Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $56.4900 (0.84%) ($56.1000 - $56.7900) on Fri. May. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $56.4900(0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(77%)    IWM(72%)    PEJ(72%)    SPY(69%)    XLI(69%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $53.84(-4.69%)
5 Day Moving Average   $55.95(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.11(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.23(0.46%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $17.31b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2014	55.94	56.23	56.11	55.95	55.93	56.09	56.49(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	20	24	11	3.27	47%	0.07	-85	1.17%	0	0.3	68	0
2	May_1_2014	55.9	56.36	56.14	55.76	55.74	56.09	56.02(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	0	-1	1	3.23	47%	0.07	-58	1.18%	0	-0.3	54	0
3	Apr_30_2014	55.86	56.51	56.19	55.8	55.73	55.77	55.9(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	0	-4	-4	2.8	46%	0.05	-40.7	1.21%	0	-0.5	37	0
4	Apr_29_2014	55.83	56.66	56.16	55.88	55.89	55.71	55.74(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-20	-6	-8	3.2	43%	0.04	-30.3	1.22%	0	-0.7	45	0
5	Apr_28_2014	55.81	56.78	56.12	56.06	55.97	55.69	55.59(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-40	-28	-19	4.14	49%	0.05	-25.1	1.26%	0	-0.9	42	0

6	Apr_25_2014	55.78	56.88	56.1	56.3	56.23	56.07	55.53(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-20	-20	-28	3.41	49%	0.07	-21.8	1.34%	0	-1.1	32	0
7	Apr_24_2014	55.74	56.96	56.13	56.57	56.51	56.24	56.25(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-40	-9	-39	3.52	52%	0.07	-22.5	1.34%	0	-0.6	30	0
8	Apr_23_2014	55.7	56.99	56.21	56.62	56.59	56.4	56.28(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-30	-10	-50	3.57	49%	0.09	-25.5	1.38%	0	-0.6	32	0
9	Apr_22_2014	55.65	57.05	56.21	56.46	56.61	56.77	56.67(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	30	13	-65	3.78	49%	0.07	-28.5	1.41%	0	-0.3	34	0
10	Apr_21_2014	55.61	57.11	56.22	56.19	56.28	56.78	56.77(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	70	28	-82	2.99	49%	0.05	-34	1.41%	0	-0.3	42	0

11	Apr_17_2014	55.58	57.16	56.35	55.86	55.92	56.45	56.86(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	70	37	-88	3.53	48%	0.07	-38.8	1.41%	0	-0.2	47	0
12	Apr_16_2014	55.54	57.25	56.57	55.63	55.54	55.79	56.52(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	30	9	-93	2.2	48%	0.07	-39.4	1.43%	0	-0.6	48	0
13	Apr_15_2014	55.5	57.31	56.81	55.77	55.61	55.39	55.5(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-40	-9	-81	3.19	45%	0.04	-40.5	1.42%	0	-1.5	46	0
14	Apr_14_2014	55.48	57.4	57.17	55.96	55.98	55.28	55.28(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-90	-32	-73	3.74	48%	0.05	-44.6	1.42%	0	-1.8	41	0
15	Apr_11_2014	55.45	57.53	57.47	56.25	56.21	55.83	55.15(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-50	-55	-68	2.83	45%	0.05	-48.9	1.48%	0	-2.2	38	0

16	Apr_10_2014	55.42	57.65	57.74	56.89	56.79	56.67	55.71(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-30	-20	-28	-34	2.92	45%	0.07	-47.5	1.49%	0	-2.1	41	0
17	Apr_9_2014	55.38	57.74	57.91	57.64	57.43	56.6	57.22(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-110	-33	-17	2.69	47%	0.11	-36.1	1.45%	0	-0.6	41	0
18	Apr_8_2014	55.32	57.81	57.88	58.03	58.04	56.92	56.45(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-62	-130	-74	-24	4.98	47%	0.09	-22.1	1.44%	0	-1.6	45	0
19	Apr_7_2014	55.27	57.92	58	58.56	58.72	58.27	56.7(-2.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-30	-50	-44	11	4.31	47%	0.07	-2.7	1.44%	0	-1.4	50	0
20	Apr_4_2014	55.23	58.05	58.13	58.86	59.02	59.15	58.39(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	20	8	47	3.56	51%	0.13	20	1.39%	0	0.4	55	0

21	Apr_3_2014	55.16	58.09	58.06	58.68	58.8	59.17	59.45(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	50	32	54	2.66	53%	0.16	24	1.39%	0	1.6	64	0
22	Apr_2_2014	55.07	58.04	57.97	58.21	58.32	58.89	59.18(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	70	41	48	2.55	53%	0.16	21.7	1.39%	0	1.4	62	0
23	Apr_1_2014	54.98	57.99	57.8	57.71	57.75	58.43	59.08(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	35	80	40	21	2.89	53%	0.13	14.5	1.39%	0	1.4	51	0
24	Mar_31_2014	54.91	57.94	57.6	57.38	57.38	57.76	58.19(1.18%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	19	50	28	-7	2.32	53%	0.11	10.1	1.39%	0	0.3	46	0
25	Mar_28_2014	54.85	57.89	57.55	57.31	57.29	57.07	57.51(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-30	-2	-34	1.79	53%		4.6	1.39%	0	-0.5	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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