Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $23.7200 (-4.78%) ($23.7000 - $24.5400) on Wed. Nov. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.97% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $23.7200(-4.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    PEJ(71%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(65%)    EWG(60%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -1.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.485% (StdDev 2.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

Resistance Level   $23.97
5 Day Moving Average   $24.34(-2.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.37(-2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.97(-1.04%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $7.268b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 2.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.15%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.3%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.06%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2011	24.6	23.97		24.34	24.42	24.36	23.72(-4.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10	-2	21	7	46%	-0.12	33.4	2.97%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
2	Nov_15_2011	24.63	23.9	24.37	24.33	24.35	24.55	24.91(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	60	5	27	8.68	49%	0	14.4	2.91%	0	1.2	61	NAN
3	Nov_14_2011	24.63	23.81	24.17	24.26	24.16	24.48	24.56(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	80	4	23	5.77	49%	0	1.7	2.92%	0	0.9	62	NAN
4	Nov_11_2011	24.63	23.72	24.07	24.29	24.18	24.16	24.77(4.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-20	7	19	5.33	52%	0.04	-6.2	2.92%	0	1.3	52	NAN
5	Nov_10_2011	24.62	23.68	24.03	24.23	24.19	23.83	23.74(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-110	-12	19	4.55	49%	0	-4.3	3.01%	0	0.1	55	NAN

6	Nov_9_2011	24.62	23.71	24.11	24.41	24.32	24.19	23.65(-3.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-50	-6	45	6.55	53%	-0.04	2.8	3.04%	0	-0.1	58	NAN
7	Nov_8_2011	24.63	23.71	24.08	24.39	24.39	24.55	24.56(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	50	13	60	4.84	50%	0.04	14.6	3.2%	0	0.9	65	NAN
8	Nov_7_2011	24.62	23.79	23.92	24.05	24.12	24.44	24.72(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	100	12	42	4.33	50%	0.08	14.4	3.41%	0	1	58	NAN
9	Nov_4_2011	24.6	23.78	23.88	23.82	23.71	24.23	24.5(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	140	8	42	4.79	47%	0.04	19.1	3.42%	0	0.8	59	NAN
10	Nov_3_2011	24.59	23.72	23.75	23.81	23.6	23.79	24.61(4.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	30	9	36	8.11	47%	0.08	21.8	3.5%	0	1	52	NAN

11	Nov_2_2011	24.57	23.68	23.54	23.79	23.66	23.19	23.57(3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-160	-4	19	6.3	44%	0	24	3.46%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
12	Nov_1_2011	24.57	23.66	23.4	23.74	23.95	23.41	22.84(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-130	-12	-8	7.39	44%	0	17.1	3.46%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
13	Oct_31_2011	24.57	23.67	23.43	23.75	24.04	24.14	23.56(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	70	-8	-19	4.81	44%	0.04	7.4	3.44%	0	-0.1	44	NAN
14	Oct_28_2011	24.56	23.61	23.37	23.93	23.93	24.48	24.47(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	160	15	-14	4.73	45%	0.08	-5.7	3.41%	0	0.9	50	NAN
15	Oct_27_2011	24.54	23.53	23.31	23.67	23.82	23.94	24.52(5.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	50	22	-18	10.82	44%	0.08	-26.2	3.41%	0	1.1	56	NAN

16	Oct_26_2011	24.52	23.48	23.26	23.26	23.41	23.38	23.3(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	10	4	-42	11.88	42%	0	-48	3.36%	0	-0.2	48	NAN
17	Oct_25_2011	24.52	23.51	23.45	23.02	23.17	23.7	22.92(-6.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	180	5	-36	13.03	42%	0.04	-60.5	3.35%	0	-0.6	52	NAN
18	Oct_24_2011	24.51	23.6	23.64	23.04	22.95	23.43	24.45(5.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	14	130	23	-15	6.19	44%	0.04	-60.8	3.27%	0	0.8	59	NAN
19	Oct_21_2011	24.5	23.66	23.63	22.73	22.69	22.63	23.15(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-20	-4	-24	6.54	41%	0	-68	3.2%	0	-0.5	58	NAN
20	Oct_20_2011	24.5	23.77	23.67	22.92	22.8	22.46	22.47(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-120	-19	-19	8.66	41%	-0.04	-65.8	3.18%	0	-1.2	50	NAN

21	Oct_19_2011	24.51	23.91	23.83	23.28	23.3	22.75	22.09(-4.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-160	-28	-4	8.41	41%	-0.08	-61.8	3.17%	0	-1.6	44	NAN
22	Oct_18_2011	24.53	24.07	23.95	23.94	23.79	23.15	23.05(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-15	-210	-27	21	10.62	43%	-0.04	-45.9	3.13%	0	-0.9	46	NAN
23	Oct_17_2011	24.54	24.25	23.96	24.32	24.41	23.85	22.87(-5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-150	-21	27	9.19	43%	-0.04	-30.2	3.14%	0	-1.1	40	NAN
24	Oct_14_2011	24.55	24.42	23.92	24.65	24.72	24.44	24.13(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-70	-5	21	7.1	44%	0	-18.6	3.07%	0	-0.2	39	NAN
25	Oct_13_2011	24.55	24.53	23.81	24.51	24.71	24.98	24.24(-4.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	100	3	0	6.87	44%		-12.5	3.09%	0	-0.2	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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