Trading Signals: DE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: DE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Deere & Company)
DE latest price $75.9987 (-0.95%) ($75.2307 - $76.9021) on Thu. Oct. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $75.9987(-0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DE advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DE advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(65%)    XHB(52%)    XLI(18%)    XLB(17%)    GDXJ(15%)
Factors Impacting DE price   DE will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    VIXM(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    EMHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.17(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.45(2.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.47(2.05%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $23.777b

Deere & Co. engages in the manufacturing and distribution of equipment used in agriculture, construction, forestry, and turf care. It operates through the following segments: Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Agriculture and Turf segment focuses on the distribution and manufacturing of full line of agriculture and turf equipment and related service parts. The Construction and Forestry segment offers machines and service parts used in construction, earthmoving, road building, material handling, and timber harvesting. The Financial Services segment finances sales and leases by John Deere dealers of new and used agriculture and turf equipment and construction and forestry equipment. The company was founded by John Deere in 1837 and is headquartered in Moline, IL.

$. DE price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.56%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.97%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.4%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.4%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.68%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2014	77.48	74.47	74.45	75.17	75.34	75.98	76(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	70	46	66	6.18	45%	-0.06	19	1%	0	1.4	54	0
2	Oct_15_2014	77.53	74.43	74.22	74.64	74.71	75.73	76.73(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	80	100	88	54	5.57	45%	-0.05	13.2	1%	0	2.3	59	0
3	Oct_14_2014	77.57	74.33	73.89	73.98	74.1	74.7	76.22(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	76	60	95	17	7.21	45%	-0.03	1.7	0.99%	0	2.1	53	0
4	Oct_13_2014	77.59	74.22	73.65	73.2	73.39	73.68	73.77(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	40	13	-63	4.87	38%	-0.08	-23.1	0.9%	0	-0.6	44	0
5	Oct_10_2014	77.65	74.25	73.7	73.41	73.12	73.49	73.16(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-12	20	5	-63	5.17	36%	-0.09	-16.2	0.9%	0	-1.4	38	0

6	Oct_9_2014	77.72	74.27	73.87	73.63	73.43	73.09	73.32(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-8	-40	8	-54	5.24	35%	-0.09	-13.7	0.91%	0	-1.3	39	0
7	Oct_8_2014	77.79	74.3	73.99	73.73	73.67	72.74	73.46(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-90	-66	-86	8.31	34%	-0.09	-15.8	0.91%	0	-1.1	37	0
8	Oct_7_2014	77.86	74.31	74.15	73.77	73.92	73.78	72.29(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-70	-10	-65	-85	7.18	30%	-0.1	-21.4	0.89%	0	-2.8	34	0
9	Oct_6_2014	77.94	74.4	74.42	74.13	74.17	74.59	74.84(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	23	40	40	-29	2.66	34%	-0.09	-20.5	0.79%	0	0.8	54	0
10	Oct_3_2014	78.01	74.37	74.43	74.04	74.07	74.07	74.23(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	0	19	-34	3.42	35%	-0.09	-32.5	0.79%	0	-0.2	52	0

11	Oct_2_2014	78.08	74.38	74.51	74.16	74.02	73.74	73.82(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-30	-36	-36	4.12	35%	-0.1	-36.4	0.8%	0	-1	56	0
12	Oct_1_2014	78.16	74.42	74.67	74.31	74.29	74.07	73.68(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-20	-33	-10	4.63	35%	-0.13	-34.7	0.8%	0	-1.3	53	0
13	Sep_30_2014	78.26	74.47	74.81	74.6	74.53	74.29	74.07(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-30	-23	23	3.82	35%	-0.13	-21.6	0.8%	0	-0.7	58	0
14	Sep_29_2014	78.36	74.52	74.85	74.73	74.69	74.5	74.39(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-20	-27	36	3.78	35%	-0.11	-24	0.8%	0	-0.2	58	0
15	Sep_26_2014	78.45	74.56	74.84	74.87	74.84	74.77	74.83(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10	-9	50	2.88	35%	-0.13	-21.5	0.8%	0	0.5	54	0

16	Sep_25_2014	78.55	74.58	74.72	74.91	74.89	74.87	74.56(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-0	-14	45	5.52	35%	-0.13	-32.9	0.8%	0	-0	53	0
17	Sep_24_2014	78.65	74.61	74.64	75.09	75.03	74.87	75.14(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10	-2	52	4.11	34%	-0.09	-38.1	0.8%	0	0.8	55	0
18	Sep_23_2014	78.72	74.58	74.49	75.06	75.11	74.91	74.73(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-20	-12	38	4.38	34%	-0.1	-56.6	0.8%	0	0.2	50	0
19	Sep_22_2014	78.8	74.65	74.39	74.99	75.08	75.15	75.11(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	10	3	28	3.9	34%	-0.1	-58.3	0.8%	0	0.6	47	0
20	Sep_19_2014	78.88	74.69	74.31	74.8	74.91	75.31	75.02(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	40	44	25	5.15	34%	-0.1	-61.5	0.8%	0	0.4	43	0

21	Sep_18_2014	78.96	74.79	74.23	74.5	74.49	75.02	75.48(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	50	60	5	3.65	34%	-0.1	-53.1	0.81%	0	0.7	48	0
22	Sep_17_2014	79.04	74.85	74.11	74.12	74.05	74.51	74.96(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	36	40	56	-24	5.25	34%	-0.11	-52.4	0.8%	0	0.1	44	0
23	Sep_16_2014	79.13	74.94	74.06	73.84	73.72	73.96	74.38(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	20	32	-51	4.23	34%	-0.1	-59.5	0.8%	0	-0.5	47	0
24	Sep_15_2014	79.21	75.07	74.12	73.72	73.58	73.6	74.16(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	-0	4	-81	3.51	34%	-0.11	-61.2	0.8%	0	-0.7	29	0
25	Sep_12_2014	79.3	75.17	74.24	73.76	73.65	73.47	73.5(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-20	-19	-96	2.64	30%		-68.3	0.79%	0	-1.4	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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