Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $49.1400 (0.99%) ($48.4700 - $49.3800) on Mon. Jun. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $49.1400(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(72%)    PEJ(72%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(67%)    EWG(62%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.47(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.16(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.78(2.85%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $15.057b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.4%(54%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.52%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -1.47%(38%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 2.33%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.99%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2013	43.15	47.78	48.16	48.47	48.47	48.94	49.14(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	70	26	33	4.6	71%	0.26	72	1.32%	0	1.5	56	NAN
2	Jun_7_2013	43.04	47.61	48.01	48.3	48.3	48.49	48.66(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	30	32	27	6.22	71%	0.23	62.4	1.32%	0	1.1	57	NAN
3	Jun_6_2013	42.94	47.46	47.9	48.05	48.06	47.99	48.67(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10	0	11	4.22	72%	0.23	54.5	1.33%	0	1.2	65	NAN
4	Jun_5_2013	42.84	47.33	47.82	47.95	48.06	48.11	47.56(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	20	0	12	4.16	72%	0.19	62.6	1.31%	0	0.2	53	NAN
5	Jun_4_2013	42.76	47.25	47.94	47.93	47.98	48.12	48.31(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	20	19	39	4.15	75%	0.21	70.5	1.31%	0	1	62	NAN

6	Jun_3_2013	42.67	47.15	47.92	47.81	47.76	47.85	48.32(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	10	4	52	4.07	75%	0.19	78.9	1.32%	0	1.1	69	NAN
7	May_31_2013	42.59	47.03	47.86	47.68	47.78	47.84	47.41(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	20	7	66	4.02	74%	0.16	86.2	1.32%	0	0.4	63	NAN
8	May_30_2013	42.52	46.91	47.78	47.72	47.71	47.67	48.14(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10	2	77	2.55	77%	0.21	85	1.31%	0	1.1	68	NAN
9	May_29_2013	42.43	46.71	47.7	47.68	47.6	47.71	47.49(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	10	-17	80	4.13	77%	0.19	74	1.31%	0	0.6	60	NAN
10	May_28_2013	42.35	46.53	47.62	47.95	47.9	47.75	47.67(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-30	3	110	4.1	77%	0.24	70.7	1.32%	0	0.8	62	NAN

11	May_24_2013	42.25	46.35	47.39	47.95	48.07	47.49	47.68(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-80	-24	97	2.42	74%	0.21	69.1	1.34%	0	0.9	59	NAN
12	May_23_2013	42.16	46.17	47.2	48.06	48.23	48.05	47.64(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-20	-13	100	4.73	74%	0.19	71.3	1.35%	0	1	61	NAN
13	May_22_2013	42.08	46	47	47.83	48.13	48.64	47.91(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	90	22	109	6.61	75%	0.14	73.2	1.36%	0	1.3	68	NAN
14	May_21_2013	42.02	45.81	46.81	47.7	47.69	48.42	48.86(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	76	110	55	140	4.99	75%	0.26	78.5	1.33%	0	2.1	78	NAN
15	May_20_2013	41.91	45.57	46.5	47.24	47.25	47.62	48.19(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	76	60	56	136	4.59	72%	0.24	81.6	1.35%	0	2	77	NAN

16	May_17_2013	41.81	45.34	46.3	46.64	46.7	46.96	47.7(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	48	40	26	114	3.25	72%	0.24	79.1	1.36%	0	1.9	73	NAN
17	May_16_2013	41.71	45.12	46.11	46.22	46.24	46.88	46.48(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	100	29	114	3.89	71%	0.22	71.3	1.34%	0	1.1	70	NAN
18	May_15_2013	41.62	44.92	45.96	46.03	45.93	46.44	47.25(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	64	70	46	119	4.05	73%	0.14	63.3	1.33%	0	1.8	72	NAN
19	May_14_2013	41.56	44.69	45.62	45.8	45.93	45.6	46.58(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-20	11	92	4.52	72%	0.19	60.8	1.33%	0	1.5	70	NAN
20	May_13_2013	41.48	44.5	45.34	45.67	45.64	45.43	45.21(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-30	-22	72	2.96	70%	0.17	57.7	1.28%	0	0.6	60	NAN

21	May_10_2013	41.41	44.36	45.23	45.89	45.85	45.67	45.59(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-30	-13	95	2.69	70%	0.17	57.8	1.27%	0	1	70	NAN
22	May_9_2013	41.34	44.25	45.08	45.96	45.98	45.86	45.54(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-20	-2	111	4.16	70%	0.15	61.5	1.28%	0	1.1	71	NAN
23	May_8_2013	41.28	44.12	44.95	45.84	45.95	46.03	46.06(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	20	22	133	3.09	70%	0.15	58.9	1.28%	0	1.6	81	NAN
24	May_7_2013	41.22	43.96	44.75	45.4	45.56	46.1	45.97(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	90	37	130	3.38	70%	0.15	50.6	1.29%	0	1.8	81	NAN
25	May_6_2013	41.16	43.81	44.58	44.95	45	45.87	46.31(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	79	140	62	130	4.28	70%		37.7	1.28%	0	2.5	76	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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