Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $53.2700 (0.43%) ($52.8000 - $53.4000) on Wed. Nov. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $53.2700(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(72%)    PEJ(72%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(67%)    EWG(62%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    IGOV(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.83(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.37(1.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.14(2.17%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $16.323b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.41%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.28%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.96%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.58%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.98%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_27_2013	50.83	52.14	52.37	52.83	52.9	53.17	53.27(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	40	23	64	1.86	54%	0.06	44.4	1.31%	0	1.9	59	0
2	Nov_26_2013	50.8	52.09	52.14	52.47	52.57	53.05	53.04(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	31	70	30	35	2.82	54%	0.06	39.8	1.41%	0	1.7	51	0
3	Nov_25_2013	50.77	52.06	51.92	52.2	52.21	52.63	53.22(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	27	60	31	16	2.65	54%	0.06	35.3	1.41%	0	2.2	58	0
4	Nov_22_2013	50.74	51.98	51.8	51.95	51.94	52.1	52.4(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	20	12	-5	1.91	53%	0.04	4.2	1.41%	0	0.8	49	0
5	Nov_21_2013	50.72	51.91	51.77	51.94	51.91	51.8	52.21(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-20	2	-8	2.48	51%	0.08	-21.9	1.41%	0	0.6	51	0

6	Nov_20_2013	50.68	51.91	51.74	51.85	51.97	51.78	51.5(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-20	-3	-14	1.52	53%	0.06	-46.9	1.41%	0	-0.7	48	0
7	Nov_19_2013	50.65	51.91	51.85	51.73	51.87	52.02	51.69(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	30	5	-14	2.34	50%	0.06	-67.3	1.42%	0	-0.4	44	0
8	Nov_18_2013	50.62	51.87	51.88	51.58	51.59	52.16	51.93(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	80	18	-21	2.46	50%	0.1	-61	1.45%	0	0.1	45	0
9	Nov_15_2013	50.57	51.95	51.92	51.61	51.38	51.73	52.39(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	16	30	25	-12	3.03	48%	0.1	-44.6	1.44%	0	0.6	55	0
10	Nov_14_2013	50.52	52.02	51.87	51.59	51.41	51.02	51.72(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-60	-6	-18	2.61	48%	0.08	-30.7	1.45%	0	-0.4	57	0

11	Nov_13_2013	50.48	52.11	51.89	51.65	51.59	51.03	50.92(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-41	-80	-45	-28	6.35	47%	0.1	-15.3	1.44%	0	-1.4	48	0
12	Nov_12_2013	50.43	52.21	52.05	52	52.03	51.79	50.92(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-17	-30	-24	4	6.58	47%	0.12	16.8	1.44%	0	-1.6	50	0
13	Nov_11_2013	50.37	52.27	52.22	52.2	52.3	52.16	52.12(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10	-4	27	2.73	49%	0.12	43.5	1.41%	0	-0.2	53	0
14	Nov_8_2013	50.31	52.3	52.19	52.26	52.22	52.27	52.26(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	0	-7	14	3.56	48%	0.1	65.3	1.42%	0	-0.1	39	0
15	Nov_7_2013	50.26	52.28	52.07	52.2	52.35	52.43	52.04(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	10	20	13	-1	3.67	48%	0.1	67.7	1.42%	0	-0.3	37	0

16	Nov_6_2013	50.21	52.24	52.02	52.17	52.23	52.17	52.64(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-0	-1	-25	3.17	48%	0.08	54.6	1.42%	0	0.4	41	0
17	Nov_5_2013	50.17	52.07	51.88	52.14	52.16	52.27	51.92(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	20	-8	-41	2.42	48%	0.1	39.4	1.41%	0	-0.1	45	0
18	Nov_4_2013	50.12	51.93	51.87	52.26	52.35	52.3	52.42(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	-0	14	-28	2.17	48%	0.1	31.7	1.41%	0	0.4	54	0
19	Nov_1_2013	50.07	51.8	51.98	52.12	52.26	52.06	52(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-20	-3	-36	2.26	51%	0.08	25.9	1.4%	0	0.1	46	0
20	Oct_31_2013	50.03	51.74	52.15	51.92	52.1	52.4	51.88(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	50	4	-26	2.72	51%	0.08	19	1.45%	0	0.1	52	0

21	Oct_30_2013	49.99	51.66	52.33	51.83	51.89	52.47	52.46(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	26	80	35	-0	2.97	51%	0.1	13.8	1.46%	0	0.6	58	0
22	Oct_29_2013	49.94	51.57	52.36	51.59	51.61	51.8	52.54(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	30	24	12	4.46	51%	0.06	8.8	1.46%	0	0.7	68	0
23	Oct_28_2013	49.91	51.5	52.29	51.45	51.42	51.31	51.7(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-12	-20	-20	11	3.19	49%	0.06	7.3	1.45%	0	0.1	66	0
24	Oct_25_2013	49.88	51.45	52.41	51.85	51.7	51.42	51(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-50	-33	47	4.25	47%	0.06	14.2	1.46%	0	-0.3	58	0
25	Oct_24_2013	49.85	51.47	52.51	52.44	52.37	51.54	51.44(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-110	-39	82	3.5	47%		23.5	1.45%	0	-0	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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