Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 30, 2011

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $26.7500 (0.53%) ($26.5900 - $26.9500) on Thu. Jun. 30, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $26.7500(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(72%)    PEJ(72%)    SPY(69%)    EWG(61%)    XLY(61%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.9(3.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.85(7.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.88(12.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.3%
Market Cap   $8.197b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 5.44% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.04%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.63%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 4.05%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -7.56%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.19%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.14%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2011	23.47	23.88	24.85	25.9	25.97	26.6	26.75(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	106	180	54	262	6.19	55%	0.26	50.2	1.65%	0	2.2	85	0
2	Jun_29_2011	23.41	23.7	24.49	25.33	25.4	26.07	26.61(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	104	190	63	227	9.15	55%	0.21	43.3	1.66%	0	2.6	79	0
3	Jun_28_2011	23.36	23.53	24.12	24.72	24.75	25.34	26.14(3.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	81	170	48	178	8.65	54%	0.21	34.1	1.65%	0	2.9	79	0
4	Jun_27_2011	23.31	23.4	23.8	24.3	24.3	24.72	25.21(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	66	120	38	151	8.49	50%	0.21	23.4	1.6%	0	2.5	73	0
5	Jun_24_2011	23.26	23.31	23.54	23.99	24.06	24.16	24.79(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	56	40	32	127	14.15	50%	0.17	4.4	1.59%	0	2.6	73	0

6	Jun_23_2011	23.22	23.25	23.31	23.65	23.8	23.87	23.89(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	40	7	81	12.53	52%	0.13	-31.6	1.53%	0	1.3	56	0
7	Jun_22_2011	23.19	23.23	23.2	23.52	23.65	23.97	23.59(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	110	17	61	7.88	50%	0.13	-56.9	1.66%	0	0.8	51	0
8	Jun_21_2011	23.16	23.22	23.11	23.39	23.47	23.73	24.04(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	90	25	43	6.95	55%	0.17	-80.7	1.66%	0	1.7	55	0
9	Jun_20_2011	23.12	23.23	22.97	23.22	23.23	23.33	23.62(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	30	15	9	5.02	53%	0.13	-89.5	1.68%	0	0.8	45	0
10	Jun_17_2011	23.09	23.28	22.97	23.03	23.16	23.21	23.09(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	30	11	-28	6.57	55%	0.09	-78.2	1.67%	0	-0.3	40	0

11	Jun_16_2011	23.07	23.4	22.85	22.92	23	23.14	23.27(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	50	8	-48	7.94	52%	0.13	-57	1.69%	0	-0.2	41	0
12	Jun_15_2011	23.04	23.5	22.86	22.83	22.86	23.1	22.95(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	80	11	-57	8.8	52%	0.09	-48.6	1.71%	0	-0.6	41	0
13	Jun_14_2011	23.02	23.61	22.9	22.77	22.79	22.86	23.18(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	20	13	-64	8.89	52%	0.13	-44.5	1.71%	0	-0.4	44	0
14	Jun_13_2011	22.99	23.7	22.95	22.69	22.69	22.62	22.66(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-20	-1	-86	6.02	50%	0.09	-43.4	1.69%	0	-1	26	0
15	Jun_10_2011	22.97	23.78	23.06	22.64	22.71	22.72	22.52(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-34	10	-9	-109	5.79	50%	0.09	-46.6	1.69%	0	-1.3	20	0

16	Jun_9_2011	22.95	23.87	23.19	22.78	22.75	22.76	22.82(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-0	-6	-123	3.8	48%	0.13	-44.4	1.69%	0	-1.1	18	0
17	Jun_8_2011	22.92	23.94	23.26	22.9	22.84	22.71	22.66(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-50	-12	-140	5.06	51%	0.09	-42	1.7%	0	-1.4	22	0
18	Jun_7_2011	22.9	24.04	23.36	23.05	23.01	22.74	22.79(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-90	-21	-151	4.76	51%	0	-41	1.75%	0	-1.5	24	0
19	Jun_6_2011	22.9	24.14	23.52	23.26	23.25	22.97	22.43(-3.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-57	-90	-27	-148	6.1	51%	0.09	-37.2	1.74%	0	-2.1	22	0
20	Jun_3_2011	22.88	24.24	23.77	23.53	23.54	23.29	23.2(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-70	-16	-121	4.4	56%	0.13	-36	1.68%	0	-1.5	41	0

21	Jun_2_2011	22.85	24.29	24	23.65	23.7	23.54	23.41(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-40	-10	-91	5.3	56%	0.18	-37.9	1.69%	0	-1.3	44	0
22	Jun_1_2011	22.81	24.33	24.19	23.68	23.76	23.79	23.43(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	20	-2	-73	8.56	53%	0.18	-42.1	1.69%	0	-1.4	44	0
23	May_31_2011	22.77	24.4	24.37	23.7	23.7	23.87	23.84(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	50	-2	-63	15.63	58%	0.4	-44.2	1.7%	0	-0.9	43	0
24	May_27_2011	22.68	24.44	24.49	23.82	23.72	23.73	23.77(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10	-8	-50	4.51	55%	0.22	-39.5	1.72%	0	-1.2	42	0
25	May_26_2011	22.63	24.5	24.55	24.05	23.9	23.52	23.8(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-130	-31	-42	4.1	55%		-29	1.74%	0	-1.3	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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