Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 3, 2010

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $18.8400 (-0.53%) ($18.5800 - $18.9000) on Fri. Dec. 3, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $18.8400(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    PEJ(71%)    SPY(69%)    EWG(60%)    XLY(60%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.67(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.55(1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.59(1.34%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   23.1%
Market Cap   $5.773b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2010	16.49	18.59	18.55	18.67	18.66	18.84	18.84(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	70	10	27	3.47	56%	0.24	46.4	1.65%	0	0.9	53	0
2	Dec_2_2010	16.45	18.58	18.5	18.58	18.52	18.78	18.94(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	90	15	8	4.05	56%	0.24	62.1	1.66%	0	1.3	46	0
3	Dec_1_2010	16.41	18.54	18.44	18.52	18.41	18.47	18.86(3.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	11	0	16	-6	3.73	61%	0.24	63.6	1.68%	0	1.1	51	0
4	Nov_30_2010	16.37	18.5	18.36	18.39	18.36	18.26	18.28(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-40	-4	-34	3.72	54%	0.18	55.4	1.71%	0	-0.8	48	0
5	Nov_29_2010	16.34	18.49	18.42	18.42	18.33	18.34	18.42(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-10	-3	-31	2.59	54%	0.25	64.8	1.76%	0	-0.2	43	0

6	Nov_26_2010	16.3	18.46	18.43	18.41	18.35	18.45	18.42(-0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	30	5	-32	0.79	59%	0.31	58.9	1.89%	0	-0.1	44	0
7	Nov_24_2010	16.25	18.42	18.49	18.4	18.31	18.32	18.6(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10	5	-28	2.15	59%	0.31	45.1	1.87%	0	0.4	48	0
8	Nov_23_2010	16.2	18.37	18.5	18.35	18.32	18.24	18.21(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-40	-1	-27	3.63	57%	0.12	40.2	1.88%	0	-0.3	53	0
9	Nov_22_2010	16.18	18.34	18.53	18.33	18.33	18.31	18.43(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10	-8	-26	4.18	57%	0.31	40.3	1.87%	0	0.2	57	0
10	Nov_19_2010	16.13	18.3	18.58	18.42	18.34	18.39	18.4(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	10	-3	-2	3.34	57%	0.25	45.9	1.88%	0	0.2	57	0

11	Nov_18_2010	16.09	18.25	18.63	18.46	18.46	18.35	18.38(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	-40	-7	20	3.94	57%	0.31	49.5	1.91%	0	0.2	62	0
12	Nov_17_2010	16.04	18.22	18.67	18.6	18.51	18.3	18.35(1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-90	-13	52	3.63	57%	0.25	54.6	1.91%	0	0.2	64	0
13	Nov_16_2010	16	18.18	18.67	18.68	18.64	18.56	18.1(-4.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-40	-9	72	5.85	57%	0.25	55.7	1.91%	0	-0.1	61	0
14	Nov_15_2010	15.96	18.14	18.66	18.75	18.69	18.56	18.87(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	0	-0	95	5.68	62%	0.25	58.8	1.83%	0	1.2	68	0
15	Nov_12_2010	15.92	18.06	18.58	18.76	18.67	18.72	18.6(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	0	-3	107	4.3	62%	0.32	61	1.82%	0	0.9	68	0

16	Nov_11_2010	15.87	17.99	18.5	18.83	18.72	18.66	19.09(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	-40	5	126	6.82	61%	0.32	68.1	1.79%	0	1.8	78	0
17	Nov_10_2010	15.82	17.91	18.34	18.76	18.73	18.63	18.72(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-40	3	116	2.82	59%	0.32	78.6	1.85%	0	1.4	71	0
18	Nov_9_2010	15.77	17.85	18.22	18.64	18.71	18.78	18.47(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	40	6	107	3.75	59%	0.25	80.5	1.86%	0	1.1	69	0
19	Nov_8_2010	15.73	17.79	18.14	18.55	18.58	18.83	18.94(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	100	19	114	4.6	63%	0.32	78.6	1.83%	0	2.1	84	0
20	Nov_5_2010	15.68	17.68	17.99	18.37	18.39	18.65	18.91(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	47	100	27	105	5.96	63%	0.32	81.3	1.84%	0	2.4	84	0

21	Nov_4_2010	15.63	17.58	17.84	18.12	18.16	18.33	18.74(3.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	40	70	25	85	5.16	63%	0.32	80.5	1.85%	0	2.6	84	0
22	Nov_3_2010	15.58	17.48	17.71	17.86	17.92	18.13	18.14(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	90	14	55	4	59%	0.26	79.7	1.81%	0	1.8	58	0
23	Nov_2_2010	15.54	17.42	17.65	17.74	17.76	17.99	18.04(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	90	15	40	3.96	62%	0.32	80.6	1.82%	0	1.8	56	0
24	Nov_1_2010	15.49	17.36	17.57	17.66	17.62	17.71	18.03(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	30	12	35	4.12	62%	0.26	72	1.86%	0	1.7	66	0
25	Oct_29_2010	15.45	17.28	17.49	17.56	17.53	17.53	17.65(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10	3	26	5.73	60%		65	1.84%	0	1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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