Trading Signals: DE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: DE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Deere & Company)
DE latest price $79.9068 (1.55%) ($78.8220 - $80.4068) on Wed. Apr. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $79.9068(1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DE advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(65%)    XHB(53%)    GDXJ(15%)    XLI(13%)    XAR(11%)
Factors Impacting DE price   DE will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    XLU(-7%)    EMHY(-7%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.51(1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.12(3.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.75(6.9%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $25b

Deere & Co. engages in the manufacturing and distribution of equipment used in agriculture, construction, forestry, and turf care. It operates through the following segments: Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Agriculture and Turf segment focuses on the distribution and manufacturing of full line of agriculture and turf equipment and related service parts. The Construction and Forestry segment offers machines and service parts used in construction, earthmoving, road building, material handling, and timber harvesting. The Financial Services segment finances sales and leases by John Deere dealers of new and used agriculture and turf equipment and construction and forestry equipment. The company was founded by John Deere in 1837 and is headquartered in Moline, IL.

$. DE price fluctuates within 3.93% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(55%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.57%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -3.77%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 3.87%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.18%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160527

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_27_2016	73.4	74.75	77.12	78.51	78.51	79.08	79.91(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	50	33	159	2.88	67%	0.1	31.6	1.72%	0	1.8	78	INF
2	Apr_26_2016	73.33	74.5	76.53	78.42	78.51	78.08	78.69(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-30	7	161	2.1	69%	0.07	31	1.71%	0	1.5	75	INF
3	Apr_25_2016	73.28	74.33	75.9	78.22	78.34	77.94	77.74(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	39	-30	-1	157	2.15	64%	0.05	28.6	1.73%	0	1.3	74	INF
4	Apr_22_2016	73.24	74.17	75.29	77.45	77.95	78.59	78.11(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	60	80	31	147	2.09	65%	0.08	16.4	1.8%	0	1.6	76	INF
5	Apr_21_2016	73.18	73.99	74.67	76.44	76.7	78.74	78.11(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	93	200	77	141	4.04	65%	0.05	0.3	1.82%	0	1.8	72	INF

6	Apr_20_2016	73.14	73.84	74.03	75.47	75.29	77.3	79.48(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	115	180	110	129	6.47	65%	0.08	-13.3	1.81%	0	2.6	75	INF
7	Apr_19_2016	73.08	73.66	73.23	74.38	74.06	74.66	77.69(5.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	68	40	67	71	7.02	64%	0.05	-27.5	1.79%	0	2.1	54	INF
8	Apr_18_2016	73.04	73.61	72.6	73.29	73.34	73.28	73.88(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-0	8	2	2.24	60%	0.01	-42.5	1.68%	0	0.1	37	INF
9	Apr_15_2016	73.03	73.76	72.36	72.81	73.01	73.47	73.05(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	50	11	-25	2.54	60%	0	-46.6	1.69%	0	-0.3	39	INF
10	Apr_14_2016	73.03	73.98	72.27	72.59	72.68	73.4	73.26(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	18	70	36	-35	2.36	60%	-0.03	-45.3	1.69%	0	-0.3	39	INF

11	Apr_13_2016	73.05	74.12	72.19	72.31	72.32	72.55	74.01(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	20	30	-59	3.19	58%	0.05	-51.2	1.69%	0	-0	39	INF
12	Apr_12_2016	73.01	74.19	72.29	71.91	71.96	71.97	72.26(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	0	-1	-90	2.01	56%	0.04	-62	1.68%	0	-0.9	23	INF
13	Apr_11_2016	72.98	74.41	72.62	71.81	71.9	72.08	71.45(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	20	6	-98	1.67	56%	0.01	-70.5	1.67%	0	-1.3	16	INF
14	Apr_8_2016	72.97	74.72	72.97	71.84	71.8	71.94	71.98(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	10	7	-108	2.08	55%	0.04	-75.2	1.67%	0	-1.2	18	INF
15	Apr_7_2016	72.94	74.98	73.28	71.88	71.72	71.73	71.86(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-31	-10	-1	-122	2.44	55%	0.03	-79.4	1.69%	0	-1.4	16	INF

16	Apr_6_2016	72.92	75.28	73.66	72.03	71.74	71.66	72.01(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-51	-20	-24	-131	2.56	55%	0.05	-78.4	1.69%	0	-1.5	31	INF
17	Apr_5_2016	72.88	75.61	74.14	72.74	72.33	71.71	71.76(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-55	-80	-36	-113	2.49	55%	0.04	-66.4	1.7%	0	-1.9	35	INF
18	Apr_4_2016	72.85	76.03	74.71	73.58	73.44	71.82	71.6(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-70	-160	-60	-100	2.93	55%	0.03	-45.3	1.7%	0	-2.1	30	INF
19	Apr_1_2016	72.83	76.43	75.3	74.27	74.31	72.95	72.16(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-89	-130	-87	-96	6.4	55%	0.05	-28.3	1.69%	0	-2.2	28	INF
20	Mar_31_2016	72.79	76.76	75.88	74.86	75.13	75.07	72.62(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-37	10	-31	-56	6.6	55%	0.04	-12.8	1.71%	0	-2.5	33	INF

21	Mar_30_2016	72.76	76.98	76.27	75.47	75.39	75.66	75.58(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	20	9	-33	2.57	59%	0.07	5.6	1.64%	0	-1	39	INF
22	Mar_29_2016	72.71	77.01	76.28	75.76	75.43	75.18	75.94(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-40	-11	-47	2.3	59%	0.08	23.7	1.64%	0	-0.8	37	INF
23	Mar_28_2016	72.65	76.99	76.35	76.06	75.85	75.12	75.06(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-80	-35	-64	3.16	59%	0.04	34.4	1.64%	0	-1.4	26	INF
24	Mar_24_2016	72.62	76.98	76.62	76.52	76.43	75.67	75.12(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-53	-70	-48	-66	3.26	59%	0.04	48.2	1.64%	0	-1.2	32	INF
25	Mar_23_2016	72.59	76.97	76.83	77.05	77.07	76.59	75.68(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-40	-25	-49	1.91	61%		53.4	1.64%	0	-0.8	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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