Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $35.2700 (-1.2%) ($34.7600 - $35.6700) on Thu. Aug. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $35.2700(-1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(72%)    PEJ(71%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(65%)    EWG(61%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.96(-1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.35(-0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.16(0.31%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $10.807b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2012	33.48		35.35	35.96	35.88	35.49	35.27(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-80	-20	35	3.59	55%	0.09	51.1	1.76%	0	0.2	54	NAN
2	Aug_1_2012	33.45	35.16	35.32	36.02	36.11	35.98	35.7(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	-20	5	52	0.1	56%	0.12	63.8	1.75%	0	0.8	61	NAN
3	Jul_31_2012	33.41	35.15	35.26	35.71	35.94	36.26	35.96(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	80	20	46	4.93	56%	0.15	65.9	1.77%	0	1.2	62	NAN
4	Jul_30_2012	33.36	35.09	35.22	35.37	35.46	36.23	36.48(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	42	160	39	49	4.32	56%	0.18	63.8	1.76%	0	2.2	70	NAN
5	Jul_27_2012	33.3	34.99	35.07	34.97	34.94	35.62	36.41(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	40	130	43	30	4.8	56%	0.18	61.7	1.76%	0	2.6	60	NAN

6	Jul_26_2012	33.24	34.84	34.91	34.67	34.52	34.69	35.53(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	14	20	18	1	4.35	54%	0.18	44.9	1.74%	0	1.3	51	NAN
7	Jul_25_2012	33.18	34.75	34.81	34.55	34.42	34.27	34.18(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-40	-13	-26	2.52	52%	0.12	33.5	1.67%	0	-1	37	NAN
8	Jul_24_2012	33.14	34.72	34.87	34.75	34.63	34.34	34.24(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-70	-21	-25	4.98	52%	0.12	39.8	1.7%	0	-0.8	37	NAN
9	Jul_23_2012	33.1	34.7	34.88	35.04	34.91	34.57	34.5(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-80	-19	-14	3.98	52%	0.12	56.3	1.69%	0	-0.3	47	NAN
10	Jul_20_2012	33.06	34.66	34.94	35.17	35.19	34.91	34.91(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-50	-12	-0	4	52%	0.12	62.9	1.69%	0	0.4	55	NAN

11	Jul_19_2012	33.02	34.59	34.97	35.18	35.26	35.25	34.93(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	0	-2	22	4.82	52%	0.15	66.4	1.69%	0	0.5	66	NAN
12	Jul_18_2012	32.97	34.55	35.01	35.1	35.19	35.46	35.17(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	60	13	40	4.06	52%	0.15	76.5	1.69%	0	0.8	65	NAN
13	Jul_17_2012	32.92	34.47	35.03	35	34.93	35.28	35.69(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	60	25	58	3.36	52%	0.18	76.8	1.68%	0	1.6	71	NAN
14	Jul_16_2012	32.86	34.33	34.95	34.71	34.67	34.93	35.15(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	50	13	50	3.35	52%	0.15	67.4	1.67%	0	1.1	67	NAN
15	Jul_13_2012	32.81	34.23	34.89	34.68	34.6	34.59	34.96(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10	1	54	2.62	52%	0.15	66.2	1.68%	0	0.9	65	NAN

16	Jul_12_2012	32.76	34.1	34.75	34.75	34.67	34.42	34.54(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-60	-15	52	4.68	54%	0.15	64.7	1.68%	0	0.5	64	NAN
17	Jul_11_2012	32.71	33.99	34.67	34.91	34.87	34.61	34.65(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-60	-19	57	4.9	56%	0.15	66.7	1.69%	0	0.7	55	NAN
18	Jul_10_2012	32.66	33.9	34.57	35.07	35.1	34.93	34.24(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-30	-12	70	4.45	54%	0.06	80.4	1.7%	0	0.4	58	NAN
19	Jul_9_2012	32.64	33.82	34.52	35.2	35.22	35.13	35.01(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-20	0	93	3.17	57%	0.15	89.3	1.68%	0	1.2	72	NAN
20	Jul_6_2012	32.59	33.7	34.38	35.12	35.13	35.27	35.31(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	30	16	102	2.95	57%	0.18	99.7	1.69%	0	1.6	72	NAN

21	Jul_5_2012	32.53	33.55	34.19	34.73	34.95	35.3	35.36(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	90	30	96	3.75	57%	0.34	87.8	1.7%	0	1.9	76	NAN
22	Jul_3_2012	32.42	33.36	34.05	34.39	34.41	34.99	35.45(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	49	120	32	99	3.07	55%	0.22	65.1	1.7%	0	2	78	NAN
23	Jul_2_2012	32.35	33.14	33.85	34	34.02	34.59	34.89(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	120	37	86	3.52	55%	0.22	45	1.69%	0	1.7	65	NAN
24	Jun_29_2012	32.28	32.94	33.65	33.74	33.72	33.82	34.58(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	20	22	71	5.3	55%	0.16	29.4	1.68%	0	1.6	67	NAN
25	Jun_28_2012	32.23	32.74	33.48	33.55	33.47	33.46	33.36(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10	-8	52	3.67	49%		17.6	1.62%	0	0.6	55	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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