2	Jun_22_2015	58.73	58.55	58.61	58.57	58.64	58.92	59.13(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	40	29	28	1.97	52%	0.09	-56.5	1%	0	1.2	56	INF
3	Jun_19_2015	58.68	58.56	58.46	58.39	58.37	58.63	58.75(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	30	11	4	3	54%	0.07	-62.6	1.01%	0	0.4	54	INF
4	Jun_18_2015	58.64	58.6	58.42	58.5	58.31	58.36	58.76(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-0	5	8	3.04	54%	0.07	-57.6	1.02%	0	0.3	54	INF
5	Jun_17_2015	58.6	58.65	58.36	58.59	58.44	58.11	58.14(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-50	-19	-4	4.39	52%	0.03	-46.8	1.01%	0	-0.8	42	INF

6	Jun_16_2015	58.58	58.74	58.42	58.71	58.67	58.27	58.06(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-50	-25	-5	3.62	52%	0.03	-30.6	1.01%	0	-1	39	INF
7	Jun_15_2015	58.56	58.83	58.45	58.64	58.74	58.78	58.22(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	10	-5	-4	3.37	52%	0.02	-32	1.01%	0	-0.8	47	INF
8	Jun_12_2015	58.55	58.89	58.47	58.52	58.57	59.07	59.34(0.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	24	60	34	-6	2.72	62%	0.03	-33.6	0.99%	0	0.6	46	INF
9	Jun_11_2015	58.53	58.93	58.35	58.31	58.3	58.7	59.21(0.8%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	25	50	41	-25	2.51	62%	-0.02	-24.2	1.08%	0	0.4	45	INF
10	Jun_10_2015	58.54	58.95	58.32	58.1	58.11	58.08	58.74(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-0	8	-58	2.2	57%	-0.03	-23.9	1.08%	0	-0.3	38	INF

11	Jun_9_2015	58.56	58.96	58.37	58.11	58.09	57.91	57.67(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-20	-21	-76	1.99	55%	-0.02	-22.4	1.09%	0	-1.6	26	INF
12	Jun_8_2015	58.57	59.06	58.48	58.25	58.32	58.14	57.65(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-20	-13	-76	2.57	55%	-0.05	-18.5	1.09%	0	-1.9	31	INF
13	Jun_5_2015	58.6	59.06	58.67	58.39	58.39	58.28	58.3(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10	-11	-70	3.76	57%	-0.03	-17.3	1.08%	0	-1.3	39	INF
14	Jun_4_2015	58.62	59.13	58.79	58.38	58.42	58.28	58.16(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	10	-8	-77	2.56	57%	-0.05	-17.4	1.08%	0	-1.4	31	INF
15	Jun_3_2015	58.65	59.15	58.97	58.56	58.5	58.5	58.77(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-0	0	-63	2.38	57%	-0.07	-9.7	1.08%	0	-0.6	42	INF

16	Jun_2_2015	58.69	59.14	59.1	58.68	58.61	58.35	58.39(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-30	-14	-54	2.3	57%	-0.07	-7	1.08%	0	-1.1	48	INF
17	Jun_1_2015	58.73	59.19	59.24	58.74	58.83	58.49	58.32(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-40	-30	-54	2.23	57%	-0.1	0	1.09%	0	-1.3	44	INF
18	May_29_2015	58.79	59.25	59.37	58.99	59	58.88	58.27(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10	-27	-37	3.75	57%	-0.1	17	1.1%	0	-1.6	47	INF
19	May_28_2015	58.85	59.24	59.58	59.25	59.23	59.17	59.04(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-10	-7	4	1.52	60%	-0.07	23.6	1.09%	0	-0.3	60	INF
20	May_27_2015	58.89	59.21	59.65	59.44	59.37	59.12	59.38(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-30	-18	21	2.24	60%	-0.05	33	1.1%	0	0.3	58	INF

21	May_26_2015	58.92	59.21	59.61	59.59	59.58	59.29	58.7(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-14	-30	-28	28	2.84	58%	-0.2	37.4	1.09%	0	-0.7	53	INF
22	May_22_2015	59.04	59.19	59.7	59.81	59.8	59.63	59.54(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-20	-12	49	1.91	61%	0	41	1.06%	0	0.5	52	INF
23	May_21_2015	59.04	59.14	59.65	59.8	59.83	59.88	59.6(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	10	-11	48	1.6	61%	-0.1	36.8	1.06%	0	0.7	52	INF
24	May_20_2015	59.1	59.09	59.5	59.95	59.9	59.98	59.97(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	10	10	65	1.43	61%	-0.1	36.1	1.07%	0	1.2	63	INF
25	May_19_2015	59.16	58.99	59.34	59.9	59.92	59.79	60.12(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10	11	63	1.56	61%		29.1	1.09%	0	1.6	61	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.