Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 20, 2013

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $48.1900 (1.03%) ($47.7000 - $48.9000) on Mon. May. 20, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $48.1900(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(72%)    PEJ(72%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(66%)    EWG(62%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.24(2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.5(3.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.57(5.75%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27.5%
Market Cap   $14.766b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 2.94% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 37 Average positive next day return: 1.64%(51%) Average negative next day return: -1.18%(49%) Sample size 37 Average positive next three day return: 3.11%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.33%(57%) Sample size 37 Average positive next weekly return: 2.26%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.09%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2013	41.91	45.57	46.5	47.24	47.25	47.62	48.19(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	76	60	56	136	4.59	72%	0.24	81.6	1.35%	0	2	77	NAN
2	May_17_2013	41.81	45.34	46.3	46.64	46.7	46.96	47.7(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	48	40	26	114	3.25	72%	0.24	79.1	1.36%	0	1.9	73	NAN
3	May_16_2013	41.71	45.12	46.11	46.22	46.24	46.88	46.48(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	100	29	114	3.89	71%	0.22	71.3	1.34%	0	1.1	70	NAN
4	May_15_2013	41.62	44.92	45.96	46.03	45.93	46.44	47.25(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	64	70	46	119	4.05	73%	0.14	63.3	1.33%	0	1.8	72	NAN
5	May_14_2013	41.56	44.69	45.62	45.8	45.93	45.6	46.58(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-20	11	92	4.52	72%	0.19	60.8	1.33%	0	1.5	70	NAN

6	May_13_2013	41.48	44.5	45.34	45.67	45.64	45.43	45.21(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-30	-22	72	2.96	70%	0.17	57.7	1.28%	0	0.6	60	NAN
7	May_10_2013	41.41	44.36	45.23	45.89	45.85	45.67	45.59(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-30	-13	95	2.69	70%	0.17	57.8	1.27%	0	1	70	NAN
8	May_9_2013	41.34	44.25	45.08	45.96	45.98	45.86	45.54(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-20	-2	111	4.16	70%	0.15	61.5	1.28%	0	1.1	71	NAN
9	May_8_2013	41.28	44.12	44.95	45.84	45.95	46.03	46.06(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	20	22	133	3.09	70%	0.15	58.9	1.28%	0	1.6	81	NAN
10	May_7_2013	41.22	43.96	44.75	45.4	45.56	46.1	45.97(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	90	37	130	3.38	70%	0.15	50.6	1.29%	0	1.8	81	NAN

11	May_6_2013	41.16	43.81	44.58	44.95	45	45.87	46.31(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	79	140	62	130	4.28	70%	0.17	37.7	1.28%	0	2.5	76	NAN
12	May_3_2013	41.09	43.67	44.3	44.48	44.45	45.03	45.93(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	73	90	59	116	5.46	72%	0.15	28.4	1.28%	0	2.7	79	NAN
13	May_2_2013	41.03	43.52	44.03	44.08	44.04	44.12	44.92(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	10	16	78	4.19	70%	0.1	6.7	1.27%	0	2.2	61	NAN
14	May_1_2013	40.99	43.42	43.79	43.95	43.96	43.87	43.85(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10	-9	59	3.77	68%	0.1	-12.2	1.24%	0	0.8	58	NAN
15	Apr_30_2013	40.95	43.4	43.67	44.01	44.07	43.96	43.74(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10	-10	59	4.85	68%	0.07	-20	1.24%	0	0.5	57	NAN

16	Apr_29_2013	40.92	43.44	43.6	44.13	44.14	44.06	43.98(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10	-6	67	2.8	68%	0.07	-15.9	1.24%	0	0.9	55	NAN
17	Apr_26_2013	40.89	43.43	43.44	44.06	44.29	44.19	43.92(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-0	7	53	3.62	64%	0.07	-25.9	1.28%	0	0.8	51	NAN
18	Apr_25_2013	40.86	43.47	43.37	43.94	44.11	44.22	44.28(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	30	13	52	6.61	64%	0.1	-26.1	1.28%	0	1.2	59	NAN
19	Apr_24_2013	40.82	43.49	43.23	43.6	43.81	44.39	44.15(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	110	37	38	5.13	64%	0.07	-37.1	1.28%	0	0.9	56	NAN
20	Apr_23_2013	40.79	43.52	43.1	43.27	43.41	43.99	44.33(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	100	52	20	9.15	64%	0.07	-41.5	1.28%	0	1	56	NAN

21	Apr_22_2013	40.76	43.54	43.1	43	42.89	43.22	43.61(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	17	50	29	-19	5.6	62%	0.05	-46.2	1.27%	0	0.1	40	NAN
22	Apr_19_2013	40.74	43.6	42.98	42.73	42.75	42.83	43.34(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	10	13	-46	4.77	62%	0.05	-48.1	1.27%	0	-0.3	45	NAN
23	Apr_18_2013	40.72	43.66	42.95	42.72	42.66	42.56	42.55(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-20	-10	-74	4.37	58%	0.05	-39.8	1.27%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
24	Apr_17_2013	40.7	43.78	43.02	42.81	42.77	42.67	42.5(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-20	-8	-85	4.82	58%	0.05	-28.8	1.29%	0	-1.4	33	NAN
25	Apr_16_2013	40.68	43.87	43.11	42.9	42.84	42.76	43.01(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-20	-9	-97	5.15	58%		-16.7	1.28%	0	-1	35	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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