Trading Signals: DE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: DE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Deere & Company)
DE latest price $77.7595 (2.03%) ($76.0837 - $78.1902) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $77.7595(2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DE advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(65%)    XHB(53%)    GDXJ(15%)    XLI(13%)    XLB(12%)
Factors Impacting DE price   DE will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    XLU(-7%)    EMHY(-6%)    XME(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.75(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.61(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.26(1.97%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $24.328b

Deere & Co. engages in the manufacturing and distribution of equipment used in agriculture, construction, forestry, and turf care. It operates through the following segments: Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Agriculture and Turf segment focuses on the distribution and manufacturing of full line of agriculture and turf equipment and related service parts. The Construction and Forestry segment offers machines and service parts used in construction, earthmoving, road building, material handling, and timber harvesting. The Financial Services segment finances sales and leases by John Deere dealers of new and used agriculture and turf equipment and construction and forestry equipment. The company was founded by John Deere in 1837 and is headquartered in Moline, IL.

$. DE price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.92%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.32%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.61%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.95%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.16%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.33%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	72.45	76.26	77.61	76.75	76.38	76.45	77.76(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10	23	18	3.51	62%	0.07	28.4	1.7%	0	0.7	64	0
2	Mar_16_2016	72.4	76.13	77.66	76.62	76.52	75.66	76.21(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-19	-80	-29	11	2.59	60%	0.08	33.5	1.7%	0	0	60	0
3	Mar_15_2016	72.34	76.12	77.73	76.93	76.85	76.3	75.5(-1.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-35	-50	-53	20	3.15	58%	0.04	44	1.7%	0	-0.3	60	0
4	Mar_14_2016	72.31	76.1	77.82	77.53	77.54	77.38	76.63(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10	-19	66	2.82	59%	0.03	56.9	1.72%	0	0.2	71	0
5	Mar_11_2016	72.29	75.94	77.7	78.25	77.97	77.4	77.66(0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-60	-23	91	2.78	58%	0.06	64.7	1.73%	0	0.8	68	0

6	Mar_10_2016	72.25	75.64	77.41	78.61	78.47	77.7	77.12(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-0	-70	-36	107	2.77	58%	0.1	61.6	1.75%	0	0.6	71	0
7	Mar_9_2016	72.18	75.42	77.18	78.85	78.97	78.53	77.74(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-30	-13	123	2.68	58%	0.1	67.2	1.75%	0	0.9	57	0
8	Mar_8_2016	72.11	75.18	76.82	78.62	78.75	79.23	78.5(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	50	15	123	3.21	58%	0.11	72.2	1.74%	0	1.3	55	0
9	Mar_7_2016	72.03	74.86	76.22	78.1	78.05	79.41	80.21(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	80	120	66	123	3.51	60%	0.14	68.5	1.72%	0	2.2	64	0
10	Mar_4_2016	71.93	74.5	75.51	77.07	77.05	78.26	79.46(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	85	110	79	103	4.25	60%	0.13	69.3	1.72%	0	2.4	67	0

11	Mar_3_2016	71.84	74.18	74.76	76.06	76	76.7	78.33(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	53	60	48	68	2.86	60%	0.11	77.1	1.72%	0	2.4	69	0
12	Mar_2_2016	71.76	73.79	74.39	75.3	75.33	75.84	76.62(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	50	32	55	2.51	58%	0.07	75.7	1.71%	0	1.8	62	0
13	Mar_1_2016	71.71	73.45	74.31	74.76	74.88	75.31	75.88(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	50	39	58	3.42	58%	0.04	66.2	1.7%	0	1.5	58	0
14	Feb_29_2016	71.68	73.25	74.17	74.03	74.14	74.81	75.06(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	70	26	45	4.58	58%	0.01	71	1.69%	0	1.2	59	0
15	Feb_26_2016	71.67	73.09	73.99	73.7	73.59	74.45	74.4(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	80	45	44	2.6	58%	-0.01	74.6	1.69%	0	0.9	53	0

16	Feb_25_2016	71.68	72.88	73.72	73.24	73.15	73.46	74.52(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	30	28	16	1.96	62%	0.03	67	1.7%	0	1	52	0
17	Feb_24_2016	71.66	72.61	73.52	73.37	72.65	72.73	73.96(2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-15	-20	-22	7	2.92	63%	0.01	68.6	1.8%	0	0.8	60	0
18	Feb_23_2016	71.65	72.37	73.43	73.83	73.35	72.84	72.22(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-70	-13	36	2.91	61%	-0.01	73.6	1.8%	0	-0.1	59	0
19	Feb_22_2016	71.66	72.15	73.45	74.33	74.13	72.58	73.4(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-20	-150	-40	41	3.37	61%	0.08	68.2	1.8%	0	0.6	55	0
20	Feb_19_2016	71.6	71.97	73.46	74.3	74.41	73.85	72.09(-4.15%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-28	-50	-52	43	8.96	60%	0.06	70.1	1.78%	0	0.1	51	0

21	Feb_18_2016	71.56	71.81	73.63	74.19	74.54	75.68	75.2(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	120	48	100	5.24	65%	0.1	65.2	1.7%	0	1.4	65	0
22	Feb_17_2016	71.49	71.42	73.18	73.65	73.5	74.97	76.23(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	78	130	69	104	4.99	65%	0.11	53.9	1.69%	0	2	70	0
23	Feb_16_2016	71.41	70.99	72.53	73.02	72.78	73.41	74.72(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	66	50	58	89	3.7	64%	0.11	47.6	1.68%	0	1.7	68	0
24	Feb_12_2016	71.33	70.66	72.23	72.51	72.31	72.03	73.28(2.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	16	-40	-3	73	3.15	59%	0.06	42.6	1.67%	0	1.3	70	0
25	Feb_11_2016	71.29	70.44	72.1	72.53	72.23	72.15	71.53(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-20	-31	75	3.68	57%		42.2	1.67%	0	0.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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